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Solid Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Actions Technology (SHSE:688049)

Solid Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Actions Technology (SHSE:688049)

穩健的收益可能無法說明Actions Technology的全部情況(SHSE: 688049)
Simply Wall St ·  04/01 18:05

The market shrugged off Actions Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688049) solid earnings report. Our analysis showed that there are some concerning factors in the earnings that investors may be cautious of.

市場對行動科技有限公司不屑一顧。”s (SHSE: 688049) 穩健的收益報告。我們的分析表明,收益中存在一些令人擔憂的因素,投資者可能會謹慎行事。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:688049 Earnings and Revenue History April 1st 2024
SHSE: 688049 2024 年 4 月 1 日的收益和收入歷史記錄

A Closer Look At Actions Technology's Earnings

仔細研究行動科技的收益

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

許多投資者還沒有聽說過現金流的應計比率,但它實際上是衡量公司在給定時期內自由現金流(FCF)在多大程度上支持利潤的有用指標。簡而言之,該比率從淨利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以該時期公司的平均運營資產。你可以將現金流的應計比率視爲 “非FCF利潤率”。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

這意味着負的應計比率是一件好事,因爲它表明該公司帶來的自由現金流比其利潤所暗示的要多。儘管應計比率爲正並不成問題,表示非現金利潤達到一定水平,但高應計比率可以說是一件壞事,因爲它表明票面利潤與現金流不匹配。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年發表的一篇論文,“應計收入較高的公司將來的利潤往往會降低”。

For the year to December 2023, Actions Technology had an accrual ratio of -0.17. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of CN¥128m, well over the CN¥65.1m it reported in profit. Given that Actions Technology had negative free cash flow in the prior corresponding period, the trailing twelve month resul of CN¥128m would seem to be a step in the right direction. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

在截至2023年12月的一年中,Actions Technology的應計比率爲-0.17。這意味着它的現金轉化率非常好,而且其去年的收益實際上大大低估了其自由現金流。事實上,在過去的十二個月中,它報告的自由現金流爲1.28億元人民幣,遠遠超過其公佈的利潤6,510萬元人民幣。鑑於Actions Technology在前一同期的自由現金流爲負,過去十二個月的1.28億元的業績似乎是朝着正確方向邁出的一步。但是,這還不是要考慮的全部。我們可以看到,不尋常的項目影響了其法定利潤,從而影響了應計比率。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

這可能會讓你想知道分析師對未來盈利能力的預測。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看根據他們的估計描繪未來盈利能力的交互式圖表。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不尋常的物品如何影響利潤?

Surprisingly, given Actions Technology's accrual ratio implied strong cash conversion, its paper profit was actually boosted by CN¥12m in unusual items. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. Actions Technology had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to December 2023. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

令人驚訝的是,鑑於Actions Technology的應計比率意味着強勁的現金轉換,其票面利潤實際上是由1200萬元人民幣的不尋常項目提高的。雖然我們希望看到利潤增加,但當不尋常的物品做出重大貢獻時,我們往往會更加謹慎一些。我們統計了全球大多數上市公司的數字,不尋常的物品在自然界中很常見。這正如你所預料的那樣,因爲這些增強被描述爲 “不尋常”。相對於其截至2023年12月的利潤,Actions Technology從不尋常的項目中做出了相當大的貢獻。在其他條件相同的情況下,這可能會使法定利潤成爲衡量潛在盈利能力的不良指導。

Our Take On Actions Technology's Profit Performance

我們的行動科技的利潤表現

In conclusion, Actions Technology's accrual ratio suggests its statutory earnings are of good quality, but on the other hand the profits were boosted by unusual items. Having considered these factors, we don't think Actions Technology's statutory profits give an overly harsh view of the business. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. For example - Actions Technology has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

總之,Actions Technology的應計比率表明其法定收益質量良好,但另一方面,利潤是由不尋常的項目提振的。考慮到這些因素,我們認爲Actions Technology的法定利潤對業務的看法不會過於嚴厲。請記住,在分析股票時,值得注意所涉及的風險。例如,Actions Technology 有 2 個警告標誌,我們認爲您應該注意。

Our examination of Actions Technology has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

我們對Actions Technology的審查側重於某些可能使其收益看起來好於實際的因素。但是,如果你能夠將注意力集中在細節上,總會有更多的事情需要發現。有些人認爲高股本回報率是優質業務的好兆頭。因此,你可能希望看到這份免費收藏的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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