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Is Zhejiang Talent Television and Film (SZSE:300426) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Zhejiang Talent Television and Film (SZSE:300426) Using Too Much Debt?

浙江天才影視(深交所股票代碼:300426)是否使用過多的債務?
Simply Wall St ·  03/21 22:10

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Zhejiang Talent Television and Film Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300426) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

大衛·伊本說得好,他說:“波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久損失。”因此,很明顯,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。與許多其他公司一樣,浙江天倫影視股份有限公司(深圳證券交易所代碼:300426)也使用債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時危險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但是如果企業無法還清貸款人的債務,那麼債務就任其擺佈。最終,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能會一無所獲。但是,更常見(但仍然令人痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股本,從而永久稀釋股東。但是,通過取代稀釋,對於需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業來說,債務可以成爲一個非常好的工具。當我們考慮公司使用債務時,我們首先將現金和債務放在一起考慮。

What Is Zhejiang Talent Television and Film's Net Debt?

浙江天才影視的淨負債是多少?

As you can see below, Zhejiang Talent Television and Film had CN¥1.72b of debt at September 2023, down from CN¥1.84b a year prior. On the flip side, it has CN¥172.8m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥1.54b.

如下所示,截至2023年9月,浙江天才影視的債務爲17.2億元人民幣,低於去年同期的18.4億元人民幣。另一方面,它擁有1.728億元的現金,淨負債約爲15.4億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:300426 Debt to Equity History March 22nd 2024
SZSE: 300426 2024 年 3 月 22 日債務與股權比率的歷史記錄

How Strong Is Zhejiang Talent Television and Film's Balance Sheet?

浙江天才影視的資產負債表有多強?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Zhejiang Talent Television and Film had liabilities of CN¥1.88b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥25.4m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥172.8m and CN¥372.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥1.36b.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,浙江天才影視在12個月內到期的負債爲18.8億元人民幣,之後到期的負債爲2540萬元人民幣。另一方面,它有一年內到期的現金爲1.728億元人民幣,還有價值3.72億元人民幣的應收賬款。因此,其負債超過其現金和(短期)應收賬款總額13.6億元人民幣。

This deficit isn't so bad because Zhejiang Talent Television and Film is worth CN¥4.31b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

這種赤字還不錯,因爲浙江天才影視的市值爲43.1億元人民幣,因此,如果有需要,可能會籌集足夠的資金來支撐其資產負債表。但很明顯,我們一定要仔細研究它能否在不稀釋的情況下管理債務。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

爲了擴大公司相對於收益的負債規模,我們計算其淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),將其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)除以利息支出(利息保障)。這種方法的優勢在於,我們既考慮了債務的絕對數量(包括淨負債與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤),也考慮了與該債務相關的實際利息支出(及其利息覆蓋率)。

With a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 9.8, it's fair to say Zhejiang Talent Television and Film does have a significant amount of debt. However, its interest coverage of 2.5 is reasonably strong, which is a good sign. Looking on the bright side, Zhejiang Talent Television and Film boosted its EBIT by a silky 34% in the last year. Like a mother's loving embrace of a newborn that sort of growth builds resilience, putting the company in a stronger position to manage its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Zhejiang Talent Television and Film will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

由於淨負債與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的比率爲9.8,可以公平地說,浙江天才影視確實有大量債務。但是,其2.5的利息覆蓋率相當強,這是一個好兆頭。從好的方面來看,浙江天才影視去年將其息稅前利潤增長了34%。就像母親對新生兒的深情擁抱一樣,這種成長可以增強韌性,使公司在管理債務方面處於更有利的地位。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是你不能完全孤立地看待債務;因爲浙江天才影視需要收益來償還債務。因此,如果你想進一步了解其收益,可能值得看看這張長期收益趨勢圖。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Looking at the most recent two years, Zhejiang Talent Television and Film recorded free cash flow of 40% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

最後,公司只能用冷硬現金償還債務,不能用會計利潤償還債務。因此,我們總是檢查息稅前利潤中有多少轉化爲自由現金流。從最近兩年來看,浙江天才影視錄得的自由現金流佔其息稅前利潤的40%,低於我們的預期。這種疲軟的現金轉換使得處理債務變得更加困難。

Our View

我們的觀點

Zhejiang Talent Television and Film's net debt to EBITDA was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. There's no doubt that its ability to to grow its EBIT is pretty flash. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Zhejiang Talent Television and Film's debt levels. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Zhejiang Talent Television and Film you should know about.

儘管我們考慮的其他因素要好得多,但根據該分析,浙江天才影視的淨負債佔息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的比例確實是負面的。毫無疑問,其增長息稅前利潤的能力非常閃爍。縱觀所有這些數據,我們對浙江天才影視的債務水平感到有些謹慎。儘管我們意識到債務可以提高股本回報率,但我們建議股東密切關注其債務水平,以免債務增加。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。這些風險可能很難發現。每家公司都有它們,我們已經發現了兩個你應該知道的浙江天才影視的警告標誌。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

當一切都說完之後,有時更容易將注意力集中在甚至不需要債務的公司上。讀者現在可以100%免費訪問淨負債爲零的成長型股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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