share_log

There Are Some Holes In New East New Materials' (SHSE:603110) Solid Earnings Release

There Are Some Holes In New East New Materials' (SHSE:603110) Solid Earnings Release

新東方新材(SHSE: 603110)發佈的穩健業績存在一些漏洞
Simply Wall St ·  04/03 18:16

Shareholders didn't seem to be thrilled with New East New Materials Co., Ltd's (SHSE:603110) recent earnings report, despite healthy profit numbers. Our analysis has found some concerning factors which weaken the profit's foundation.

儘管利潤數據良好,但股東們似乎對新東方新材料有限公司(SHSE: 603110)最近的業績並不感到興奮。我們的分析發現了一些削弱利潤基礎的相關因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:603110 Earnings and Revenue History April 3rd 2024
SHSE: 603110 2024 年 4 月 3 日的收益和收入歷史記錄

Examining Cashflow Against New East New Materials' Earnings

根據新東方新材料的收益研究現金流

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

在高金融領域,用於衡量公司將申報的利潤轉化爲自由現金流(FCF)的效果的關鍵比率是應計比率(來自現金流)。簡而言之,該比率從淨利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以公司在此期間的平均運營資產。你可以將現金流的應計比率視爲 “非FCF利潤率”。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

因此,當公司的應計比率爲負時,這實際上被認爲是一件好事,但是如果應計比率爲正,則被認爲是一件壞事。這並不意味着我們應該擔心應計比率爲正,但值得注意的是,應計比率相當高的地方。值得注意的是,有一些學術證據表明,總的來說,高應計比率對短期利潤來說是個壞兆頭。

For the year to December 2023, New East New Materials had an accrual ratio of 0.24. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow fell significantly short of its reported profits. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥52.0m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥37m in the last year. It's worth noting that New East New Materials generated positive FCF of CN¥10m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

截至2023年12月的一年中,新東方新材的應計比率爲0.24。不幸的是,這意味着其自由現金流遠低於其報告的利潤。儘管該公司報告的利潤爲5200萬元人民幣,但從自由現金流來看,它實際上在去年消耗了3700萬元人民幣。值得注意的是,新東方新材料在一年前創造了1,000萬元人民幣的正FCF,因此至少他們過去曾這樣做過。但是,這還不是要考慮的全部。我們可以看到,不尋常的項目影響了其法定利潤,從而影響了應計比率。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of New East New Materials.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對新東方新材料的資產負債表分析。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不尋常的物品如何影響利潤?

The fact that the company had unusual items boosting profit by CN¥50m, in the last year, probably goes some way to explain why its accrual ratio was so weak. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. New East New Materials had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to December 2023. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

該公司去年有不尋常的項目將利潤提高了5000萬元人民幣,這一事實可能在某種程度上可以解釋其應計比率爲何如此疲軟。雖然我們希望看到利潤增加,但當不尋常的物品做出重大貢獻時,我們往往會更加謹慎一些。當我們分析全球絕大多數上市公司時,我們發現重大不尋常的事項往往不會重演。而且,畢竟,這正是會計術語的含義。截至2023年12月,相對於其利潤,新東方新材從不尋常的項目中做出了相當大的貢獻。在其他條件相同的情況下,這可能會使法定利潤成爲衡量潛在盈利能力的不良指導。

Our Take On New East New Materials' Profit Performance

我們對新東方新材盈利表現的看法

Summing up, New East New Materials received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. Considering all this we'd argue New East New Materials' profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. If you want to do dive deeper into New East New Materials, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. For example - New East New Materials has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

總而言之,新東方新材從不尋常的項目中獲得了不錯的利潤提振,但其紙面利潤無法與自由現金流相提並論。考慮到所有這些,我們認爲新東新材料的利潤可能給人一種對其可持續盈利水平的過於慷慨的印象。如果你想更深入地研究新東方新材料,你還需要研究它目前面臨的風險。例如,新東方新材有兩個警告標誌,我們認爲你應該注意。

Our examination of New East New Materials has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

我們對新東方新材料的審查側重於某些可能使其收益看起來好於實際的因素。而且,在此基礎上,我們有些懷疑。但是,如果你能夠將注意力集中在細節上,總會有更多的事情需要發現。有些人認爲高股本回報率是優質業務的好兆頭。因此,你可能希望看到這份免費收藏的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論