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Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Changchun High-Tech Industries (Group) Inc. (SZSE:000661)?

Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Changchun High-Tech Industries (Group) Inc. (SZSE:000661)?

股票下跌和基本面穩健:市場對長春高新技術產業(集團)股份有限公司(SZSE: 000661)的看法錯誤嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  04/11 22:00

Changchun High-Tech Industries (Group) (SZSE:000661) has had a rough month with its share price down 9.8%. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financial performance over the long term, which in this case looks quite promising. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Changchun High-Tech Industries (Group)'s ROE today.

長春高新技術產業(集團)(深圳證券交易所股票代碼:000661)經歷了艱難的一個月,其股價下跌了9.8%。但是,股票價格通常由公司的長期財務業績驅動,在這種情況下,這看起來很有希望。特別是,我們今天將關注長春高新技術產業(集團)的投資回報率。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

投資回報率或股本回報率是評估公司如何有效地從股東那裏獲得投資回報的有用工具。換句話說,它揭示了公司成功地將股東投資轉化爲利潤。

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE 是如何計算的?

The formula for return on equity is:

股本回報率的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營業務)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Changchun High-Tech Industries (Group) is:

因此,根據上述公式,長春高新技術產業(集團)的投資回報率爲:

19% = CN¥4.8b ÷ CN¥25b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

19% = 48億元人民幣 ÷ 25億元人民幣(基於截至2023年12月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.19 in profit.

“回報” 是過去十二個月的稅後收入。這意味着,每獲得價值1元人民幣的股東權益,該公司就會產生0.19元人民幣的利潤。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

爲什麼投資回報率對收益增長很重要?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到,投資回報率是衡量公司盈利能力的指標。然後,我們能夠評估公司的收益增長潛力,具體取決於公司對這些利潤進行再投資或 “保留” 了多少及其有效性。假設其他條件都一樣,與功能不相同的公司相比,具有更高股本回報率和更高利潤保留率的公司通常具有更高的增長率。

Changchun High-Tech Industries (Group)'s Earnings Growth And 19% ROE

長春高新技術產業(集團)的收益增長和19%的投資回報率

To start with, Changchun High-Tech Industries (Group)'s ROE looks acceptable. On comparing with the average industry ROE of 8.2% the company's ROE looks pretty remarkable. Probably as a result of this, Changchun High-Tech Industries (Group) was able to see an impressive net income growth of 24% over the last five years. We believe that there might also be other aspects that are positively influencing the company's earnings growth. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

首先,長春高新技術產業(集團)的投資回報率似乎可以接受。與8.2%的行業平均投資回報率相比,該公司的投資回報率看起來相當可觀。可能正因爲如此,長春高新技術產業(集團)在過去五年中實現了令人印象深刻的24%的淨收入增長。我們認爲,可能還有其他方面對公司的收益增長產生積極影響。例如,該公司的派息率較低或管理效率很高。

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Changchun High-Tech Industries (Group)'s growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 11% in the same period, which is great to see.

接下來,與行業淨收入增長相比,我們發現,與同期行業平均增長11%相比,長春高新技術產業(集團)的增長相當高,這令人欣喜。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:000661 Past Earnings Growth April 12th 2024
SZSE: 000661 過去的收益增長 2024 年 4 月 12 日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Changchun High-Tech Industries (Group) is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

收益增長是對股票進行估值時要考慮的重要指標。無論如何,投資者應設法確定預期的收益增長或下降是否已計入其中。然後,這可以幫助他們確定股票是爲光明還是暗淡的未來而佈局。衡量預期收益增長的一個很好的指標是市盈率,它根據收益前景決定了市場願意爲股票支付的價格。因此,您可能需要檢查長春高新技術產業(集團)相對於其行業是高市盈率還是低市盈率。

Is Changchun High-Tech Industries (Group) Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

長春高新技術產業(集團)是否在有效利用其利潤?

Changchun High-Tech Industries (Group)'s ' three-year median payout ratio is on the lower side at 9.6% implying that it is retaining a higher percentage (90%) of its profits. So it seems like the management is reinvesting profits heavily to grow its business and this reflects in its earnings growth number.

長春高新技術產業(集團)的三年中位數派息率處於較低水平,爲9.6%,這意味着它保留了更高的利潤百分比(90%)。因此,管理層似乎正在將利潤大量再投資以發展業務,這反映在其收益增長數字上。

Moreover, Changchun High-Tech Industries (Group) is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to rise to 16% over the next three years. Regardless, the ROE is not expected to change much for the company despite the higher expected payout ratio.

此外,長春高新技術產業(集團)決心繼續與股東分享利潤,這是我們從其至少十年派息的長期歷史中推斷出來的。我們最新的分析師數據顯示,該公司的未來派息率預計將在未來三年內上升至16%。無論如何,儘管預期的派息率更高,但預計該公司的投資回報率不會有太大變化。

Conclusion

結論

On the whole, we feel that Changchun High-Tech Industries (Group)'s performance has been quite good. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business, and at a high rate of return. Unsurprisingly, this has led to an impressive earnings growth. That being so, a study of the latest analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to see a slowdown in its future earnings growth. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

總體而言,我們覺得長春高新技術產業(集團)的表現相當不錯。特別是,我們喜歡該公司對其業務進行大量再投資,而且回報率很高。毫不奇怪,這帶來了令人印象深刻的收益增長。既然如此,對分析師最新預測的研究表明,預計該公司未來的收益增長將放緩。要詳細了解分析師對公司的最新預測,請查看該公司的分析師預測的可視化。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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