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Is Zhanjiang Guolian Aquatic Products (SZSE:300094) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Zhanjiang Guolian Aquatic Products (SZSE:300094) Using Too Much Debt?

湛江國聯水產(深交所股票代碼:300094)的債務是否過多?
Simply Wall St ·  03/26 18:07

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Zhanjiang Guolian Aquatic Products Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300094) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

大衛·伊本說得好,他說:“波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久損失。”當你檢查公司的資產負債表的風險時,考慮它的資產負債表是很自然的,因爲企業倒閉時通常會涉及債務。重要的是,湛江國聯水產有限公司(深圳證券交易所代碼:300094)確實有債務。但真正的問題是這筆債務是否使公司面臨風險。

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務會帶來什麼風險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但如果企業無法還清貸方,那麼債務就任其擺佈。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東,這樣才能控制債務。當然,許多公司使用債務爲增長提供資金,而不會產生任何負面後果。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,要做的第一件事是將其現金和債務放在一起考慮。

What Is Zhanjiang Guolian Aquatic Products's Debt?

湛江國聯水產的債務是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Zhanjiang Guolian Aquatic Products had CN¥1.51b of debt in September 2023, down from CN¥1.83b, one year before. However, it does have CN¥440.7m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥1.07b.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示湛江國聯水產在2023年9月有151億元人民幣的債務,低於一年前的18.3億元人民幣。但是,它確實有4.407億元的現金抵消了這一點,淨負債約爲10.7億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:300094 Debt to Equity History March 26th 2024
SZSE: 300094 2024 年 3 月 26 日債務與股權比率的歷史記錄

A Look At Zhanjiang Guolian Aquatic Products' Liabilities

看看湛江國聯水產的負債

According to the last reported balance sheet, Zhanjiang Guolian Aquatic Products had liabilities of CN¥1.83b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥431.7m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥440.7m and CN¥500.2m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥1.32b.

根據上次報告的資產負債表,湛江國聯水產的負債爲18.3億元人民幣,12個月以後到期的負債爲4.317億元人民幣。另一方面,它有一年內到期的現金爲4.407億元人民幣,還有價值5.02億元人民幣的應收賬款。因此,其負債超過其現金和(短期)應收賬款總額13.2億元人民幣。

Zhanjiang Guolian Aquatic Products has a market capitalization of CN¥4.72b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Zhanjiang Guolian Aquatic Products will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

湛江國聯水產的市值爲47.2億元人民幣,因此,如果需要,它很可能會籌集資金以改善其資產負債表。但很明顯,我們一定要仔細研究它能否在不稀釋的情況下管理債務。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是你不能完全孤立地看待債務;因爲湛江國聯水產需要收益來償還債務。因此,如果你想進一步了解其收益,可能值得看看這張長期收益趨勢圖。

In the last year Zhanjiang Guolian Aquatic Products's revenue was pretty flat, and it made a negative EBIT. While that's not too bad, we'd prefer see growth.

去年,湛江國聯水產的收入相當平緩,息稅前利潤爲負。雖然這還不錯,但我們希望看到增長。

Caveat Emptor

Caveat Emptor

Importantly, Zhanjiang Guolian Aquatic Products had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost CN¥65m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Another cause for caution is that is bled CN¥201m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So to be blunt we think it is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Zhanjiang Guolian Aquatic Products is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is concerning...

重要的是,湛江國聯水產去年出現了息稅前收益(EBIT)虧損。事實上,它在息稅前利潤水平上損失了6500萬元人民幣。當我們審視這一點並回顧其資產負債表上相對於現金的負債時,對我們來說,公司有任何債務似乎是不明智的。坦率地說,我們認爲資產負債表遠非匹配,儘管可以隨着時間的推移而改善。另一個需要謹慎的原因是,在過去的十二個月中,自由現金流爲負2.01億元人民幣。因此,坦率地說,我們認爲這是有風險的。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。請注意,湛江國聯水產在我們的投資分析中顯示出兩個警告信號,其中一個與...

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

歸根結底,通常最好將注意力集中在沒有淨負債的公司身上。您可以訪問我們的此類公司的特別名單(所有公司都有利潤增長記錄)。它是免費的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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