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Earnings Update: Here's Why Analysts Just Lifted Their Huali Industrial Group Company Limited (SZSE:300979) Price Target To CN¥72.32

Earnings Update: Here's Why Analysts Just Lifted Their Huali Industrial Group Company Limited (SZSE:300979) Price Target To CN¥72.32

最新業績:這就是分析師剛剛將華立工業集團有限公司(深圳證券交易所代碼:300979)目標股價上調至72.32元人民幣的原因
Simply Wall St ·  04/15 20:40

Huali Industrial Group Company Limited (SZSE:300979) came out with its full-year results last week, and we wanted to see how the business is performing and what industry forecasters think of the company following this report. Huali Industrial Group reported in line with analyst predictions, delivering revenues of CN¥20b and statutory earnings per share of CN¥2.74, suggesting the business is executing well and in line with its plan. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.

華立工業集團有限公司(SZSE: 300979)上週公佈了全年業績,我們想看看該業務的表現如何,以及行業預測員對該公司的看法。華立工業集團的報告與分析師的預測一致,收入爲200億元人民幣,法定每股收益爲2.74元人民幣,這表明該業務表現良好,符合其計劃。分析師通常會在每份收益報告中更新他們的預測,我們可以從他們的估計中判斷他們對公司的看法是否發生了變化,或者是否有任何新的問題需要注意。我們認爲,讀者會發現分析師對明年最新(法定)業績後的預測很有趣。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:300979 Earnings and Revenue Growth April 16th 2024
深圳證券交易所:300979 2024年4月16日收益和收入增長

Following the latest results, Huali Industrial Group's eleven analysts are now forecasting revenues of CN¥23.5b in 2024. This would be a meaningful 17% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to swell 17% to CN¥3.20. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of CN¥23.3b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥3.19 in 2024. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

根據最新業績,華立工業集團的11位分析師現在預測2024年的收入爲235億元人民幣。與過去12個月相比,這將使收入大幅增長17%。預計每股收益將增長17%,至3.20元人民幣。在本報告發布之前,分析師一直在模擬2024年的收入爲233億元人民幣,每股收益(EPS)爲3.19元人民幣。因此,很明顯,儘管分析師已經更新了估計,但在最新業績公佈後,對該業務的預期沒有重大變化。

The consensus price target rose 6.1% to CN¥72.32despite there being no meaningful change to earnings estimates. It could be that the analystsare reflecting the predictability of Huali Industrial Group's earnings by assigning a price premium. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Huali Industrial Group at CN¥77.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at CN¥66.01. The narrow spread of estimates could suggest that the business' future is relatively easy to value, or thatthe analysts have a strong view on its prospects.

儘管收益預期沒有有意義的變化,但共識目標股價上漲了6.1%,至72.32元人民幣。可能是分析師通過分配價格溢價來反映華立工業集團收益的可預測性。共識目標股價只是個別分析師目標的平均值,因此——可以很方便地看到基礎估計值的範圍有多廣。目前,最看漲的分析師對華立工業集團的估值爲每股77.00元人民幣,而最看跌的分析師估值爲每股66.01元人民幣。估計值的狹窄差異可能表明該業務的未來相對容易估值,或者分析師對其前景有強烈的看法。

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. The analysts are definitely expecting Huali Industrial Group's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 17% annualised growth to the end of 2024 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 11% per annum over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 15% annually. Huali Industrial Group is expected to grow at about the same rate as its industry, so it's not clear that we can draw any conclusions from its growth relative to competitors.

當然,看待這些預測的另一種方法是將它們與行業本身聯繫起來。分析師肯定預計華立工業集團的增長將加速,預計到2024年底的年化增長率爲17%,而過去五年的歷史年增長率爲11%。相比之下,同行業的其他公司預計收入每年將增長15%。預計華立工業集團的增長速度將與其行業大致相同,因此目前尚不清楚我們能否從其相對於競爭對手的增長中得出任何結論。

The Bottom Line

底線

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. They also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, with the company predicted to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry. There was also a nice increase in the price target, with the analysts clearly feeling that the intrinsic value of the business is improving.

最明顯的結論是,該業務的前景最近沒有重大變化,分析師的收益預測保持穩定,與先前的估計一致。他們還重申了收入預期,預計該公司的增長速度將與整個行業大致相同。目標股價也大幅提高,分析師顯然認爲該業務的內在價值正在提高。

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have forecasts for Huali Industrial Group going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

話雖如此,公司收益的長期軌跡比明年重要得多。我們對華立工業集團到2026年的發展做出了預測,你可以在我們的平台上免費查看。

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Huali Industrial Group that you need to take into consideration.

還值得注意的是,我們已經發現了華立工業集團的1個警告信號,你需要考慮。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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