While Shareholders of Jilin Electric PowerLtd (SZSE:000875) Are in the Black Over 5 Years, Those Who Bought a Week Ago Aren't so Fortunate
While Shareholders of Jilin Electric PowerLtd (SZSE:000875) Are in the Black Over 5 Years, Those Who Bought a Week Ago Aren't so Fortunate
Stock pickers are generally looking for stocks that will outperform the broader market. And in our experience, buying the right stocks can give your wealth a significant boost. For example, long term Jilin Electric Power Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:000875) shareholders have enjoyed a 34% share price rise over the last half decade, well in excess of the market return of around 3.1% (not including dividends).
選股者通常在尋找表現優於大盤的股票。根據我們的經驗,購買合適的股票可以顯著增加您的財富。例如,長期吉林電力有限公司, Ltd.(深圳證券交易所代碼:000875)的股東在過去五年中股價上漲了34%,遠遠超過了約3.1%(不包括股息)的市場回報率。
Although Jilin Electric PowerLtd has shed CN¥614m from its market cap this week, let's take a look at its longer term fundamental trends and see if they've driven returns.
儘管吉林電力有限公司本週的市值下跌了6.14億元人民幣,但讓我們來看看其長期基本面趨勢,看看它們是否推動了回報。
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
用本傑明·格雷厄姆的話來說:從短期來看,市場是一臺投票機器,但從長遠來看,它是一臺稱重機。考慮市場對公司的看法發生了怎樣的變化的一種不完美但簡單的方法是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價走勢進行比較。
During the last half decade, Jilin Electric PowerLtd became profitable. That would generally be considered a positive, so we'd hope to see the share price to rise. Given that the company made a profit three years ago, but not five years ago, it is worth looking at the share price returns over the last three years, too. We can see that the Jilin Electric PowerLtd share price is down 17% in the last three years. In the same period, EPS is up 36% per year. So there seems to be a mismatch between the positive EPS growth and the change in the share price, which is down -6% per year.
在過去的五年中,吉林電力有限公司實現了盈利。這通常被認爲是積極的,因此我們希望看到股價上漲。鑑於該公司在三年前實現了盈利,但不是在五年前盈利,因此過去三年的股價回報也值得一看。我們可以看到,吉林電力股份有限公司的股價在過去三年中下跌了17%。同期,每股收益每年增長36%。因此,每股收益的正增長與股價的變化(每年下跌-6%)之間似乎存在不匹配之處。
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下圖描述了 EPS 隨着時間的推移是如何變化的(點擊圖片可以看到確切的值)。
It is of course excellent to see how Jilin Electric PowerLtd has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.
當然,很高興看到吉林電力股份有限公司多年來利潤的增長,但未來對股東來說更爲重要。您可以在這張免費的交互式圖片中看到其資產負債表如何隨着時間的推移而增強(或減弱)。
What About Dividends?
分紅呢?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Jilin Electric PowerLtd the TSR over the last 5 years was 37%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的股東總回報率和股價回報率。儘管股價回報率僅反映股價的變化,但股東總回報率包括股息的價值(假設已進行再投資)以及任何折扣融資或分拆的收益。可以公平地說,股東總回報率爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的畫面。我們注意到,吉林電力股份有限公司過去5年的股東總回報率爲37%,好於上述股價回報率。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
We regret to report that Jilin Electric PowerLtd shareholders are down 23% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 13%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 6% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Jilin Electric PowerLtd better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Jilin Electric PowerLtd (at least 1 which is a bit concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
我們遺憾地報告,吉林電力有限公司的股東今年下跌了23%(甚至包括股息)。不幸的是,這比整個市場13%的跌幅還要嚴重。但是,可能只是股價受到了更廣泛的市場緊張情緒的影響。如果有很好的機會,可能值得關注基本面。好的一面是,長期股東賺了錢,在過去的五年中,每年增長6%。如果基本面數據繼續顯示長期可持續增長,那麼當前的拋售可能是一個值得考慮的機會。長期跟蹤股價表現總是很有意思的。但是,要更好地了解吉林電力有限公司,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。例如,投資風險的幽靈無處不在。我們已經向吉林電力有限公司確定了兩個警告信號(至少一個有點令人擔憂),了解它們應該是您投資過程的一部分。
But note: Jilin Electric PowerLtd may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
但請注意:吉林電力股份有限公司可能不是最好的買入股票。因此,來看看這份過去盈利增長(以及進一步增長預測)的有趣公司的免費清單。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。