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We Think Huabao International Holdings (HKG:336) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Huabao International Holdings (HKG:336) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我們認爲華寶國際控股(HKG: 336)可以繼續償還債務
Simply Wall St ·  04/12 19:38

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Huabao International Holdings Limited (HKG:336) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

霍華德·馬克斯說得好,他說的不是擔心股價的波動,而是 “永久損失的可能性是我擔心的風險... 也是我認識的每位實際投資者所擔心的風險。”當你檢查公司的資產負債表的風險時,考慮它的資產負債表是很自然的,因爲企業倒閉時通常會涉及債務。我們可以看到,華寶國際控股有限公司(HKG: 336)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但是如果企業無法償還貸款人的債務,那麼債務就會任由他們擺佈。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。但是,更常見(但仍然很痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股權資本,從而永久稀釋股東。當然,債務的好處在於,它通常代表廉價資本,尤其是當它取代一家有能力以高回報率進行再投資的公司的稀釋時。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,要做的第一件事就是綜合考慮其現金和債務。

What Is Huabao International Holdings's Debt?

華寶國際控股的債務是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Huabao International Holdings had debt of CN¥473.8m at the end of December 2023, a reduction from CN¥677.7m over a year. But it also has CN¥6.43b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥5.96b net cash.

您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖片顯示,截至2023年12月底,華寶國際控股的債務爲4.738億元人民幣,較一年6.777億元人民幣有所減少。但它也有64.3億元的現金來抵消這一點,這意味着它的淨現金爲59.6億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:336 Debt to Equity History April 12th 2024
SEHK: 336 2024 年 4 月 12 日債務與股本比率的歷史記錄

A Look At Huabao International Holdings' Liabilities

看看華寶國際控股的負債

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Huabao International Holdings had liabilities of CN¥1.38b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥348.4m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥6.43b as well as receivables valued at CN¥722.0m due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥5.42b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,華寶國際控股的負債爲13.8億元人民幣,一年後到期的負債爲3.484億元人民幣。除這些債務外,它有64.3億元人民幣的現金以及價值7.22億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它擁有的流動資產可以多出54.2億元人民幣 負債。

This excess liquidity is a great indication that Huabao International Holdings' balance sheet is almost as strong as Fort Knox. Having regard to this fact, we think its balance sheet is as strong as an ox. Simply put, the fact that Huabao International Holdings has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

這種過剩的流動性很好地表明華寶國際控股的資產負債表幾乎和諾克斯堡一樣強勁。考慮到這一事實,我們認爲其資產負債表像牛一樣強勁。簡而言之,華寶國際控股的現金多於債務這一事實可以說是一個很好的跡象,表明它可以安全地管理債務。

In fact Huabao International Holdings's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 46% in the last twelve months. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Huabao International Holdings's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

實際上,華寶國際控股的救命之處在於其低債務水平,因爲其息稅前利潤在過去十二個月中下降了46%。在還清債務方面,收入下降對健康的作用並不比含糖的蘇打水更有用。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,影響未來資產負債表狀況的是華寶國際控股的收益。因此,如果你想進一步了解其收益,可能值得看看這張長期收益趨勢圖。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Huabao International Holdings may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Huabao International Holdings produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 54% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

最後,企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤根本無法減少債務。華寶國際控股的資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但研究該企業如何將其利息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流仍然很有趣,因爲這將影響其對債務的需求和管理能力。在過去三年中,華寶國際控股產生了穩健的自由現金流,相當於其息稅前利潤的54%,與我們的預期差不多。這種自由現金流使公司處於有利地位,可以在適當的時候償還債務。

Summing Up

總結

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Huabao International Holdings has CN¥5.96b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So we don't think Huabao International Holdings's use of debt is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Huabao International Holdings that you should be aware of.

儘管調查公司的債務總是明智的,但在本案中,華寶國際控股的淨現金爲59.6億元人民幣,資產負債表看起來不錯。因此,我們認爲華寶國際控股使用債務沒有風險。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。例如,我們已經爲華寶國際控股確定了一個警告信號,你應該注意這一點。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

歸根結底,通常最好將注意力集中在沒有淨負債的公司身上。您可以訪問我們的此類公司的特別名單(所有公司都有利潤增長記錄)。它是免費的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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