Is Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai) (SZSE:300180) A Risky Investment?
Is Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai) (SZSE:300180) A Risky Investment?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300180) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
由伯克希爾·哈撒韋公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李露對此毫不掩飾,他說:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”當你檢查公司的資產負債表的風險時,考慮它的資產負債表是很自然的,因爲企業倒閉時通常會涉及債務。我們可以看到,華豐微纖維(上海)有限公司(深圳證券交易所代碼:300180)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
債務會帶來什麼風險?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
債務可以幫助企業,直到企業難以償還債務,無論是新資本還是自由現金流。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法向債權人付款,它可能會破產。儘管這種情況並不常見,但我們經常會看到負債公司永久稀釋股東,因爲貸款人迫使他們以不良价格籌集資金。但是,通過取代稀釋,債務可以成爲需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業的極好工具。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,要做的第一件事是同時考慮其現金和債務。
What Is Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai)'s Net Debt?
華豐超纖(上海)的淨負債是多少?
As you can see below, Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai) had CN¥1.58b of debt at September 2023, down from CN¥1.82b a year prior. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥372.0m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥1.21b.
如下所示,截至2023年9月,華豐微纖維(上海)的債務爲15.8億元人民幣,低於去年同期的18.2億元人民幣。但是,由於其現金儲備爲3.72億元人民幣,其淨負債較少,約爲12.1億元人民幣。
A Look At Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai)'s Liabilities
看看華豐微纖維(上海)的負債
The latest balance sheet data shows that Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai) had liabilities of CN¥2.41b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥777.4m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥372.0m and CN¥1.31b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥1.51b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
最新的資產負債表數據顯示,華豐微纖維(上海)的負債爲24.1億元人民幣,此後到期的負債爲7.774億元人民幣。另一方面,它有一年內到期的現金爲3.72億元人民幣,還有價值13.1億元人民幣的應收賬款。因此,它的負債總額比現金和短期應收賬款的總和多出151億元人民幣。
This deficit isn't so bad because Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai) is worth CN¥5.76b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai) will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
這種赤字還不錯,因爲華豐微纖維(上海)的市值爲57.6億元人民幣,因此,如果有需要,可能會籌集足夠的資金來支撐其資產負債表。但很明顯,我們一定要仔細研究它能否在不稀釋的情況下管理債務。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是你不能完全孤立地看待債務;因爲華豐微纖維(上海)需要收益來償還債務。因此,如果你想進一步了解其收益,可能值得看看這張長期收益趨勢圖。
Over 12 months, Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai) made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥4.2b, which is a fall of 2.4%. We would much prefer see growth.
在過去的12個月中,華豐微纖維(上海)在息稅前利潤水平上出現虧損,收入下降至42億元人民幣,下降2.4%。我們更希望看到增長。
Caveat Emptor
Caveat Emptor
Importantly, Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai) had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CN¥52m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled CN¥13m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So to be blunt we think it is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai) that you should be aware of before investing here.
重要的是,華豐微纖維(上海)去年出現了息稅前收益(EBIT)虧損。具體而言,息稅前利潤虧損爲5200萬元人民幣。當我們審視這一點並回顧其資產負債表上相對於現金的負債時,對我們來說,公司有任何債務似乎是不明智的。因此,我們認爲其資產負債表有些緊張,儘管並非無法修復。另一個需要謹慎的原因是,在過去的十二個月中,自由現金流減少了1300萬元人民幣。因此,坦率地說,我們認爲這是有風險的。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。例如,我們發現了華豐微纖維(上海)的1個警告信號,在這裏投資之前,你應該注意這個信號。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
畢竟,如果你對一家資產負債表堅如磐石的快速成長型公司更感興趣,那麼請立即查看我們的淨現金增長股票清單。
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