When close to half the companies in the Electrical industry in Hong Kong have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.4x, you may consider Sanergy Group Limited (HKG:2459) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 7.6x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
How Sanergy Group Has Been Performing
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Sanergy Group over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Sanergy Group will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
Sanergy Group's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 37%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 33% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 18% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this information, we find it concerning that Sanergy Group is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Key Takeaway
While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
We've established that Sanergy Group currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Sanergy Group (1 is concerning!) that we have uncovered.
If you're unsure about the strength of Sanergy Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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