Shareholders in Giant Network Group (SZSE:002558) Are in the Red If They Invested Five Years Ago
Shareholders in Giant Network Group (SZSE:002558) Are in the Red If They Invested Five Years Ago
In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But the main game is to find enough winners to more than offset the losers So we wouldn't blame long term Giant Network Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002558) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 43% over a half decade. We also note that the stock has performed poorly over the last year, with the share price down 26%.
爲了證明選擇個股的努力是合理的,值得努力超過市場指數基金的回報。但是主要的遊戲是找到足夠的贏家來抵消輸家。因此,我們不會責怪巨人網絡集團有限公司(SZSE:002558)的長期股東對他們的持股決定表示懷疑,該股在五年內下跌了43%。我們還注意到,該股去年表現不佳,股價下跌了26%。
With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.
考慮到這一點,值得一看公司的基本面是否是長期業績的驅動力,或者是否存在一些差異。
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
用本傑明·格雷厄姆的話來說:從短期來看,市場是一臺投票機器,但從長遠來看,它是一臺稱重機。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和一段時間內的股價變化,我們可以了解投資者對公司的態度是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的。
During the five years over which the share price declined, Giant Network Group's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 0.001% each year. This reduction in EPS is less than the 11% annual reduction in the share price. This implies that the market was previously too optimistic about the stock.
在股價下跌的五年中,巨人網絡集團的每股收益(EPS)每年下降0.001%。每股收益的下降幅度低於股價每年下降11%的幅度。這意味着市場此前對該股過於樂觀。
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下圖描述了 EPS 隨着時間的推移是如何變化的(點擊圖片可以看到確切的值)。
We know that Giant Network Group has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? Check if analysts think Giant Network Group will grow revenue in the future.
我們知道巨人網絡集團最近提高了利潤,但它會增加收入嗎?檢查分析師是否認爲巨人網絡集團將來會增加收入。
What About Dividends?
分紅呢?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Giant Network Group, it has a TSR of -39% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的股東總回報率和股價回報率。儘管股價回報率僅反映股價的變化,但股東總回報率包括股息的價值(假設已進行再投資)以及任何折扣融資或分拆的收益。可以公平地說,股東總回報率爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的畫面。就巨人網絡集團而言,在過去5年的股東回報率爲-39%。這超過了我們之前提到的其股價回報率。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
While the broader market lost about 15% in the twelve months, Giant Network Group shareholders did even worse, losing 25% (even including dividends). Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 7% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Giant Network Group better, we need to consider many other factors. Take risks, for example - Giant Network Group has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
儘管整個市場在十二個月中下跌了約15%,但巨人網絡集團的股東表現更糟,損失了25%(甚至包括股息)。話雖如此,在下跌的市場中,一些股票不可避免地會被超賣。關鍵是要密切關注基本發展。遺憾的是,去年的業績結束了糟糕的表現,股東在五年內每年面臨7%的總虧損。我們意識到羅斯柴爾德男爵曾說過,投資者應該 “在街頭流血時買入”,但我們警告說,投資者應首先確保他們購買的是高質量的企業。長期跟蹤股價表現總是很有意思的。但是,爲了更好地了解巨人網絡集團,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。例如,冒險吧——巨人網絡集團有 1 個我們認爲你應該注意的警告信號。
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
如果你想看看另一家公司——一家財務狀況可能優異的公司——那麼千萬不要錯過這份已經證明自己可以增加收益的公司的免費名單。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。