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Yinchuan Weili Transmission Technology's (SZSE:300904) Problems Go Beyond Weak Profit

Yinchuan Weili Transmission Technology's (SZSE:300904) Problems Go Beyond Weak Profit

銀川威立傳動科技(深圳證券交易所代碼:300904)的問題不僅僅是利潤疲軟
Simply Wall St ·  04/04 19:22

A lackluster earnings announcement from Yinchuan Weili Transmission Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300904) last week didn't sink the stock price. However, we believe that investors should be aware of some underlying factors which may be of concern.

銀川威立傳動技術有限公司(深圳證券交易所代碼:300904)上週公佈的業績乏善可陳,但並未使股價下跌。但是,我們認爲,投資者應注意一些可能令人擔憂的潛在因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:300904 Earnings and Revenue History April 4th 2024
SZSE: 300904 2024 年 4 月 4 日的收益和收入歷史記錄

Examining Cashflow Against Yinchuan Weili Transmission Technology's Earnings

根據銀川威立傳動科技的收益研究現金流

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

用於衡量公司將其利潤轉換爲自由現金流(FCF)的情況的一個關鍵財務比率是應計比率。爲了獲得應計比率,我們首先從一段時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以該期間的平均運營資產。這個比率告訴我們,一家公司的利潤中有多少沒有自由現金流的支持。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

因此,負應計比率對公司來說是正數,而正應計比率是負數。雖然應計比率高於零並不令人擔憂,但我們確實認爲,當公司的應計比率相對較高時,值得注意。值得注意的是,有一些學術證據表明,總的來說,高應計率對短期利潤來說是個壞兆頭。

For the year to December 2023, Yinchuan Weili Transmission Technology had an accrual ratio of 0.42. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥249m despite its profit of CN¥41.2m, mentioned above. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥249m, this year, indicates high risk. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

截至2023年12月的一年中,銀川威立傳動科技的應計比率爲0.42。從統計學上講,這對未來的收益來說確實是負面的。換句話說,該公司在那段時間內沒有產生一點自由現金流。在過去的十二個月裏,它實際上有 負面的 自由現金流,儘管利潤爲4,120萬元人民幣,但流出量仍爲2.49億元人民幣,如上所述。在去年自由現金流爲負的背景下,我們想象一些股東可能會懷疑其今年2.49億元的現金消耗是否表明存在高風險。話雖如此,故事還有更多。應計比率至少部分反映了不尋常項目對法定利潤的影響。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Yinchuan Weili Transmission Technology.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對銀川威力傳動科技的資產負債表分析。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不尋常的物品如何影響利潤?

Unfortunately (in the short term) Yinchuan Weili Transmission Technology saw its profit reduced by unusual items worth CN¥7.8m. If this was a non-cash charge, it would have made the accrual ratio better, if cashflow had stayed strong, so it's not great to see in combination with an uninspiring accrual ratio. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. Assuming those unusual expenses don't come up again, we'd therefore expect Yinchuan Weili Transmission Technology to produce a higher profit next year, all else being equal.

不幸的是(短期內)銀川威立傳動科技的利潤因價值780萬元人民幣的不尋常項目而減少。如果這是非現金支出,如果現金流保持強勁,本來可以改善應計比率,因此,再加上平淡無奇的應計比率,就不太好了。儘管由於不尋常項目而產生的扣除首先令人失望,但有一線希望。當我們分析全球絕大多數上市公司時,我們發現重大不尋常的事項往往不會重演。鑑於這些單列項目被認爲不尋常,這並不奇怪。假設這些不尋常的支出不會再次出現,因此,在其他條件相同的情況下,我們預計銀川威立傳動科技明年將實現更高的利潤。

Our Take On Yinchuan Weili Transmission Technology's Profit Performance

我們對銀川威立傳動科技盈利表現的看法

In conclusion, Yinchuan Weili Transmission Technology's accrual ratio suggests that its statutory earnings are not backed by cash flow, even though unusual items weighed on profit. Having considered these factors, we don't think Yinchuan Weili Transmission Technology's statutory profits give an overly harsh view of the business. If you want to do dive deeper into Yinchuan Weili Transmission Technology, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. When we did our research, we found 4 warning signs for Yinchuan Weili Transmission Technology (2 don't sit too well with us!) that we believe deserve your full attention.

總之,銀川威力傳動科技的應計比率表明,儘管不尋常的項目打壓了利潤,但其法定收益沒有現金流支持。考慮到這些因素,我們認爲銀川威力傳動科技的法定利潤對該業務的看法並不過於嚴厲。如果你想更深入地了解銀川威立傳動科技,你還需要研究它目前面臨的風險。當我們進行研究時,我們發現了銀川威力傳動科技的4個警告信號(2個不要坐得太好!)我們認爲值得你全神貫注。

Our examination of Yinchuan Weili Transmission Technology has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

我們對銀川威立傳動科技的審查側重於某些可能使其收益看起來好於實際的因素。但是,如果你能夠將注意力集中在細節上,總會有更多的事情需要發現。有些人認爲高股本回報率是優質業務的好兆頭。因此,你可能希望看到這份免費收藏的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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