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Here's Why Zhejiang Hechuan Technology (SHSE:688320) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Here's Why Zhejiang Hechuan Technology (SHSE:688320) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

這就是浙江合川科技(SHSE: 688320)債務負擔沉重的原因
Simply Wall St ·  03/23 21:54

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Zhejiang Hechuan Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688320) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

禾倫·巴菲特曾說過一句名言:“波動性遠非風險的代名詞。”當我們考慮一家公司的風險時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。我們可以看到,浙江合川科技股份有限公司(SHSE: 688320)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但真正的問題是這筆債務是否使公司面臨風險。

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務會帶來什麼風險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但是如果企業無法償還貸款,那麼債務就任其擺佈。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司爲了控制債務,必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東。當然,債務的好處在於它通常代表廉價資本,尤其是當它以高回報率進行再投資的能力取代公司的稀釋時。當我們檢查債務水平時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。

How Much Debt Does Zhejiang Hechuan Technology Carry?

浙江合川科技揹負了多少債務?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2023 Zhejiang Hechuan Technology had debt of CN¥203.5m, up from CN¥60.5m in one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥268.6m in cash, so it actually has CN¥65.2m net cash.

您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖片顯示,截至2023年9月,浙江合川科技的債務爲2.035億元人民幣,高於一年內的6,050萬元人民幣。但是,其資產負債表顯示其持有2.686億元的現金,因此實際上擁有6,520萬元人民幣的淨現金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:688320 Debt to Equity History March 24th 2024
SHSE: 688320 2024 年 3 月 24 日債務與股權比率歷史記錄

How Healthy Is Zhejiang Hechuan Technology's Balance Sheet?

浙江合川科技的資產負債表有多健康?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Zhejiang Hechuan Technology had liabilities of CN¥611.0m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥49.8m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥268.6m in cash and CN¥748.3m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥356.1m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

根據上次報告的資產負債表,浙江合川科技在12個月內到期的負債爲6.11億元人民幣,12個月以後到期的負債爲4,980萬元人民幣。與此相抵消的是,它有2.686億元的現金和7.483億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。所以它實際上有3.561億元人民幣 更多 流動資產超過總負債。

This surplus suggests that Zhejiang Hechuan Technology has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Succinctly put, Zhejiang Hechuan Technology boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

這種盈餘表明浙江合川科技的資產負債表比較保守,可以毫不費力地消除債務。簡而言之,浙江合川科技擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說,它沒有沉重的債務負擔!

The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Zhejiang Hechuan Technology if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 26% cut to EBIT over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Zhejiang Hechuan Technology's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

如果管理層無法阻止去年削減26%的息稅前利潤,那麼其適度的債務負擔可能對浙江合川科技至關重要。在還清債務方面,收入下降對健康的作用並不比含糖的蘇打水更有用。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,未來的收益將決定浙江合川科技未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Zhejiang Hechuan Technology may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Zhejiang Hechuan Technology burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

但是我們最終的考慮因素也很重要,因爲公司無法用紙面利潤來償還債務;它需要冷硬現金。浙江合川科技的資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但看看該企業如何將其利息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流仍然很有趣,因爲這將影響其對債務的需求和管理能力。在過去的三年中,浙江合川科技燒掉了大量現金。儘管這可能是增長支出的結果,但它確實使債務風險大大增加。

Summing Up

總結

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Zhejiang Hechuan Technology has net cash of CN¥65.2m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So although we see some areas for improvement, we're not too worried about Zhejiang Hechuan Technology's balance sheet. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Zhejiang Hechuan Technology is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

雖然我們同情那些認爲債務令人擔憂的投資者,但您應該記住,浙江合川科技的淨現金爲6,520萬元人民幣,流動資產比負債還多。因此,儘管我們看到了一些需要改進的地方,但我們對浙江合川科技的資產負債表並不太擔心。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。請注意,浙江合川科技在我們的投資分析中顯示了1個警告信號,您應該知道...

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

當一切都說完之後,有時更容易將注意力集中在甚至不需要債務的公司上。讀者現在可以100%免費訪問淨負債爲零的成長型股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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