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We Think Hangzhou Cogeneration Group (SHSE:605011) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

We Think Hangzhou Cogeneration Group (SHSE:605011) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

我們認爲杭州熱電聯產集團(SHSE: 605011)可以輕鬆管理其債務
Simply Wall St ·  03/21 18:52

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Hangzhou Cogeneration Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:605011) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

有人說,波動性,而不是債務,是投資者思考風險的最佳方式,但禾倫·巴菲特曾說過一句名言:“波動性遠非風險的代名詞。”因此,很明顯,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。我們注意到,杭州熱電聯產集團有限公司(SHSE: 605011)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?

When Is Debt A Problem?

債務何時會成爲問題?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但是如果企業無法償還貸款人的債務,那麼債務就會任由他們擺佈。資本主義的重要組成部分是 “創造性破壞” 過程,在這種過程中,倒閉的企業被銀行家無情地清算。但是,更常見(但仍然很痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股權資本,從而永久稀釋股東。當然,許多公司使用債務爲增長提供資金,而不會產生任何負面影響。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,要做的第一件事就是綜合考慮其現金和債務。

What Is Hangzhou Cogeneration Group's Net Debt?

杭州熱電聯產集團的淨負債是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Hangzhou Cogeneration Group had debt of CN¥728.9m at the end of September 2023, a reduction from CN¥1.13b over a year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥773.4m in cash, leading to a CN¥44.5m net cash position.

您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖片顯示,截至2023年9月底,杭州熱電聯產集團的債務爲7.289億元人民幣,較一年11.3億元人民幣有所減少。但另一方面,它也有7.734億元的現金,淨現金狀況爲4,450萬元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:605011 Debt to Equity History March 21st 2024
SHSE: 605011 2024 年 3 月 21 日債務與股權比率的歷史記錄

A Look At Hangzhou Cogeneration Group's Liabilities

看看杭州熱電聯產集團的負債

According to the last reported balance sheet, Hangzhou Cogeneration Group had liabilities of CN¥797.0m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥371.3m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥773.4m as well as receivables valued at CN¥354.9m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥40.0m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

根據上次報告的資產負債表,杭州熱電聯產集團在12個月內到期的負債爲7.97億元人民幣,12個月以後到期的負債爲3.713億元人民幣。除這些債務外,它有7.734億元的現金以及價值3.549億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總額高出4,00萬元人民幣。

This state of affairs indicates that Hangzhou Cogeneration Group's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So it's very unlikely that the CN¥9.27b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Hangzhou Cogeneration Group also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

這種狀況表明,杭州熱電聯產集團的資產負債表看起來相當穩健,因爲其總負債幾乎等於其流動資產。因此,這家927億元人民幣的公司現金短缺的可能性很小,但仍然值得關注資產負債表。儘管它確實有值得注意的負債,但杭州熱電聯產集團的現金也多於債務,因此我們非常有信心它可以安全地管理債務。

Hangzhou Cogeneration Group's EBIT was pretty flat over the last year, but that shouldn't be an issue given the it doesn't have a lot of debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Hangzhou Cogeneration Group will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

去年,杭州熱電聯產集團的息稅前利潤相當平穩,但鑑於其債務不多,這應該不是問題。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是你不能完全孤立地看待債務;因爲杭州熱電聯產集團需要收益來償還債務。因此,在考慮債務時,絕對值得一看收益趨勢。單擊此處查看交互式快照。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Hangzhou Cogeneration Group has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Hangzhou Cogeneration Group generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 95% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

最後,公司只能用冷硬現金償還債務,不能用會計利潤償還債務。儘管杭州熱電聯產集團的資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍值得一看其將息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解其建立(或侵蝕)現金餘額的速度有多快。在過去三年中,杭州熱電聯產集團產生的自由現金流相當於其息稅前利潤的95%,超出了我們的預期。這使其在償還債務方面處於非常有利的地位。

Summing Up

總結

We could understand if investors are concerned about Hangzhou Cogeneration Group's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of CN¥44.5m. The cherry on top was that in converted 95% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥311m. So we don't think Hangzhou Cogeneration Group's use of debt is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Hangzhou Cogeneration Group that you should be aware of.

我們可以理解投資者是否擔心杭州熱電聯產集團的負債,但我們可以放心,該集團的淨現金爲4,450萬元人民幣。最重要的是,它將息稅前利潤的95%轉換爲自由現金流,帶來了3.11億元人民幣的收入。因此,我們認爲杭州熱電聯產集團使用債務沒有風險。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。例如,我們已經確定了杭州熱電聯產集團的兩個警告信號,您應該注意這些信號。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果你是那種喜歡在沒有債務負擔的情況下購買股票的投資者,那麼請立即查看我們的獨家淨現金增長股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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