share_log

Keli Motor Group Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002892) Has Been On A Rise But Financial Prospects Look Weak: Is The Stock Overpriced?

Keli Motor Group Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002892) Has Been On A Rise But Financial Prospects Look Weak: Is The Stock Overpriced?

科利汽車集團有限公司's (SZSE: 002892) 一直在上漲,但財務前景看起來疲軟:股票定價過高了嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  03/25 19:33

Keli Motor Group's (SZSE:002892) stock is up by a considerable 20% over the past month. We, however wanted to have a closer look at its key financial indicators as the markets usually pay for long-term fundamentals, and in this case, they don't look very promising. Specifically, we decided to study Keli Motor Group's ROE in this article.

科利汽車集團(深圳證券交易所:002892)的股票在過去一個月中上漲了20%。但是,我們想仔細研究其關鍵財務指標,因爲市場通常會爲長期基本面買單,在這種情況下,它們看起來並不十分樂觀。具體而言,我們決定在本文中研究科利汽車集團的投資回報率。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

股本回報率或投資回報率是對公司增值和管理投資者資金的有效性的考驗。換句話說,它是衡量公司股東提供的資本回報率的盈利比率。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股本回報率?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

ROE 可以通過以下公式計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營業務)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Keli Motor Group is:

因此,根據上述公式,科利汽車集團的投資回報率爲:

4.6% = CN¥59m ÷ CN¥1.3b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

4.6% = 5900萬元人民幣 ¥13億元人民幣(基於截至2023年9月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.05 in profit.

“回報” 是指公司去年的收益。將其概念化的一種方法是,公司每擁有1元人民幣的股東資本,就能獲得0.05元的利潤。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

投資回報率與收益增長有什麼關係?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

我們已經確定,投資回報率是衡量公司未來收益的有效利潤創造指標。我們現在需要評估公司爲未來增長再投資或 “保留” 了多少利潤,這樣我們就可以了解公司的增長潛力。假設其他一切都保持不變,那麼與不一定具有這些特徵的公司相比,投資回報率和利潤保留率越高,公司的增長率就越高。

Keli Motor Group's Earnings Growth And 4.6% ROE

凱利汽車集團的收益增長和4.6%的投資回報率

As you can see, Keli Motor Group's ROE looks pretty weak. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 7.2%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. Therefore, Keli Motor Group's flat earnings over the past five years can possibly be explained by the low ROE amongst other factors.

如您所見,科利汽車集團的投資回報率看起來相當疲軟。不僅如此,即使與7.2%的行業平均水平相比,該公司的投資回報率也完全不引人注目。因此,科利汽車集團在過去五年中收益持平可以用投資回報率低等因素來解釋。

As a next step, we compared Keli Motor Group's net income growth with the industry and were disappointed to see that the company's growth is lower than the industry average growth of 14% in the same period.

下一步,我們將科利汽車集團的淨收入增長與該行業進行了比較,並失望地看到該公司的增長低於同期14%的行業平均增長。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:002892 Past Earnings Growth March 25th 2024
SZSE: 002892 過去的收益增長 2024 年 3 月 25 日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Keli Motor Group is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

收益增長是對股票進行估值時要考慮的重要指標。無論如何,投資者應設法確定預期的收益增長或下降是否已計入其中。然後,這可以幫助他們確定股票是面向光明還是暗淡的未來。衡量預期收益增長的一個很好的指標是市盈率,它根據收益前景決定了市場願意爲股票支付的價格。因此,您可能需要檢查一下與其行業相比,科利汽車集團的市盈率是高還是低。

Is Keli Motor Group Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

科利汽車集團是否有效地將其利潤再投資?

Keli Motor Group has a high three-year median payout ratio of 66% (or a retention ratio of 34%), meaning that the company is paying most of its profits as dividends to its shareholders. This does go some way in explaining why there's been no growth in its earnings.

凱利汽車集團的三年派息率中位數很高,爲66%(或34%的留存率),這意味着該公司將大部分利潤作爲股息支付給股東。這確實在某種程度上解釋了爲什麼其收益沒有增長。

Moreover, Keli Motor Group has been paying dividends for six years, which is a considerable amount of time, suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

此外,凱利汽車集團已經派發股息六年了,這是相當長的時間,這表明管理層一定已經意識到股東更喜歡分紅而不是收益增長。

Conclusion

結論

In total, we would have a hard think before deciding on any investment action concerning Keli Motor Group. Because the company is not reinvesting much into the business, and given the low ROE, it's not surprising to see the lack or absence of growth in its earnings. So far, we've only made a quick discussion around the company's earnings growth. To gain further insights into Keli Motor Group's past profit growth, check out this visualization of past earnings, revenue and cash flows.

總的來說,在決定任何與凱利汽車集團有關的投資行動之前,我們會經過深思熟慮。由於該公司對業務的再投資不多,而且鑑於投資回報率低,其收益缺乏或沒有增長也就不足爲奇了。到目前爲止,我們僅就公司的收益增長進行了簡短的討論。要進一步了解科利汽車集團過去的利潤增長,請查看這份過去收益、收入和現金流的可視化圖表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論