share_log

Here's Why We're Not Too Worried About Kunming Longjin Pharmaceutical's (SZSE:002750) Cash Burn Situation

Here's Why We're Not Too Worried About Kunming Longjin Pharmaceutical's (SZSE:002750) Cash Burn Situation

這就是爲什麼我們不太擔心昆明龍津藥業(SZSE:002750)的現金消耗情況的原因
Simply Wall St ·  04/17 18:20

Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the right price. For example, although Amazon.com made losses for many years after listing, if you had bought and held the shares since 1999, you would have made a fortune. Nonetheless, only a fool would ignore the risk that a loss making company burns through its cash too quickly.

即使企業虧損,如果股東以合適的價格收購一家好的企業,他們也有可能賺錢。例如,儘管Amazon.com在上市後多年虧損,但如果您自1999年以來一直買入並持有股票,您本來可以發大財。儘管如此,只有傻瓜才會忽視虧損公司過快耗盡現金的風險。

Given this risk, we thought we'd take a look at whether Kunming Longjin Pharmaceutical (SZSE:002750) shareholders should be worried about its cash burn. For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. The first step is to compare its cash burn with its cash reserves, to give us its 'cash runway'.

考慮到這種風險,我們想看看昆明龍津藥業(SZSE:002750)的股東是否應該擔心其現金消耗。就本文而言,現金消耗是無利可圖的公司每年花費現金爲其增長提供資金的比率;其負自由現金流。第一步是將其現金消耗與現金儲備進行比較,爲我們提供 “現金流”。

How Long Is Kunming Longjin Pharmaceutical's Cash Runway?

昆明龍津藥業的現金流有多長?

A company's cash runway is the amount of time it would take to burn through its cash reserves at its current cash burn rate. In September 2023, Kunming Longjin Pharmaceutical had CN¥347m in cash, and was debt-free. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through CN¥65m. Therefore, from September 2023 it had 5.4 years of cash runway. While this is only one measure of its cash burn situation, it certainly gives us the impression that holders have nothing to worry about. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.

公司的現金流是指以當前的現金消耗率消耗現金儲備所需的時間。2023年9月,昆明龍津藥業擁有3.47億元人民幣的現金,並且沒有債務。縱觀去年,該公司耗資6500萬元人民幣。因此,從2023年9月起,它有5.4年的現金流道。儘管這只是衡量其現金消耗情況的一個指標,但它無疑給我們的印象是持有人不必擔心。您可以在下圖中看到其現金餘額如何隨着時間的推移而變化。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002750 Debt to Equity History April 17th 2024
SZSE: 002750 2024 年 4 月 17 日債務與股本比率的歷史記錄

How Well Is Kunming Longjin Pharmaceutical Growing?

昆明龍津藥業發展如何?

Notably, Kunming Longjin Pharmaceutical actually ramped up its cash burn very hard and fast in the last year, by 101%, signifying heavy investment in the business. And that is all the more of a concern in light of the fact that operating revenue was actually down by 57% in the last year, as the company no doubt scrambles to change its fortunes. In light of the above-mentioned, we're pretty wary of the trajectory the company seems to be on. In reality, this article only makes a short study of the company's growth data. You can take a look at how Kunming Longjin Pharmaceutical has developed its business over time by checking this visualization of its revenue and earnings history.

值得注意的是,去年,昆明龍津製藥實際上非常迅速地增加了現金消耗,增長了101%,這表明對該業務進行了大量投資。鑑於去年的營業收入實際上下降了57%,這尤其令人擔憂,因爲該公司無疑正在爭先恐後地改變命運。鑑於上述情況,我們對公司的發展軌跡非常謹慎。實際上,本文僅對公司的增長數據進行了簡短的研究。您可以通過查看昆明龍津製藥收入和收益歷史的可視化來了解昆明龍津製藥如何隨着時間的推移發展其業務。

How Hard Would It Be For Kunming Longjin Pharmaceutical To Raise More Cash For Growth?

昆明龍津藥業籌集更多資金促進增長會有多難?

Kunming Longjin Pharmaceutical seems to be in a fairly good position, in terms of cash burn, but we still think it's worthwhile considering how easily it could raise more money if it wanted to. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).

就現金消耗而言,昆明龍津製藥似乎處於相當不錯的位置,但我們仍然認爲值得考慮如果它願意,它可以多麼容易地籌集更多資金。公司可以通過債務或股權籌集資金。通常,企業會自行出售新股以籌集現金和推動增長。通過將公司的年度現金消耗與其總市值進行比較,我們可以大致估計該公司必須發行多少股才能再經營一年(以相同的消耗率)。

Since it has a market capitalisation of CN¥2.4b, Kunming Longjin Pharmaceutical's CN¥65m in cash burn equates to about 2.7% of its market value. That means it could easily issue a few shares to fund more growth, and might well be in a position to borrow cheaply.

由於其市值爲24億元人民幣,昆明龍津藥業的6500萬元現金消耗相當於其市值的2.7%左右。這意味着它可以輕鬆發行幾股股票來爲更多的增長提供資金,並且很可能有能力廉價地借款。

So, Should We Worry About Kunming Longjin Pharmaceutical's Cash Burn?

那麼,我們應該擔心昆明龍津藥業的現金消耗嗎?

On this analysis of Kunming Longjin Pharmaceutical's cash burn, we think its cash runway was reassuring, while its falling revenue has us a bit worried. Based on the factors mentioned in this article, we think its cash burn situation warrants some attention from shareholders, but we don't think they should be worried. Readers need to have a sound understanding of business risks before investing in a stock, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Kunming Longjin Pharmaceutical that potential shareholders should take into account before putting money into a stock.

在對昆明龍津藥業現金消耗的分析中,我們認爲其現金流令人放心,而其收入下降使我們有些擔憂。根據本文中提到的因素,我們認爲其現金消耗情況值得股東關注,但我們認爲他們不應該擔心。讀者在投資股票之前需要對商業風險有充分的了解,我們發現了昆明龍津藥業的兩個警告信號,潛在股東在向股票投入資金之前應考慮這些信號。

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies insiders are buying, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

當然,通過尋找其他地方,你可能會找到一筆不錯的投資。因此,來看看這份內部人士正在買入的公司的免費清單,以及這份成長型股票清單(根據分析師的預測)

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論