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Does Jilin Yatai (Group) (SHSE:600881) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Does Jilin Yatai (Group) (SHSE:600881) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

吉林亞泰(集團)(上海證券交易所代碼:600881)的資產負債表是否良好?
Simply Wall St ·  03/29 18:21

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Jilin Yatai (Group) Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600881) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

由伯克希爾·哈撒韋公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李露對此毫不掩飾,他說:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”因此,很明顯,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。重要的是,吉林亞泰(集團)有限公司(上海證券交易所股票代碼:600881)確實有債務。但是,股東是否應該擔心其債務的使用?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時危險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

當企業無法通過自由現金流或以有吸引力的價格籌集資金來輕鬆履行債務和其他負債時,債務和其他負債就會面臨風險。在最壞的情況下,如果一家公司無法向債權人付款,它可能會破產。但是,更常見(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以支撐其資產負債表。當然,債務可以成爲企業,尤其是資本密集型企業的重要工具。考慮公司的債務水平的第一步是將其現金和債務放在一起考慮。

What Is Jilin Yatai (Group)'s Debt?

吉林亞泰(集團)的債務是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Jilin Yatai (Group) had debt of CN¥27.7b at the end of September 2023, a reduction from CN¥29.4b over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥798.6m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥26.9b.

您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖片顯示,截至2023年9月底,吉林亞泰(集團)的債務爲277億元人民幣,較一年內的294億元人民幣有所減少。但是,由於其現金儲備爲7.986億元人民幣,其淨負債較少,約爲269億加元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600881 Debt to Equity History March 29th 2024
SHSE: 600881 2024 年 3 月 29 日債務與股權比率的歷史記錄

A Look At Jilin Yatai (Group)'s Liabilities

吉林亞泰(集團)的負債一覽

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Jilin Yatai (Group) had liabilities of CN¥35.4b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥3.99b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥798.6m in cash and CN¥5.92b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥32.6b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,吉林亞泰(集團)在12個月內到期的負債爲354億元人民幣,之後到期的負債爲39.9億元人民幣。與此相抵消的是,它有7.986億元的現金和59.2億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總額高出326億元人民幣。

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CN¥5.82b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Jilin Yatai (Group) would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Jilin Yatai (Group)'s earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

這裏的缺陷嚴重影響了這家58.2億元人民幣的公司本身,就好像一個孩子在裝滿書本、運動裝備和喇叭的巨大揹包的重壓下掙扎一樣。因此,毫無疑問,我們將密切關注其資產負債表。歸根結底,如果其債權人要求還款,吉林亞泰(集團)可能需要進行大規模的資本重組。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,影響未來資產負債表狀況的是吉林亞泰(集團)的收益。因此,如果你想進一步了解其收益,可能值得看看這張長期收益趨勢圖。

In the last year Jilin Yatai (Group) had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 29%, to CN¥10b. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

去年,吉林亞泰(集團)在利息和稅前出現虧損,實際收入減少了29%,至100億元人民幣。坦率地說,這並不是一個好兆頭。

Caveat Emptor

Caveat Emptor

Not only did Jilin Yatai (Group)'s revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost a very considerable CN¥3.5b at the EBIT level. Combining this information with the significant liabilities we already touched on makes us very hesitant about this stock, to say the least. Of course, it may be able to improve its situation with a bit of luck and good execution. But we think that is unlikely since it is low on liquid assets, and made a loss of CN¥3.8b in the last year. So while it's not wise to assume the company will fail, we do think it's risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Jilin Yatai (Group) is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

在過去的十二個月中,吉林亞泰(集團)的收入不僅下滑,而且還產生了負的息稅前收益(EBIT)。事實上,在息稅前利潤水平上,它損失了35億加元人民幣。至少可以說,將這些信息與我們已經談到的重大負債相結合,使我們對這隻股票非常猶豫。當然,只要有一點運氣和良好的執行力,它也許能夠改善局面。但我們認爲這不太可能,因爲它的流動資產不足,去年虧損了38億元人民幣。因此,儘管假設公司會倒閉並不明智,但我們確實認爲這是有風險的。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。請注意,吉林亞泰(集團)在我們的投資分析中顯示了1個警告信號,您應該知道...

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

畢竟,如果你對一家資產負債表堅如磐石的快速成長型公司更感興趣,那麼請立即查看我們的淨現金增長股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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