Tangshan Sunfar Silicon IndustriesLtd's (SHSE:603938) Earnings Growth Rate Lags the 7.9% CAGR Delivered to Shareholders
Tangshan Sunfar Silicon IndustriesLtd's (SHSE:603938) Earnings Growth Rate Lags the 7.9% CAGR Delivered to Shareholders
While Tangshan Sunfar Silicon Industries Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603938) shareholders are probably generally happy, the stock hasn't had particularly good run recently, with the share price falling 21% in the last quarter. On the bright side the returns have been quite good over the last half decade. After all, the share price is up a market-beating 42% in that time. Unfortunately not all shareholders will have held it for the long term, so spare a thought for those caught in the 41% decline over the last twelve months.
而唐山三豐硅業有限公司, Ltd.(SHSE: 603938)的股東們可能普遍感到高興,該股最近表現不佳,上個季度股價下跌了21%。好的一面是,在過去的五年中,回報率一直相當不錯。畢竟,當時股價上漲了42%,超過了市場。不幸的是,並非所有股東都會長揸該股票,因此請多考慮那些在過去十二個月中跌幅爲41%的股東。
Although Tangshan Sunfar Silicon IndustriesLtd has shed CN¥390m from its market cap this week, let's take a look at its longer term fundamental trends and see if they've driven returns.
儘管唐山三豐硅業有限公司本週的市值下跌了3.9億元人民幣,但讓我們來看看其長期基本面趨勢,看看它們是否推動了回報。
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
引用巴菲特的話說:“船隻將在世界各地航行,但Flat Earth Society將蓬勃發展。市場上的價格和價值之間將繼續存在巨大差異...”評估公司情緒變化的一種有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。
During five years of share price growth, Tangshan Sunfar Silicon IndustriesLtd achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 17% per year. This EPS growth is higher than the 7% average annual increase in the share price. So it seems the market isn't so enthusiastic about the stock these days.
在五年的股價增長中,唐山三發硅業有限公司實現了每年17%的複合每股收益(EPS)增長。每股收益的增長高於股價年均增長7%。因此,如今市場似乎對該股並不那麼熱情。
The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下圖顯示了 EPS 在一段時間內的跟蹤情況(如果你點擊圖片,你可以看到更多細節)。
We know that Tangshan Sunfar Silicon IndustriesLtd has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? This free interactive report on Tangshan Sunfar Silicon IndustriesLtd's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
我們知道唐山三化硅業有限公司在過去三年中提高了利潤,但是未來會怎樣?如果你想進一步調查唐山三發硅業有限公司資產負債表實力,這份關於唐山三發硅業有限公司資產負債表實力的免費互動報告是一個很好的起點。
What About Dividends?
分紅呢?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Tangshan Sunfar Silicon IndustriesLtd, it has a TSR of 46% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
除了衡量股價回報率外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報率(TSR)。基於股息再投資的假設,股東總回報率納入了任何分拆或貼現資本籌集的價值以及任何股息。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,股東總回報率通常遠高於股價回報率。就唐山三發硅業有限公司而言,其過去5年的股東回報率爲46%。這超過了我們之前提到的其股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧是沒有好處的!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
We regret to report that Tangshan Sunfar Silicon IndustriesLtd shareholders are down 41% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 14%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 8%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Tangshan Sunfar Silicon IndustriesLtd that you should be aware of.
我們遺憾地報告,唐山三發硅業有限公司的股東今年下跌了41%(甚至包括股息)。不幸的是,這比整個市場14%的跌幅還要嚴重。話雖如此,在下跌的市場中,一些股票不可避免地會被超賣。關鍵是要密切關注基本發展。長期投資者不會那麼沮喪,因爲他們本可以在五年內每年賺8%。如果基本面數據繼續顯示長期可持續增長,那麼當前的拋售可能是一個值得考慮的機會。儘管市場狀況可能對股價產生的不同影響值得考慮,但還有其他因素更爲重要。例如,我們已經確定了唐山三發硅業有限公司的兩個警告標誌,你應該注意這些標誌。
But note: Tangshan Sunfar Silicon IndustriesLtd may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
但請注意:唐山三發硅業有限公司可能不是最值得買入的股票。因此,來看看這份過去盈利增長(以及進一步增長預測)的有趣公司的免費清單。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。