Camelot Electronics TechnologyLtd's (SZSE:301282) Soft Earnings Don't Show The Whole Picture
Camelot Electronics TechnologyLtd's (SZSE:301282) Soft Earnings Don't Show The Whole Picture
The market was pleased with the recent earnings report from Camelot Electronics Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:301282), despite the profit numbers being soft. However, we think the company is showing some signs that things are more promising than they seem.
市場對卡米洛特電子科技公司最近的收益報告感到滿意。,有限公司(深圳證券交易所代碼:301282),儘管利潤數字疲軟。但是,我們認爲該公司顯示出一些跡象,表明情況比看起來更有希望。
Examining Cashflow Against Camelot Electronics TechnologyLtd's Earnings
根據卡米洛特電子科技有限公司的收益研究現金流
As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
正如金融迷已經知道的那樣,現金流的應計比率是評估公司自由現金流(FCF)與利潤匹配程度的關鍵指標。簡而言之,該比率從淨利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以該時期公司的平均運營資產。該比率向我們顯示了公司的利潤超過其FCF的程度。
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
因此,負應計比率對公司來說是正數,而正應計比率是負數。雖然應計比率高於零並不令人擔憂,但我們確實認爲,當公司的應計比率相對較高時,值得注意。這是因爲一些學術研究表明,高應計率往往會導致利潤下降或利潤增長減弱。
For the year to December 2023, Camelot Electronics TechnologyLtd had an accrual ratio of 0.20. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥190m despite its profit of CN¥42.4m, mentioned above. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥190m, this year, indicates high risk. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.
在截至2023年12月的一年中,卡米洛特電子科技有限公司的應計比率爲0.20。因此,我們知道它的自由現金流大大低於其法定利潤,這並不是一件好事。在過去的十二個月裏,它實際上有 負面的 自由現金流,儘管利潤爲4240萬元人民幣,但流出量仍爲1.9億元人民幣,如上所述。在去年自由現金流爲負的背景下,我們想象一些股東可能會懷疑其今年1.9億元人民幣的現金消耗是否表明存在高風險。話雖如此,故事還有更多。我們可以看到,不尋常的項目影響了其法定利潤,從而影響了應計比率。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Camelot Electronics TechnologyLtd.
注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對卡米洛特電子科技有限公司的資產負債表分析
The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit
不尋常物品對利潤的影響
Camelot Electronics TechnologyLtd's profit suffered from unusual items, which reduced profit by CN¥18m in the last twelve months. If this was a non-cash charge, it would have made the accrual ratio better, if cashflow had stayed strong, so it's not great to see in combination with an uninspiring accrual ratio. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Assuming those unusual expenses don't come up again, we'd therefore expect Camelot Electronics TechnologyLtd to produce a higher profit next year, all else being equal.
卡米洛特電子科技有限公司的利潤來自不尋常的項目,在過去的十二個月中,利潤減少了1800萬元人民幣。如果這是非現金支出,如果現金流保持強勁,本來可以改善應計比率,因此,再加上平淡無奇的應計比率,就不太好了。看到不尋常的項目使公司利潤付出代價從來都不是一件好事,但從好的方面來看,情況可能遲早會好轉。我們調查了數千家上市公司,發現不尋常的物品本質上往往是一次性的。而且,畢竟,這正是會計術語的含義。假設這些不尋常的支出不會再次出現,因此,我們預計卡米洛特電子科技有限公司在其他條件相同的情況下,明年將實現更高的利潤。
Our Take On Camelot Electronics TechnologyLtd's Profit Performance
我們對卡米洛特電子科技有限公司利潤表現的看法
In conclusion, Camelot Electronics TechnologyLtd's accrual ratio suggests that its statutory earnings are not backed by cash flow, even though unusual items weighed on profit. Considering all the aforementioned, we'd venture that Camelot Electronics TechnologyLtd's profit result is a pretty good guide to its true profitability, albeit a bit on the conservative side. If you want to do dive deeper into Camelot Electronics TechnologyLtd, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. For example, Camelot Electronics TechnologyLtd has 4 warning signs (and 2 which make us uncomfortable) we think you should know about.
總之,卡米洛特電子科技有限公司的應計比率表明,儘管不尋常的項目打壓了利潤,但其法定收益沒有現金流支持。考慮到上述所有因素,我們認爲卡米洛特電子科技有限公司的盈利業績可以很好地指導其真正的盈利能力,儘管有點保守。如果你想更深入地了解卡米洛特電子科技有限公司,你還需要研究它目前面臨的風險。例如,Camelot Electronics TechnologyLtd有4個警告標誌(其中2個讓我們感到不舒服),我們認爲你應該知道。
In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.
在本文中,我們研究了許多可能削弱利潤數字效用的因素,以此作爲業務指南。但是,如果你能夠將注意力集中在細節上,總會有更多值得發現的地方。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率表明商業經濟狀況良好,而另一些人則喜歡 “追隨資金”,尋找內部人士正在購買的股票。儘管可能需要代表你進行一些研究,但你可能會發現這份免費收集的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單很有用。
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