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Here's Why Dekon Food and Agriculture Group (HKG:2419) Can Afford Some Debt

Here's Why Dekon Food and Agriculture Group (HKG:2419) Can Afford Some Debt

這就是德康糧農集團(HKG: 2419)能夠負擔部分債務的原因
Simply Wall St ·  04/12 18:54

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Dekon Food and Agriculture Group (HKG:2419) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

禾倫·巴菲特曾說過一句名言:“波動性遠非風險的代名詞。”因此,當你評估公司的風險時,看來聰明的貨幣知道債務(通常涉及破產)是一個非常重要的因素。我們可以看到,德康糧農集團(HKG: 2419)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但真正的問題是這筆債務是否使公司面臨風險。

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或用自己的現金流輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。在最壞的情況下,如果一家公司無法償還債權人,它可能會破產。但是,更頻繁(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以支撐其資產負債表。但是,通過取代稀釋,對於需要資金以高回報率投資增長的企業來說,債務可能是一個非常好的工具。當我們考慮公司對債務的使用時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務。

What Is Dekon Food and Agriculture Group's Debt?

德康糧農集團的債務是多少?

As you can see below, Dekon Food and Agriculture Group had CN¥6.10b of debt at December 2023, down from CN¥6.93b a year prior. However, it also had CN¥2.60b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥3.50b.

如下所示,截至2023年12月,德康糧農集團的債務爲61.0億元人民幣,低於去年同期的69.3億加元。但是,它也有26億元的現金,因此其淨負債爲35億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:2419 Debt to Equity History April 12th 2024
SEHK: 2419 2024 年 4 月 12 日債務與股本比率的歷史記錄

A Look At Dekon Food and Agriculture Group's Liabilities

看看 Dekon 糧農集團的負債

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Dekon Food and Agriculture Group had liabilities of CN¥9.69b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥5.39b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥2.60b and CN¥97.9m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥12.4b.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,德康糧農集團的負債爲96.9億元人民幣,12個月後到期的負債爲53.9億元人民幣。另一方面,它有26億元人民幣的現金和價值9,790萬元人民幣的應收賬款將在一年內到期。因此,其負債超過其現金和(短期)應收賬款總額124億元人民幣。

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of CN¥18.0b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Dekon Food and Agriculture Group's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Dekon Food and Agriculture Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

相對於其180億元人民幣的市值,這一赤字相當可觀,因此這確實表明股東應密切關注德康糧農集團對債務的使用。這表明,如果公司需要迅速支撐資產負債表,股東將被嚴重稀釋。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但最終,該業務的未來盈利能力將決定德康食品和農業集團能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

In the last year Dekon Food and Agriculture Group wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 7.4%, to CN¥16b. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.

去年,德康糧農集團在息稅前利潤水平上沒有盈利,但其收入增長了7.4%,達到160億元人民幣。我們通常希望看到無利可圖的公司實現更快的增長,但每家公司都有自己的發展。

Caveat Emptor

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months Dekon Food and Agriculture Group produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CN¥1.0b. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. We would feel better if it turned its trailing twelve month loss of CN¥1.8b into a profit. So to be blunt we do think it is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 1 warning sign with Dekon Food and Agriculture Group , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

在過去的十二個月中,德康食品和農業集團出現了息稅前收益(EBIT)虧損。具體而言,息稅前利潤虧損爲1.0億元人民幣。當我們審視這一點並回顧其資產負債表上相對於現金的負債時,對我們來說,公司有任何債務似乎是不明智的。坦率地說,我們認爲資產負債表遠非匹配,儘管可以隨着時間的推移而改善。如果它將過去十二個月的18億元人民幣的虧損轉化爲利潤,我們會感覺更好。因此,坦率地說,我們確實認爲這是有風險的。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。我們已經向德康糧農集團確定了一個警告信號,了解它們應該是您投資過程的一部分。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有興趣投資能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增加利潤的企業,請查看這份資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業的免費清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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