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The Five-year Underlying Earnings Growth at Shanghai Tongji Science&Technology IndustrialLtd (SHSE:600846) Is Promising, but the Shareholders Are Still in the Red Over That Time

The Five-year Underlying Earnings Growth at Shanghai Tongji Science&Technology IndustrialLtd (SHSE:600846) Is Promising, but the Shareholders Are Still in the Red Over That Time

上海同濟科技實業有限公司(SHSE: 600846)的五年基礎收益增長令人鼓舞,但在此期間,股東仍處於虧損狀態
Simply Wall St ·  03/28 20:58

For many, the main point of investing is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But even the best stock picker will only win with some selections. So we wouldn't blame long term Shanghai Tongji Science&Technology Industrial Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600846) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 28% over a half decade. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 13% in the last three months.

對於許多人來說,投資的主要目的是產生比整個市場更高的回報。但是,即使是最好的選股者也只能通過以下方式獲勝 一些 選擇。因此,從長遠來看,我們不會責怪上海同濟科技實業有限公司。, Ltd(上海證券交易所代碼:600846)的股東對他們的持股決定表示懷疑,該股在五年內下跌了28%。最近跌勢加速,股價在過去三個月中下跌了13%。

After losing 6.8% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.

在上週下跌6.8%之後,值得研究該公司的基本面,看看我們可以從過去的表現中推斷出什麼。

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

用本傑明·格雷厄姆的話來說:從短期來看,市場是一臺投票機器,但從長遠來看,它是一臺稱重機。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和一段時間內的股價變化,我們可以了解投資者對公司的態度是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的。

While the share price declined over five years, Shanghai Tongji Science&Technology IndustrialLtd actually managed to increase EPS by an average of 7.8% per year. So it doesn't seem like EPS is a great guide to understanding how the market is valuing the stock. Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.

儘管股價在五年內下跌,但上海同濟科技實業有限公司實際上設法做到了 增加 每股收益平均每年增長7.8%。因此,每股收益似乎不是了解市場如何估值股票的好指南。或者,過去的增長預期可能不合理。

Because of the sharp contrast between the EPS growth rate and the share price growth, we're inclined to look to other metrics to understand the changing market sentiment around the stock.

由於每股收益增長率與股價增長形成鮮明對比,我們傾向於參考其他指標來了解圍繞該股的市場情緒變化。

Revenue is actually up 3.2% over the time period. A more detailed examination of the revenue and earnings may or may not explain why the share price languishes; there could be an opportunity.

在此期間,收入實際上增長了3.2%。對收入和收益進行更詳細的審查可能會也可能無法解釋股價下跌的原因;可能有機會。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下圖顯示了收入和收入隨時間推移的跟蹤情況(如果您點擊圖片,可以看到更多細節)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:600846 Earnings and Revenue Growth March 29th 2024
SHSE: 600846 2024 年 3 月 29 日收益和收入增長

This free interactive report on Shanghai Tongji Science&Technology IndustrialLtd's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

如果你想進一步調查該股,這份關於上海同濟科技實業有限公司資產負債表實力的免費互動報告是一個很好的起點。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Shanghai Tongji Science&Technology IndustrialLtd the TSR over the last 5 years was -17%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮兩者之間的區別 股東總回報 (TSR) 和 股價回報。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息都經過再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。可以公平地說,股東總回報率爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的畫面。我們注意到,上海同濟科技實業有限公司過去5年的股東總回報率爲-17%,好於上述股價回報率。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

Although it hurts that Shanghai Tongji Science&Technology IndustrialLtd returned a loss of 7.1% in the last twelve months, the broader market was actually worse, returning a loss of 15%. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it's worse than the annualised loss of 3% over the last half decade. While some investors do well specializing in buying companies that are struggling (but nonetheless undervalued), don't forget that Buffett said that 'turnarounds seldom turn'. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Even so, be aware that Shanghai Tongji Science&Technology IndustrialLtd is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those shouldn't be ignored...

儘管上海同濟科技實業有限公司在過去十二個月中回報了7.1%的虧損令人痛心,但整個市場實際上更糟,回報了15%的虧損。不幸的是,去年的表現可能預示着尚未解決的挑戰,因爲它比過去五年中3%的年化虧損還要糟糕。儘管一些投資者在專門收購陷入困境(但仍被低估)的公司方面表現良好,但不要忘記巴菲特說過 “轉機很少會轉機”。我發現將長期股價視爲業務績效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正獲得見解,我們還需要考慮其他信息。即便如此,請注意,上海同濟科技實業有限公司在我們的投資分析中顯示了兩個警告信號,其中一個不容忽視...

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

如果你想與管理層一起購買股票,那麼你可能會喜歡這份免費的公司名單。(提示:業內人士一直在購買它們)。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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