Analysts Are More Bearish On AVIC Heavy Machinery Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600765) Than They Used To Be
Analysts Are More Bearish On AVIC Heavy Machinery Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600765) Than They Used To Be
One thing we could say about the analysts on AVIC Heavy Machinery Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600765) - they aren't optimistic, having just made a major negative revision to their near-term (statutory) forecasts for the organization. Revenue and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts were both revised downwards, with the analysts seeing grey clouds on the horizon.
關於中航重型機械有限公司(SHSE: 600765)的分析師,我們可以說一件事——他們並不樂觀,因爲他們剛剛對該組織的短期(法定)預測進行了重大負面修正。收入和每股收益(EPS)的預測均向下修正,分析師認爲灰雲即將出現。
After this downgrade, AVIC Heavy Machinery's three analysts are now forecasting revenues of CN¥12b in 2024. This would be a meaningful 15% improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to shoot up 26% to CN¥1.13. Previously, the analysts had been modelling revenues of CN¥16b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥1.38 in 2024. Indeed, we can see that the analysts are a lot more bearish about AVIC Heavy Machinery's prospects, administering a pretty serious reduction to revenue estimates and slashing their EPS estimates to boot.
在這次下調評級之後,中航重型機械的三位分析師現在預測2024年的收入爲120億元人民幣。與過去12個月相比,這將使銷售額大幅增長15%。預計每股收益將飆升26%,至1.13元人民幣。此前,分析師一直在模擬2024年的收入爲160億元人民幣,每股收益(EPS)爲1.38元人民幣。事實上,我們可以看出,分析師對中航重型機械的前景更加悲觀,他們大幅下調了收入預期,並下調了每股收益預期。
![earnings-and-revenue-growth](https://usnewsfile.moomoo.com/public/MM-PersistNewsContentImage/7781/20240321/0-dde490f85f870fa851ed2aab969aae9f-0-179bc37de1676893e1627a3eaf6c002e.png/big)
Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. We can infer from the latest estimates that forecasts expect a continuation of AVIC Heavy Machinery'shistorical trends, as the 15% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2024 is roughly in line with the 16% annual revenue growth over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenues grow 19% per year. So it's pretty clear that AVIC Heavy Machinery is expected to grow slower than similar companies in the same industry.
當然,看待這些預測的另一種方法是將它們與行業本身聯繫起來。我們可以從最新估計中推斷,預測預計中航重型機械的歷史趨勢將延續,因爲到2024年底的15%的年化收入增長與過去五年16%的年收入增長大致一致。相比之下,我們的數據表明,預計類似行業的其他公司(有分析師報道)的收入每年將增長19%。因此,很明顯,中航重型機械的增長速度預計將低於同行業的同類公司。
The Bottom Line
底線
The most important thing to take away is that analysts cut their earnings per share estimates, expecting a clear decline in business conditions. Regrettably, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and the latest forecasts imply the business will grow sales slower than the wider market. After a cut like that, investors could be forgiven for thinking analysts are a lot more bearish on AVIC Heavy Machinery, and a few readers might choose to steer clear of the stock.
要了解的最重要的一點是,分析師下調了每股收益預期,預計業務狀況將明顯下降。遺憾的是,他們還下調了收入預期,最新的預測表明該業務的銷售增長將慢於整個市場。在這樣的下調之後,投資者認爲分析師對中航重型機械更加看跌,這是可以原諒的,一些讀者可能會選擇避開該股。
After a downgrade like this, it's pretty clear that previous forecasts were too optimistic. What's more, we've spotted several possible issues with AVIC Heavy Machinery's business, like concerns around earnings quality. Learn more, and discover the 1 other flag we've identified, for free on our platform here.
在這樣的降級之後,很明顯,先前的預測過於樂觀。此外,我們發現了中航重型機械業務中可能存在的幾個問題,例如對收益質量的擔憂。在我們的平台上免費了解更多,並發現我們已經確定的另外一個標誌。
Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.
當然,看到公司管理層將大量資金投資於股票與了解分析師是否在下調預期一樣有用。因此,您可能還希望搜索這份內部人士正在購買的免費股票清單。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。