Despite an already strong run, HM International Holdings Limited (HKG:8416) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 29% in the last thirty days. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 19% over that time.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about HM International Holdings' P/E ratio of 6.9x, since the median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio in Hong Kong is also close to 9x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
For instance, HM International Holdings' receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing earnings performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from falling. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on HM International Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Is There Some Growth For HM International Holdings?
HM International Holdings' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 12% decrease to the company's bottom line. This has erased any of its gains during the last three years, with practically no change in EPS being achieved in total. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 22% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we find it interesting that HM International Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Bottom Line On HM International Holdings' P/E
HM International Holdings' stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/E level with the market. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that HM International Holdings currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Plus, you should also learn about these 4 warning signs we've spotted with HM International Holdings (including 1 which is a bit unpleasant).
You might be able to find a better investment than HM International Holdings. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
儘管已經表現強勁,但HM International Holdings Limited(HKG: 8416)的股價一直在上漲,在過去三十天中上漲了29%。不幸的是,上個月的漲幅幾乎沒有彌補去年的虧損,在此期間,該股仍下跌了19%。
儘管價格穩步反彈,但你對HM International Holdings6.9倍的市盈率漠不關心還是可以原諒的,因爲香港的市盈率(或 “市盈率”)中位數也接近9倍。但是,不加解釋地忽略市盈率是不明智的,因爲投資者可能無視一個特殊的機會或一個代價高昂的錯誤。
例如,HM International Holdings最近收益的下降值得深思。許多人可能預計,該公司將在未來一段時間內將令人失望的收益表現拋在腦後,這阻止了市盈率的下降。如果你喜歡這家公司,你至少希望情況確實如此,這樣你就有可能在它不太受青睞的情況下買入一些股票。
我們沒有分析師的預測,但您可以查看我們關於HM International Holdings收益、收入和現金流的免費報告,了解最近的趨勢如何爲公司的未來做好準備。
HM國際控股有增長嗎?
HM International Holdings的市盈率對於一家預計只會實現適度增長且重要的是表現與市場保持一致的公司來說是典型的。