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Optimism for Tederic Machinery (SHSE:603289) Has Grown This Past Week, Despite Three-year Decline in Earnings

Optimism for Tederic Machinery (SHSE:603289) Has Grown This Past Week, Despite Three-year Decline in Earnings

儘管收益連續三年下降,但上週對泰瑞機械(SHSE: 603289)的樂觀情緒有所上升
Simply Wall St ·  04/15 19:19

By buying an index fund, you can roughly match the market return with ease. But if you buy good businesses at attractive prices, your portfolio returns could exceed the average market return. For example, the Tederic Machinery Co., LTD (SHSE:603289) share price is up 25% in the last three years, clearly besting the market decline of around 21% (not including dividends). On the other hand, the returns haven't been quite so good recently, with shareholders up just 3.6% , including dividends .

通過購買指數基金,您可以輕鬆地大致匹配市場回報。但是,如果你以誘人的價格收購優秀的企業,你的投資組合回報率可能會超過平均市場回報。例如,泰瑞機械有限公司(SHSE: 603289)的股價在過去三年中上漲了25%,明顯超過了市場約21%(不包括股息)的跌幅。另一方面,最近的回報並不那麼好,股東僅上漲了3.6%,包括股息。

The past week has proven to be lucrative for Tederic Machinery investors, so let's see if fundamentals drove the company's three-year performance.

事實證明,過去一週對泰瑞機械的投資者來說是有利可圖的,所以讓我們看看基本面是否推動了該公司的三年業績。

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

引用巴菲特的話說:“船隻將在世界各地航行,但Flat Earth Society將蓬勃發展。市場上的價格和價值之間將繼續存在巨大差異...”考慮市場對公司的看法發生了怎樣的變化的一種不完美但簡單的方法是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價走勢進行比較。

During the three years of share price growth, Tederic Machinery actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) drop 8.8% per year.

在股價增長的三年中,泰瑞機械的每股收益(EPS)實際上每年下降8.8%。

Thus, it seems unlikely that the market is focussed on EPS growth at the moment. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

因此,目前市場似乎不太可能將注意力集中在每股收益的增長上。由於每股收益的變化似乎與股價的變化無關,因此值得一看其他指標。

Languishing at just 1.5%, we doubt the dividend is doing much to prop up the share price. It may well be that Tederic Machinery revenue growth rate of 8.0% over three years has convinced shareholders to believe in a brighter future. If the company is being managed for the long term good, today's shareholders might be right to hold on.

股息僅爲1.5%,我們懷疑股息是否能在支撐股價方面起到多大作用。泰瑞機械在三年內實現8.0%的收入增長率很可能說服了股東相信更光明的未來。如果公司的管理是爲了長期利益,那麼今天的股東堅持下去可能是正確的。

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

您可以在下圖中看到收入和收入隨時間推移而發生的變化(點擊圖表查看確切值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:603289 Earnings and Revenue Growth April 15th 2024
SHSE: 603289 收益和收入增長 2024 年 4 月 15 日

If you are thinking of buying or selling Tederic Machinery stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

如果您正在考慮買入或賣出泰瑞機械的股票,則應在其資產負債表上查看這份免費的詳細報告。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Tederic Machinery, it has a TSR of 33% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

除了衡量股價回報率外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報率(TSR)。基於股息再投資的假設,股東總回報率納入了任何分拆或貼現資本籌集的價值以及任何股息。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,股東總回報率通常遠高於股價回報率。就泰瑞機械而言,在過去三年中,其股東總回報率爲33%。這超過了我們之前提到的其股價回報率。因此,該公司支付的股息提高了 股東回報。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

It's good to see that Tederic Machinery has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 3.6% in the last twelve months. And that does include the dividend. There's no doubt those recent returns are much better than the TSR loss of 0.6% per year over five years. We generally put more weight on the long term performance over the short term, but the recent improvement could hint at a (positive) inflection point within the business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Tederic Machinery better, we need to consider many other factors. Take risks, for example - Tederic Machinery has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is concerning) we think you should know about.

很高興看到泰瑞機械在過去十二個月中向股東提供了3.6%的總股東回報率。這確實包括股息。毫無疑問,最近的回報遠好於五年內股東總回報率每年0.6%的虧損。我們通常更看重短期內的長期表現,但最近的改善可能暗示業務出現了(積極的)轉折點。長期跟蹤股價表現總是很有意思的。但是,爲了更好地了解泰瑞機械,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。例如,冒險吧——泰瑞機械有 2 個警告信號(其中一個令人擔憂),我們認爲你應該知道。

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

如果你像我一樣,那麼你不會想錯過這份業內人士正在收購的成長型公司的免費名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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