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CSG Holding (SZSE:000012) Shareholders Have Endured a 17% Loss From Investing in the Stock a Year Ago

CSG Holding (SZSE:000012) Shareholders Have Endured a 17% Loss From Investing in the Stock a Year Ago

南玻控股(深圳證券交易所:000012)股東一年前因投資該股而遭受了17%的虧損
Simply Wall St ·  03/26 21:17

You can invest in an index fund if you want to make sure your returns approximately match the overall market. But in any given year a good portion of stocks will fall short of that. One such example is CSG Holding Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000012), which saw its share price fall 19% over a year, against a market decline of 14%. At least the damage isn't so bad if you look at the last three years, since the stock is down 12% in that time.

如果你想確保你的回報與整個市場大致相匹配,你可以投資指數基金。但是在任何一年中,很大一部分股票都將低於這個水平。南玻集團控股有限公司(深圳證券交易所:000012)就是這樣一個例子,該公司的股價在一年內下跌了19%,而市場下跌了14%。如果你看一下過去三年,至少損失還不錯,因爲當時該股下跌了12%。

Now let's have a look at the company's fundamentals, and see if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.

現在讓我們來看看公司的基本面,看看長期股東回報是否與基礎業務的表現相匹配。

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

儘管一些人繼續教導高效市場假說,但事實證明,市場是反應過度的動態系統,投資者並不總是理性的。考慮市場對公司的看法發生了怎樣的變化的一種不完美但簡單的方法是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價走勢進行比較。

Even though the CSG Holding share price is down over the year, its EPS actually improved. Of course, the situation might betray previous over-optimism about growth.

儘管CSG Holding的股價在過去一年中有所下降,但其每股收益實際上有所改善。當然,這種情況可能會暴露先前對增長的過度樂觀。

It's fair to say that the share price does not seem to be reflecting the EPS growth. But we might find some different metrics explain the share price movements better.

可以公平地說,股價似乎並未反映每股收益的增長。但是我們可能會發現一些不同的指標可以更好地解釋股價走勢。

CSG Holding managed to grow revenue over the last year, which is usually a real positive. Since we can't easily explain the share price movement based on these metrics, it might be worth considering how market sentiment has changed towards the stock.

CSG Holding在過去一年中成功實現了收入增長,這通常是一個真正的積極因素。由於我們無法根據這些指標輕鬆解釋股價走勢,因此可能值得考慮市場對該股的情緒發生了怎樣的變化。

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

您可以在下圖中看到收入和收入隨時間推移而發生的變化(點擊圖表查看確切值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:000012 Earnings and Revenue Growth March 27th 2024
SZSE:000012 收益和收入增長 2024 年 3 月 27 日

We know that CSG Holding has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? If you are thinking of buying or selling CSG Holding stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

我們知道CSG Holding在過去三年中提高了利潤,但是未來會怎樣?如果您正在考慮買入或賣出CSG Holding的股票,則應在其資產負債表上查看這份免費的詳細報告。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, CSG Holding's TSR for the last 1 year was -17%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮兩者之間的區別 股東總回報 (TSR) 和 股價回報。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息都經過再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,股東總回報率通常遠高於股價回報率。碰巧的是,CSG控股過去1年的股東總回報率爲-17%,超過了前面提到的股價回報率。因此,該公司支付的股息提高了 股東回報。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

While the broader market lost about 14% in the twelve months, CSG Holding shareholders did even worse, losing 17% (even including dividends). However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 3%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for CSG Holding you should be aware of, and 1 of them is significant.

儘管整個市場在十二個月中下跌了約14%,但CSG Holding股東的表現甚至更糟,損失了17%(甚至包括股息)。但是,可能只是股價受到了更廣泛的市場緊張情緒的影響。如果有很好的機會,可能值得關注基本面。長期投資者不會那麼沮喪,因爲他們本可以在五年內每年賺3%。如果基本面數據繼續顯示長期可持續增長,那麼當前的拋售可能是一個值得考慮的機會。儘管市場狀況可能對股價產生的不同影響值得考慮,但還有其他因素更爲重要。一個很好的例子:我們發現了你應該注意的兩個CSG Holding警告信號,其中一個信號很重要。

We will like CSG Holding better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

如果我們看到一些大規模的內幕收購,我們會更喜歡CSG Holding。在我們等待的同時,請查看這份免費清單,列出了最近有大量內幕收購的成長型公司。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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