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Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For Greentown Management Holdings Company Limited (HKG:9979) After Its Yearly Results

Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For Greentown Management Holdings Company Limited (HKG:9979) After Its Yearly Results

以下是分析師對綠城管理控股有限公司(HKG: 9979)公佈年度業績後的預測
Simply Wall St ·  03/23 17:13

It's been a pretty great week for Greentown Management Holdings Company Limited (HKG:9979) shareholders, with its shares surging 14% to HK$6.19 in the week since its latest full-year results. Results were roughly in line with estimates, with revenues of CN¥3.3b and statutory earnings per share of CN¥0.49. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

對於綠城管理控股有限公司(HKG: 9979)的股東來說,這是相當不錯的一週,自最新的全年業績以來,其股價在本週飆升了14%,至6.19港元。業績與預期大致一致,收入爲33億元人民幣,法定每股收益爲0.49元人民幣。對於投資者來說,這是一個重要時刻,因爲他們可以在報告中追蹤公司的業績,看看專家對明年的預測,看看對該業務的預期是否有任何變化。根據這些結果,我們收集了最新的法定預測,以了解分析師是否改變了盈利模式。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:9979 Earnings and Revenue Growth March 24th 2024
SEHK: 9979 2024年3月24日收益和收入增長

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Greentown Management Holdings from ten analysts is for revenues of CN¥4.13b in 2024. If met, it would imply a sizeable 25% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to jump 27% to CN¥0.62. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥4.19b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.62 in 2024. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

考慮到最新業績,十位分析師對綠城管理控股公司的最新共識是,2024年的收入爲41.3億元人民幣。如果得到滿足,這意味着其收入在過去12個月中將大幅增長25%。每股收益預計將增長27%,至0.62元人民幣。在本業績發佈之前,分析師一直預測2024年的收入爲41.9億元人民幣,每股收益(EPS)爲0.62元人民幣。鑑於他們的估計沒有重大變化,共識分析師似乎沒有在這些結果中看到任何會改變他們對業務看法的內容。

The analysts reconfirmed their price target of HK$8.48, showing that the business is executing well and in line with expectations. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. There are some variant perceptions on Greentown Management Holdings, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at HK$9.96 and the most bearish at HK$7.26 per share. These price targets show that analysts do have some differing views on the business, but the estimates do not vary enough to suggest to us that some are betting on wild success or utter failure.

分析師再次確認了8.48港元的目標股價,這表明該業務表現良好,符合預期。共識目標股價只是個別分析師目標的平均值,因此——可以很方便地看到基礎估計值的範圍有多廣。對綠城管理控股的看法有所不同,最看漲的分析師將其估值爲9.96港元,最看跌的爲每股7.26港元。這些目標股價表明,分析師對該業務的看法確實有所不同,但這些估計的差異不足以向我們表明,有些人押注取得巨大成功或徹底失敗。

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. The analysts are definitely expecting Greentown Management Holdings' growth to accelerate, with the forecast 25% annualised growth to the end of 2024 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 15% per annum over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 10% per year. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that Greentown Management Holdings is expected to grow much faster than its industry.

從現在的大局來看,我們可以理解這些預測的方法之一是看看它們如何與過去的業績和行業增長預期相比較。分析師們肯定預計綠城管理控股公司的增長將加速,預計到2024年底的年化增長率爲25%,而過去五年的歷史年增長率爲15%。相比之下,我們的數據表明,預計類似行業的其他公司(有分析師報道)的收入將以每年10%的速度增長。考慮到收入增長的預測,很明顯,綠城管理控股公司的增長速度預計將比其行業快得多。

The Bottom Line

底線

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at HK$8.48, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

要了解的最重要的一點是,市場情緒沒有重大變化,分析師再次確認該業務的表現符合他們先前的每股收益預期。幸運的是,他們還再次確認了收入數字,表明收入符合預期。此外,我們的數據表明,收入的增長速度預計將快於整個行業。共識目標股價穩定在8.48港元,最新估計不足以對其目標股價產生影響。

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have forecasts for Greentown Management Holdings going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

根據這種思路,我們認爲該業務的長期前景比明年的收益重要得多。我們對綠城管理控股的預測將持續到2026年,你可以在我們的平台上免費查看。

You should always think about risks though. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Greentown Management Holdings you should be aware of.

但是,你應該時刻考慮風險。舉個例子,我們發現了一個你應該注意的綠城管理控股的警告信號。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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