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Shanghai Sanmao Enterprise (Group)'s (SHSE:600689) Earnings May Just Be The Starting Point

Shanghai Sanmao Enterprise (Group)'s (SHSE:600689) Earnings May Just Be The Starting Point

上海三毛企業(集團)(SHSE: 600689)的收益可能只是起點
Simply Wall St ·  04/05 18:35

Shanghai Sanmao Enterprise (Group) Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600689) announced strong profits, but the stock was stagnant. Our analysis suggests that this might be because shareholders have noticed some concerning underlying factors.

上海三毛企業(集團)有限公司(SHSE: 600689)宣佈盈利,但該股停滯不前。我們的分析表明,這可能是因爲股東已經注意到了一些相關的潛在因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:600689 Earnings and Revenue History April 5th 2024
SHSE: 600689 2024 年 4 月 5 日的收益和收入歷史記錄

A Closer Look At Shanghai Sanmao Enterprise (Group)'s Earnings

仔細看看上海三毛企業(集團)的收益

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

正如金融迷已經知道的那樣,現金流的應計比率是評估公司自由現金流(FCF)與利潤匹配程度的關鍵指標。爲了獲得應計比率,我們首先從一段時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以該期間的平均運營資產。該比率向我們顯示了公司的利潤超過其FCF的程度。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,負應計比率對公司來說是正數,正應計比率是負數。這並不意味着我們應該擔心應計比率爲正,但值得注意的是,應計比率相當高的地方。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年發表的一篇論文,“應計額較高的公司未來的利潤往往較低”。

Over the twelve months to December 2023, Shanghai Sanmao Enterprise (Group) recorded an accrual ratio of -0.24. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. To wit, it produced free cash flow of CN¥53m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of CN¥17.6m. Shanghai Sanmao Enterprise (Group)'s free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

在截至2023年12月的十二個月中,上海三毛企業(集團)的應計比率爲-0.24。因此,其法定收入大大低於其自由現金流。換句話說,它在此期間產生了5300萬元人民幣的自由現金流,使其報告的1760萬元利潤相形見絀。上海三毛企業(集團)的自由現金流與去年相比有所改善,總體而言,這是值得期待的。話雖如此,故事還有更多。我們可以看到,不尋常的項目影響了其法定利潤,從而影響了應計比率。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shanghai Sanmao Enterprise (Group).

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對上海三茂企業(集團)的資產負債表分析。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不尋常的物品如何影響利潤?

While the accrual ratio might bode well, we also note that Shanghai Sanmao Enterprise (Group)'s profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥7.9m in the last twelve months. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. We can see that Shanghai Sanmao Enterprise (Group)'s positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to December 2023. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

儘管應計比率可能是個好兆頭,但我們還注意到,在過去的十二個月中,價值790萬元人民幣的不尋常項目提振了上海三毛企業(集團)的利潤。雖然獲得更高的利潤總是件好事,但來自不尋常物品的巨額捐款有時會抑制我們的熱情。我們統計了全球大多數上市公司的數字,不尋常的物品在自然界中很常見。這正如你所預料的那樣,因爲這些增強被描述爲 “不尋常”。我們可以看到,截至2023年12月的一年中,上海三毛企業(集團)的正面不尋常項目相對於其利潤相當可觀。在其他條件相同的情況下,這可能會使法定利潤成爲衡量潛在盈利能力的不良指導。

Our Take On Shanghai Sanmao Enterprise (Group)'s Profit Performance

我們對上海三毛企業(集團)盈利表現的看法

In conclusion, Shanghai Sanmao Enterprise (Group)'s accrual ratio suggests its statutory earnings are of good quality, but on the other hand the profits were boosted by unusual items. Given the contrasting considerations, we don't have a strong view as to whether Shanghai Sanmao Enterprise (Group)'s profits are an apt reflection of its underlying potential for profit. If you want to do dive deeper into Shanghai Sanmao Enterprise (Group), you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Shanghai Sanmao Enterprise (Group) (1 is a bit concerning) you should be familiar with.

總之,上海三毛企業(集團)的應計比率表明其法定收益質量良好,但另一方面,利潤是由不尋常的項目提振的。鑑於截然不同的考慮,我們對上海三毛企業(集團)的利潤是否恰當反映了其潛在的盈利潛力沒有強烈的看法。如果你想更深入地了解上海三毛企業(集團),你還需要研究它目前面臨的風險。例如,我們已經確定了你應該熟悉的上海三毛企業(集團)的3個警告標誌(1個有點令人擔憂)。

Our examination of Shanghai Sanmao Enterprise (Group) has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

我們對上海三毛企業(集團)的審查側重於某些可能使其收益看起來好於實際的因素。但是,還有很多其他方法可以讓你對公司的看法。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟的標誌,而另一些人則喜歡 “關注資金”,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。因此,你可能希望看到這份免費收藏的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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