Shandong Shengli (SZSE:000407) Strong Profits May Be Masking Some Underlying Issues
Shandong Shengli (SZSE:000407) Strong Profits May Be Masking Some Underlying Issues
The recent earnings posted by Shandong Shengli Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000407) were solid, but the stock didn't move as much as we expected. We think this is due to investors looking beyond the statutory profits and being concerned with what they see.
山東勝利股份有限公司(SZSE: 000407)最近公佈的收益穩健,但該股的波動幅度沒有我們預期的那麼大。我們認爲這是由於投資者將目光投向了法定利潤之外並關注他們所看到的情況。
How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?
不尋常的物品如何影響利潤?
Importantly, our data indicates that Shandong Shengli's profit received a boost of CN¥26m in unusual items, over the last year. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. If Shandong Shengli doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.
重要的是,我們的數據表明,與去年相比,山東勝利的不尋常項目利潤增加了2600萬元人民幣。雖然我們希望看到利潤增加,但當不尋常的物品做出重大貢獻時,我們往往會更加謹慎一些。當我們計算數千家上市公司的數字時,我們發現,特定年份中不尋常的項目所帶來的提振通常不會在第二年重演。這正如你所預料的那樣,因爲這些增強被描述爲 “不尋常”。如果山東勝利認爲這一貢獻不會重演,那麼在其他條件相同的情況下,我們預計其本年度的利潤將下降。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shandong Shengli.
注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對山東勝利的資產負債表分析。
Our Take On Shandong Shengli's Profit Performance
我們對山東勝利表現的看法
We'd posit that Shandong Shengli's statutory earnings aren't a clean read on ongoing productivity, due to the large unusual item. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Shandong Shengli's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. Nonetheless, it's still worth noting that its earnings per share have grown at 8.9% over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you want to do dive deeper into Shandong Shengli, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. To help with this, we've discovered 2 warning signs (1 is a bit concerning!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Shandong Shengli.
我們認爲,山東勝利的法定收益並不能完全反映當前的生產率,這是因爲這個很大的不尋常項目。因此,在我們看來,山東勝利的真正潛在盈利能力實際上可能低於其法定利潤。儘管如此,仍然值得注意的是,其每股收益在過去三年中增長了8.9%。當然,我們只是在分析其收益時才浮出水面;人們還可以考慮利潤率、預測增長和投資回報率等因素。如果你想更深入地了解山東勝利,你還需要研究它目前面臨的風險。爲了幫助解決這個問題,我們發現了 2 個警告信號(1 個有點令人擔憂!)在購買山東勝利的任何股票之前,你應該注意這一點。
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Shandong Shengli's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.
今天,我們放大了單一數據點,以更好地了解山東勝利的利潤性質。但是,如果你能夠將注意力集中在細節上,總會有更多的事情需要發現。有些人認爲高股本回報率是優質業務的好兆頭。因此,你可能希望看到這份免費收藏的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。