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Is Zhejiang TongLi Transmission Technology (SZSE:301255) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Zhejiang TongLi Transmission Technology (SZSE:301255) Using Too Much Debt?

浙江通力傳動科技(深圳證券交易所股票代碼:301255)的債務是否過多?
Simply Wall St ·  03/27 23:36

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Zhejiang TongLi Transmission Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301255) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

由伯克希爾·哈撒韋公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李露對此毫不掩飾,他說:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”因此,當你評估公司的風險時,看來聰明的貨幣知道債務(通常涉及破產)是一個非常重要的因素。與許多其他公司一樣,浙江通力傳動技術有限公司(深圳證券交易所代碼:301255)也使用債務。但真正的問題是這筆債務是否使公司面臨風險。

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務會帶來什麼風險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

當企業無法通過自由現金流或以誘人的價格籌集資金來輕鬆履行這些義務時,債務和其他負債就會成爲風險。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法向債權人付款,它可能會破產。但是,更常見(但仍然令人痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股本,從而永久稀釋股東。但是,通過取代稀釋,債務可以成爲需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業的極好工具。當我們檢查債務水平時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。

How Much Debt Does Zhejiang TongLi Transmission Technology Carry?

浙江通力傳動科技揹負了多少債務?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Zhejiang TongLi Transmission Technology had CN¥28.5m of debt in September 2023, down from CN¥31.6m, one year before. But on the other hand it also has CN¥632.8m in cash, leading to a CN¥604.3m net cash position.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示浙江通力傳動科技在2023年9月有2850萬元人民幣的債務,低於一年前的3160萬元人民幣。但另一方面,它也有6.328億元的現金,淨現金狀況爲6.043億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:301255 Debt to Equity History March 28th 2024
SZSE: 301255 2024 年 3 月 28 日債務與股權比率歷史記錄

A Look At Zhejiang TongLi Transmission Technology's Liabilities

看看浙江通力傳動科技的負債

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Zhejiang TongLi Transmission Technology had liabilities of CN¥202.6m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥30.4m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥632.8m and CN¥155.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CN¥555.4m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,浙江通力傳動科技的負債爲2.026億元人民幣,一年後到期的負債爲3,040萬元人民幣。另一方面,它有一年內到期的現金爲6.328億元人民幣,還有價值1.556億元人民幣的應收賬款。所以它實際上有5.554億元人民幣 更多 流動資產超過總負債。

This excess liquidity suggests that Zhejiang TongLi Transmission Technology is taking a careful approach to debt. Due to its strong net asset position, it is not likely to face issues with its lenders. Succinctly put, Zhejiang TongLi Transmission Technology boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

這種過剩的流動性表明,浙江通力傳動科技正在謹慎地處理債務。由於其強大的淨資產狀況,它不太可能面臨貸款人的問題。簡而言之,浙江通力傳動科技擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說,它沒有沉重的債務負擔!

The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Zhejiang TongLi Transmission Technology if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 21% cut to EBIT over the last year. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Zhejiang TongLi Transmission Technology will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

如果管理層無法阻止去年削減21%的息稅前利潤,那麼其適度的債務負擔可能對浙江通力傳動科技至關重要。當一家公司看到盈利下降時,它有時會發現與貸款機構的關係惡化。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是你不能完全孤立地看待債務;因爲浙江通力傳動科技需要收益來償還債務。因此,如果你想進一步了解其收益,可能值得看看這張長期收益趨勢圖。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Zhejiang TongLi Transmission Technology may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Looking at the most recent three years, Zhejiang TongLi Transmission Technology recorded free cash flow of 48% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

最後,公司只能用冷硬現金償還債務,不能用會計利潤償還債務。浙江同力傳動科技的資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但研究該企業如何將其利息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流仍然很有趣,因爲這將影響其對債務的需求和管理能力。從最近三年來看,浙江通力傳動科技錄得的自由現金流佔其息稅前利潤的48%,低於我們的預期。在償還債務方面,這並不好。

Summing Up

總結

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Zhejiang TongLi Transmission Technology has net cash of CN¥604.3m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we don't have any problem with Zhejiang TongLi Transmission Technology's use of debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Zhejiang TongLi Transmission Technology (of which 1 can't be ignored!) you should know about.

雖然我們同情那些認爲債務令人擔憂的投資者,但您應該記住,浙江通力傳動科技的淨現金爲6.043億元人民幣,流動資產也多於負債。因此,我們對浙江通力傳動科技使用債務沒有任何問題。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。這些風險可能很難發現。每家公司都有它們,我們已經發現了浙江通力傳動科技的3個警告標誌(其中1個不容忽視!)你應該知道。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

歸根結底,通常最好將注意力集中在沒有淨負債的公司身上。您可以訪問我們的此類公司的特別名單(所有公司都有利潤增長記錄)。它是免費的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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