Hanma Technology GroupLtd (SHSE:600375) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?
Hanma Technology GroupLtd (SHSE:600375) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Hanma Technology Group Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600375) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
傳奇基金經理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”因此,很明顯,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。與許多其他公司一樣,漢馬科技集團有限公司, Ltd.(上海證券交易所股票代碼:600375)使用債務。但真正的問題是這筆債務是否使公司面臨風險。
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
爲什麼債務會帶來風險?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或利用自己的現金流輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。資本主義的重要部分是 “創造性破壞” 的過程,在這個過程中,倒閉的企業被銀行家無情地清算。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東,這樣才能控制債務。當然,許多公司使用債務爲增長提供資金,而不會產生任何負面後果。當我們考慮公司對債務的使用時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務。
What Is Hanma Technology GroupLtd's Debt?
漢馬科技集團有限公司的債務是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2023 Hanma Technology GroupLtd had debt of CN¥4.70b, up from CN¥4.10b in one year. However, it does have CN¥1.33b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥3.37b.
您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖片顯示,截至2023年9月,漢馬科技集團有限公司的債務爲470億元人民幣,高於一年內的41.0億元人民幣。但是,它確實有13.3億加元的現金抵消了這一點,淨負債約爲33.7億元人民幣。
How Healthy Is Hanma Technology GroupLtd's Balance Sheet?
漢馬科技集團有限公司的資產負債表有多健康?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Hanma Technology GroupLtd had liabilities of CN¥6.98b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.72b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.33b and CN¥2.80b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥4.58b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,漢馬科技集團有限公司的負債爲69.8億元人民幣,一年後到期的負債爲17.2億元人民幣。另一方面,它有一年內到期的現金爲13.3億元人民幣,還有價值28億元人民幣的應收賬款。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總額高出45.8億元人民幣。
Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of CN¥3.80b, we think shareholders really should watch Hanma Technology GroupLtd's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Hanma Technology GroupLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
鑑於這一赤字實際上高於該公司380億元人民幣的市值,我們認爲股東們確實應該關注漢馬科技集團有限公司的債務水平,就像父母第一次看着孩子騎自行車一樣。在公司必須迅速清理資產負債表的情況下,股東似乎可能會遭受大規模稀釋。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是你不能完全孤立地看待債務;因爲漢馬科技集團有限公司需要收益來償還債務。因此,如果你想進一步了解其收益,可能值得看看這張長期收益趨勢圖。
Over 12 months, Hanma Technology GroupLtd reported revenue of CN¥3.7b, which is a gain of 15%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.
在過去的12個月中,漢馬科技集團有限公司公佈的收入爲37億元人民幣,增長了15%,儘管它沒有報告任何利息和稅前收益。這種增長速度對我們的口味來說有點慢,但要創造一個世界需要所有類型。
Caveat Emptor
Caveat Emptor
Importantly, Hanma Technology GroupLtd had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost a very considerable CN¥658m at the EBIT level. When we look at that alongside the significant liabilities, we're not particularly confident about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of CN¥523m. In the meantime, we consider the stock to be risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Hanma Technology GroupLtd is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...
重要的是,漢馬科技集團有限公司去年出現了息稅前收益(EBIT)虧損。事實上,在息稅前利潤水平上,它損失了6.58億元人民幣。當我們將其與巨額負債一起看時,我們對公司並不特別有信心。它需要迅速改善其運營,我們才會對此感興趣。例如,我們不希望看到去年5.23億元人民幣的虧損重演。同時,我們認爲該股票存在風險。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。請注意,漢馬科技集團有限公司在我們的投資分析中顯示了兩個警告信號,你應該知道...
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
當然,如果你是那種喜歡在沒有債務負擔的情況下購買股票的投資者,那麼請立即查看我們的獨家淨現金增長股票清單。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。