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We Think Clenergy Technology (SHSE:603628) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

We Think Clenergy Technology (SHSE:603628) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

我們認爲Clenergy Technology(SHSE: 603628)可以輕鬆管理債務
Simply Wall St ·  03/26 20:47

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Clenergy Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603628) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

有人說,波動性,而不是債務,是投資者思考風險的最佳方式,但禾倫·巴菲特曾說過一句名言:“波動性遠非風險的代名詞。”當你檢查公司的資產負債表的風險時,考慮它的資產負債表是很自然的,因爲企業倒閉時通常會涉及債務。我們注意到,Clenergy科技有限公司(上海證券交易所股票代碼:603628)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?

When Is Debt A Problem?

債務何時會成爲問題?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

當企業無法通過自由現金流或以誘人的價格籌集資金來輕鬆履行這些義務時,債務和其他負債就會成爲風險。資本主義的組成部分是 “創造性破壞” 過程,在這種過程中,倒閉的企業被銀行家無情地清算。但是,更常見(但仍然令人痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股本,從而永久稀釋股東。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理地管理債務,而且對自己有利。考慮公司的債務水平的第一步是同時考慮其現金和債務。

What Is Clenergy Technology's Net Debt?

Clenergy Technology的淨負債是多少?

As you can see below, Clenergy Technology had CN¥477.3m of debt at September 2023, down from CN¥541.6m a year prior. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥274.3m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥203.0m.

如下所示,截至2023年9月,Clenergy Technology的債務爲4.773億元人民幣,低於去年同期的5.416億元人民幣。但是,由於其現金儲備爲2.743億元人民幣,其淨負債較少,約爲2.030億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:603628 Debt to Equity History March 27th 2024
SHSE: 603628 2024 年 3 月 27 日債務與股權比率的歷史記錄

How Strong Is Clenergy Technology's Balance Sheet?

Clenergy Technology的資產負債表有多強?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Clenergy Technology had liabilities of CN¥734.9m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥408.8m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥274.3m as well as receivables valued at CN¥701.2m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥168.2m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

根據上次公佈的資產負債表,Clenergy Technology的負債爲7.349億元人民幣,12個月後到期的負債爲4.088億元人民幣。除了這些債務外,它還有2.743億加元的現金以及價值7.012億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總額高出1.682億元人民幣。

Of course, Clenergy Technology has a market capitalization of CN¥4.77b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

當然,Clenergy Technology的市值爲477億元人民幣,因此這些負債可能是可以控制的。但是,有足夠的負債,我們肯定會建議股東今後繼續監督資產負債表。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

我們使用兩個主要比率來告知我們相對於收益的債務水平。第一個是淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),第二個是其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)覆蓋其利息支出(或簡稱利息保障)的多少倍。因此,我們將債務與收益的關係考慮在內,包括和不包括折舊和攤銷費用。

Clenergy Technology's net debt is only 0.75 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 18.1 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. In addition to that, we're happy to report that Clenergy Technology has boosted its EBIT by 74%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Clenergy Technology will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Clenergy Technology的淨負債僅爲其息稅折舊攤銷前收益的0.75倍。其息稅前利潤可支付其高達18.1倍的利息支出。因此,你可以爭辯說,它受到債務的威脅並不比大象受到老鼠的威脅更大。除此之外,我們很高興地向大家報告,Clenergy Technology已將其息稅前利潤提高了74%,從而減少了對未來債務償還的擔憂。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是你不能完全孤立地看待債務;因爲Clenergy Technology需要收益來償還債務。因此,如果你想進一步了解其收益,可能值得看看這張長期收益趨勢圖。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Clenergy Technology generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 83% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

但是我們最終的考慮因素也很重要,因爲公司無法用紙面利潤來償還債務;它需要冷硬現金。因此,我們總是檢查息稅前利潤中有多少轉化爲自由現金流。在過去三年中,Clenergy Technology產生的自由現金流相當於其息稅前利潤的83%,超出了我們的預期。這使其在償還債務方面處於非常有利的地位。

Our View

我們的觀點

Clenergy Technology's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And the good news does not stop there, as its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow also supports that impression! It looks Clenergy Technology has no trouble standing on its own two feet, and it has no reason to fear its lenders. For investing nerds like us its balance sheet is almost charming. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Clenergy Technology that you should be aware of before investing here.

Clenergy Technology的利息保障表明,它可以像克里斯蒂亞諾·羅納爾多在對陣14歲以下的守門員的比賽中進球一樣輕鬆地處理債務。好消息不止於此,因爲其將息稅前利潤轉換爲自由現金流也支持了這種印象!看來Clenergy Technology可以毫不費力地靠自己的兩隻腳站立,也沒有理由擔心貸款人。對於像我們這樣的投資書呆子來說,它的資產負債表幾乎是迷人的。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。例如,我們發現了Clenergy Technology的1個警告信號,在投資這裏之前,你應該注意這個信號。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

歸根結底,通常最好將注意力集中在沒有淨負債的公司身上。您可以訪問我們的此類公司的特別名單(所有公司都有利潤增長記錄)。它是免費的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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