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Qingyan Environmental Technology's (SZSE:301288) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem

Qingyan Environmental Technology's (SZSE:301288) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem

青巖環境科技(深圳證券交易所代碼:301288)的收益比看起來要弱
Simply Wall St ·  04/02 18:46

Unsurprisingly, Qingyan Environmental Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:301288) stock price was strong on the back of its healthy earnings report. However, we think that shareholders may be missing some concerning details in the numbers.

不出所料,青巖環境科技有限公司's(深圳證券交易所股票代碼:301288)的股價因其健康的收益報告而表現強勁。但是,我們認爲股東們可能遺漏了一些與數字相關的細節。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:301288 Earnings and Revenue History April 2nd 2024
SZSE: 301288 2024 年 4 月 2 日的收益和收入歷史記錄

Zooming In On Qingyan Environmental Technology's Earnings

放大青巖環境科技的收益

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

用於衡量公司將其利潤轉換爲自由現金流(FCF)的情況的一個關鍵財務比率是應計比率。應計比率從給定時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後將結果除以該時間內公司的平均運營資產。你可以將現金流的應計比率視爲 “非FCF利潤率”。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

因此,負應計比率對公司來說是正數,而正應計比率是負數。這並不意味着我們應該擔心應計比率爲正,但值得注意的是,應計比率相當高的地方。值得注意的是,有一些學術證據表明,總的來說,高應計率對短期利潤來說是個壞兆頭。

For the year to December 2023, Qingyan Environmental Technology had an accrual ratio of 0.27. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥49m despite its profit of CN¥21.0m, mentioned above. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥49m, this year, indicates high risk. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

在截至2023年12月的一年中,青巖環境科技的應計比率爲0.27。因此,我們知道它的自由現金流大大低於其法定利潤,這並不是一件好事。在過去的十二個月裏,它實際上有 負面的 自由現金流,儘管利潤爲210萬元人民幣,但流出量仍爲4900萬元人民幣,如上所述。在去年自由現金流爲負的背景下,我們想象一些股東可能會懷疑其今年4900萬元人民幣的現金消耗是否表明存在高風險。話雖如此,故事還有更多。應計比率至少部分反映了不尋常項目對法定利潤的影響。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Qingyan Environmental Technology.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對青巖環境科技的資產負債表分析。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不尋常的物品如何影響利潤?

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Qingyan Environmental Technology's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥4.1m in the last twelve months. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. If Qingyan Environmental Technology doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.

考慮到應計比率,在過去的十二個月中,清研環境科技的利潤因價值410萬元人民幣的不尋常項目而提振也就不足爲奇了。雖然我們希望看到利潤增加,但當不尋常的物品做出重大貢獻時,我們往往會更加謹慎一些。當我們計算數千家上市公司的數字時,我們發現,特定年份中不尋常的項目所帶來的提振通常不會在第二年重演。這正如你所預料的那樣,因爲這些增強被描述爲 “不尋常”。如果青巖環境科技不認爲這一貢獻重演,那麼在其他條件相同的情況下,我們預計其本年度的利潤將下降。

Our Take On Qingyan Environmental Technology's Profit Performance

我們對青巖環境科技盈利表現的看法

Qingyan Environmental Technology had a weak accrual ratio, but its profit did receive a boost from unusual items. Considering all this we'd argue Qingyan Environmental Technology's profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. If you'd like to know more about Qingyan Environmental Technology as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Qingyan Environmental Technology you should be mindful of and 2 of them are a bit concerning.

青巖環境科技的應計比率較低,但其利潤確實得到了不尋常項目的提振。考慮到所有這些,我們認爲清研環境科技的利潤可能給人一種對其可持續盈利水平的過於慷慨的印象。如果您想進一步了解青巖環境科技作爲一家企業,請務必了解其面臨的任何風險。一個很好的例子:我們發現了清研環境科技的3個警告信號,你應該注意,其中兩個有點令人擔憂。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

在這篇文章中,我們研究了許多可能損害利潤數字效用的因素,我們採取了謹慎的態度。但是,還有很多其他方法可以讓你對公司的看法。有些人認爲高股本回報率是優質業務的好兆頭。因此,你可能希望看到這份免費收藏的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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