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Is HengbaoLtd (SZSE:002104) A Risky Investment?

Is HengbaoLtd (SZSE:002104) A Risky Investment?

恒寶有限公司(深圳證券交易所:002104)是風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  03/28 00:54

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Hengbao Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002104) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

霍華德·馬克斯說得好,他說的不是擔心股價的波動,而是 “永久損失的可能性是我擔心的風險... 也是我認識的每位實際投資者所擔心的風險。”因此,當你評估公司的風險時,看來聰明的貨幣知道債務(通常涉及破產)是一個非常重要的因素。重要的是,恒寶公司, Ltd.(深圳證券交易所:002104)確實有債務。但真正的問題是這筆債務是否使公司面臨風險。

When Is Debt A Problem?

債務何時會成爲問題?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

債務可以幫助企業,直到企業難以償還債務,無論是新資本還是自由現金流。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。但是,更頻繁(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以支撐其資產負債表。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理地管理債務,而且對自己有利。當我們檢查債務水平時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。

What Is HengbaoLtd's Debt?

恒寶有限公司的債務是什麼?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that HengbaoLtd had debt of CN¥45.4m at the end of September 2023, a reduction from CN¥66.9m over a year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥976.3m in cash, leading to a CN¥930.9m net cash position.

您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖片顯示,截至2023年9月底,恒寶有限公司的債務爲4540萬元人民幣,較一年內的6690萬元人民幣有所減少。但另一方面,它也有9.763億元的現金,淨現金狀況爲9.309億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002104 Debt to Equity History March 28th 2024
SZSE: 002104 2024 年 3 月 28 日債務與股權比率歷史記錄

A Look At HengbaoLtd's Liabilities

看看恒寶有限公司的負債

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that HengbaoLtd had liabilities of CN¥217.1m due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥7.29m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥976.3m and CN¥320.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥1.07b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,恒寶有限公司在12個月內到期的負債爲2.171億元人民幣,之後到期的負債爲729萬元人民幣。另一方面,它有一年內到期的現金爲9.763億元人民幣,還有價值3.208億元人民幣的應收賬款。因此,它擁有的流動資產可以多出10.7億元人民幣 負債。

It's good to see that HengbaoLtd has plenty of liquidity on its balance sheet, suggesting conservative management of liabilities. Due to its strong net asset position, it is not likely to face issues with its lenders. Succinctly put, HengbaoLtd boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

很高興看到HengbaolTD的資產負債表上有充足的流動性,這表明對負債的管理比較保守。由於其強大的淨資產狀況,它不太可能面臨貸款人的問題。簡而言之,HengbaolTD擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說,它沒有沉重的債務負擔!

Better yet, HengbaoLtd grew its EBIT by 160% last year, which is an impressive improvement. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is HengbaoLtd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

更好的是,恒寶有限公司去年的息稅前利潤增長了160%,這是一個令人印象深刻的改善。如果這種增長得以維持,將使未來幾年的債務更加易於管理。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,影響未來資產負債表狀況的是HengbaolTD的收益。因此,在考慮債務時,絕對值得一看收益趨勢。單擊此處查看交互式快照。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While HengbaoLtd has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, HengbaoLtd saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

但是我們最終的考慮因素也很重要,因爲公司無法用紙面利潤來償還債務;它需要冷硬現金。儘管HengbaolTD的資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍值得一看其將利息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解其建立(或侵蝕)現金餘額的速度有多快。在過去的三年中,HengbaolTD的自由現金流總額爲負數。儘管投資者無疑預計這種情況將在適當的時候逆轉,但這顯然意味着其使用債務的風險更大。

Summing Up

總結

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case HengbaoLtd has CN¥930.9m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 160% over the last year. So we don't think HengbaoLtd's use of debt is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that HengbaoLtd is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

儘管調查公司的債務總是明智的,但在本案中,HengbaolTD擁有9.309億元人民幣的淨現金和不錯的資產負債表。它的息稅前利潤比去年增長了160%,給我們留下了深刻的印象。因此,我們認爲HengbaolTD使用債務沒有風險。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。請注意,HengbaolTD在我們的投資分析中顯示了1個警告信號,您應該知道...

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有興趣投資能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增加利潤的企業,請查看這份資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業的免費清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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