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Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Venustech Group Inc. (SZSE:002439)?

Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Venustech Group Inc. (SZSE:002439)?

股票下跌和基本面穩健:Venustech集團公司(SZSE:002439)的市場錯誤嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  03/19 19:44

With its stock down 16% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Venustech Group (SZSE:002439). However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financial performance over the long term, which in this case looks quite promising. In this article, we decided to focus on Venustech Group's ROE.

在過去三個月中,其股票下跌了16%,很容易忽視Venustech集團(SZSE:002439)。但是,股票價格通常由公司的長期財務業績驅動,在這種情況下,這看起來很有希望。在本文中,我們決定重點關注Venustech集團的投資回報率。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

股本回報率或投資回報率是用於評估公司管理層利用公司資本效率的關鍵指標。換句話說,它揭示了公司成功地將股東投資轉化爲利潤。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

你如何計算股本回報率?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股本回報率可以使用以下公式計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營業務)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Venustech Group is:

因此,根據上述公式,Venustech集團的投資回報率爲:

9.8% = CN¥735m ÷ CN¥7.5b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

9.8% = 7.35億元人民幣 ÷ 75億元人民幣(基於截至2023年12月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.10 in profit.

“回報” 是指公司去年的收益。這意味着,公司每獲得價值1元人民幣的股東權益,就會產生0.10元人民幣的利潤。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

投資回報率與收益增長有什麼關係?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到,投資回報率衡量的是公司創造利潤的效率。現在,我們需要評估公司再投資或 “保留” 了多少利潤以用於未來的增長,從而使我們對公司的增長潛力有所了解。假設其他條件都一樣,與功能不相同的公司相比,具有更高股本回報率和更高利潤保留率的公司通常具有更高的增長率。

Venustech Group's Earnings Growth And 9.8% ROE

Venustech 集團的收益增長和 9.8% 的投資回報率

When you first look at it, Venustech Group's ROE doesn't look that attractive. However, the fact that the company's ROE is higher than the average industry ROE of 4.2%, is definitely interesting. This probably goes some way in explaining Venustech Group's moderate 8.8% growth over the past five years amongst other factors. That being said, the company does have a slightly low ROE to begin with, just that it is higher than the industry average. Therefore, the growth in earnings could also be the result of other factors. E.g the company has a low payout ratio or could belong to a high growth industry.

當你第一次看時,Venustech集團的投資回報率看起來並不那麼吸引人。但是,該公司的投資回報率高於4.2%的行業平均投資回報率,這一事實絕對很有趣。除其他因素外,這可能在某種程度上解釋了Venustech集團在過去五年中8.8%的溫和增長。話雖如此,該公司的投資回報率一開始確實略低,只是高於行業平均水平。因此,收益的增長也可能是其他因素的結果。例如,該公司的派息率較低,或者可能屬於高增長行業。

As a next step, we compared Venustech Group's net income growth with the industry, and pleasingly, we found that the growth seen by the company is higher than the average industry growth of 4.8%.

下一步,我們將Venustech集團的淨收入增長與該行業進行了比較,令人高興的是,我們發現該公司的增長高於行業平均增長4.8%。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:002439 Past Earnings Growth March 19th 2024
SZSE: 002439 過去的收益增長 2024 年 3 月 19 日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Venustech Group is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

爲公司附加價值的基礎在很大程度上與其收益增長息息相關。對於投資者來說,重要的是要知道市場是否對公司的預期收益增長(或下降)進行了定價。通過這樣做,他們將知道股票是走向清澈的藍色海水還是沼澤水域在等着呢。衡量預期收益增長的一個很好的指標是市盈率,它根據收益前景決定了市場願意爲股票支付的價格。因此,您可能需要檢查Venustech集團相對於其行業是高市盈率還是低市盈率。

Is Venustech Group Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Venustech集團是否在有效使用其留存收益?

In Venustech Group's case, its respectable earnings growth can probably be explained by its low three-year median payout ratio of 6.2% (or a retention ratio of 94%), which suggests that the company is investing most of its profits to grow its business.

就Venustech Group而言,其可觀的收益增長可以用其三年低的6.2%(或94%的留存率)來解釋,這表明該公司正在將大部分利潤投資於發展業務。

Moreover, Venustech Group is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to rise to 10% over the next three years. Still, forecasts suggest that Venustech Group's future ROE will rise to 13% even though the the company's payout ratio is expected to rise. We presume that there could some other characteristics of the business that could be driving the anticipated growth in the company's ROE.

此外,Venustech集團決心繼續與股東分享利潤,這是我們從其支付股息至少十年的長期歷史中推斷出來的。我們最新的分析師數據顯示,該公司的未來派息率預計將在未來三年內上升至10%。儘管如此,預測表明,儘管Venustech集團的派息率預計將上升,但該公司的未來投資回報率仍將上升至13%。我們認爲,該業務可能還有其他一些特徵可以推動公司投資回報率的預期增長。

Summary

摘要

On the whole, we feel that Venustech Group's performance has been quite good. In particular, it's great to see that the company has seen significant growth in its earnings backed by a respectable ROE and a high reinvestment rate. Having said that, looking at the current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings are expected to gain momentum. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

總的來說,我們認爲Venustech集團的表現相當不錯。特別是,很高興看到該公司的收益在可觀的投資回報率和高再投資率的支持下實現了顯著增長。話雖如此,從分析師目前的估計來看,我們發現該公司的收益有望增強。這些分析師的預期是基於對該行業的廣泛預期,還是基於公司的基本面?點擊此處進入我們分析師對公司的預測頁面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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