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Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About Jiangsu Huachen Transformer Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603097)?

Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About Jiangsu Huachen Transformer Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603097)?

股票下跌和財務狀況良好:市場對江蘇華晨變壓器有限公司(SHSE: 603097)的看法錯誤嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  04/11 20:06

It is hard to get excited after looking at Jiangsu Huachen Transformer's (SHSE:603097) recent performance, when its stock has declined 13% over the past three months. However, the company's fundamentals look pretty decent, and long-term financials are usually aligned with future market price movements. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Jiangsu Huachen Transformer's ROE today.

看了江蘇華晨變壓器(SHSE: 603097)最近的表現,很難感到興奮,當時該公司的股票在過去三個月中下跌了13%。但是,該公司的基本面看起來相當不錯,長期財務狀況通常與未來的市場價格走勢一致。特別是,我們今天將關注江蘇華晨變壓器的投資回報率。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股本回報率或投資回報率是對公司增值和管理投資者資金的有效性的考驗。簡而言之,投資回報率顯示了每美元從其股東投資中產生的利潤。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股本回報率?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

ROE 可以通過以下公式計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營業務)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Jiangsu Huachen Transformer is:

因此,根據上面的公式,江蘇華晨變壓器的投資回報率爲:

10% = CN¥91m ÷ CN¥873m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

10% = 9.1億元人民幣 ÷ 8.73億元人民幣(基於截至2023年9月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.10 in profit.

“回報” 是過去十二個月的稅後收入。另一種思考方式是,公司每持有價值1元人民幣的股權,就能獲得0.10元的利潤。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

爲什麼投資回報率對收益增長很重要?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到,投資回報率是衡量公司盈利能力的指標。現在,我們需要評估公司再投資或 “保留” 了多少利潤以用於未來的增長,從而使我們對公司的增長潛力有所了解。一般而言,在其他條件相同的情況下,股本回報率和利潤留存率高的公司的增長率要高於不具有這些屬性的公司。

A Side By Side comparison of Jiangsu Huachen Transformer's Earnings Growth And 10% ROE

江蘇華晨變壓器的收益增長和10%的投資回報率的並排比較

On the face of it, Jiangsu Huachen Transformer's ROE is not much to talk about. However, the fact that the its ROE is quite higher to the industry average of 7.1% doesn't go unnoticed by us. This probably goes some way in explaining Jiangsu Huachen Transformer's moderate 8.0% growth over the past five years amongst other factors. That being said, the company does have a slightly low ROE to begin with, just that it is higher than the industry average. Hence there might be some other aspects that are causing earnings to grow. E.g the company has a low payout ratio or could belong to a high growth industry.

從表面上看,江蘇華晨變壓器的投資回報率沒什麼好談的。但是,其投資回報率遠高於行業平均水平的7.1%,這一事實並沒有被我們忽視。除其他因素外,這可能在某種程度上解釋了江蘇華晨變壓器在過去五年中8.0%的溫和增長。話雖如此,該公司的投資回報率一開始確實略低,只是高於行業平均水平。因此,可能還有其他一些方面導致收益增長。例如,該公司的派息率較低,或者可能屬於高增長行業。

We then compared Jiangsu Huachen Transformer's net income growth with the industry and found that the company's growth figure is lower than the average industry growth rate of 14% in the same 5-year period, which is a bit concerning.

然後,我們將江蘇華晨變壓器的淨收入增長與行業進行了比較,發現該公司的增長數字低於同期14%的行業平均增長率,這有點令人擔憂。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:603097 Past Earnings Growth April 12th 2024
SHSE: 603097 過去的收益增長 2024 年 4 月 12 日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is Jiangsu Huachen Transformer fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

收益增長是對股票進行估值時要考慮的重要指標。投資者接下來需要確定的是,預期的收益增長或缺乏收益是否已經包含在股價中。然後,這可以幫助他們確定股票是爲光明還是暗淡的未來而佈局。與其他公司相比,江蘇華晨變壓器的估值是否合理?這3種估值指標可能會幫助您做出決定。

Is Jiangsu Huachen Transformer Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

江蘇華晨變壓器是否有效利用了留存收益?

Jiangsu Huachen Transformer has a three-year median payout ratio of 30%, which implies that it retains the remaining 70% of its profits. This suggests that its dividend is well covered, and given the decent growth seen by the company, it looks like management is reinvesting its earnings efficiently.

江蘇華晨變壓器的三年派息率中位數爲30%,這意味着它保留了剩餘的70%的利潤。這表明其股息覆蓋範圍良好,鑑於該公司的可觀增長,管理層似乎正在有效地對其收益進行再投資。

While Jiangsu Huachen Transformer has been growing its earnings, it only recently started to pay dividends which likely means that the company decided to impress new and existing shareholders with a dividend.

儘管江蘇華晨變壓器的收益一直在增長,但它直到最近才開始派發股息,這可能意味着該公司決定通過分紅來打動新老股東。

Conclusion

結論

Overall, we feel that Jiangsu Huachen Transformer certainly does have some positive factors to consider. Specifically, we like that the company is reinvesting a huge chunk of its profits at a respectable rate of return. This of course has caused the company to see a good amount of growth in its earnings. While we won't completely dismiss the company, what we would do, is try to ascertain how risky the business is to make a more informed decision around the company. To know the 3 risks we have identified for Jiangsu Huachen Transformer visit our risks dashboard for free.

總的來說,我們認爲江蘇華晨變壓器確實有一些積極的因素需要考慮。具體而言,我們喜歡該公司以可觀的回報率再投資其利潤的很大一部分。當然,這使該公司的收益實現了可觀的增長。雖然我們不會完全解散公司,但我們要做的是努力確定業務的風險,以便在公司周圍做出更明智的決定。要了解我們爲江蘇華晨變壓器確定的三種風險,請免費訪問我們的風險儀表板。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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