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Zhejiang Cfmoto Power Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603129) Analysts Are Pretty Bullish On The Stock After Recent Results

Zhejiang Cfmoto Power Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603129) Analysts Are Pretty Bullish On The Stock After Recent Results

浙江長風摩托動力有限公司, Ltd (SHSE: 603129) 公佈最新業績後,分析師對該股相當看漲
Simply Wall St ·  04/18 19:38

Zhejiang Cfmoto Power Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603129) just released its latest full-year report and things are not looking great. Zhejiang Cfmoto PowerLtd missed analyst forecasts, with revenues of CN¥12b and statutory earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥6.69, falling short by 2.7% and 2.7% respectively. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.

浙江長風摩托動力有限公司, Ltd(SHSE: 603129)剛剛發佈了最新的全年報告,但情況看起來並不樂觀。浙江Cfmoto PowerLtd未達到分析師的預期,收入爲120億元人民幣,法定每股收益(EPS)爲6.69元人民幣,分別下降2.7%和2.7%。對於投資者來說,這是一個重要時刻,因爲他們可以在報告中追蹤公司的業績,看看專家對明年的預測,看看對該業務的預期是否有任何變化。我們認爲,讀者會發現分析師對明年最新(法定)業績後的預測很有趣。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:603129 Earnings and Revenue Growth April 18th 2024
SHSE: 603129 2024 年 4 月 18 日收益和收入增長

After the latest results, the nine analysts covering Zhejiang Cfmoto PowerLtd are now predicting revenues of CN¥14.9b in 2024. If met, this would reflect a substantial 23% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to shoot up 22% to CN¥8.19. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of CN¥15.1b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥8.51 in 2024. The analysts seem to have become a little more negative on the business after the latest results, given the small dip in their earnings per share numbers for next year.

根據最新業績,報道浙江長豐摩托動力有限公司的九位分析師現在預測2024年的收入爲149億元人民幣。如果得到滿足,這將反映出收入與過去12個月相比大幅增長了23%。預計每股收益將飆升22%,至8.19元人民幣。然而,在最新業績公佈之前,分析師曾預計2024年的收入爲151億元人民幣,每股收益(EPS)爲8.51元人民幣。鑑於明年每股收益略有下降,分析師在最新業績公佈後似乎對該業務變得更加消極了。

Althoughthe analysts have revised their earnings forecasts for next year, they've also lifted the consensus price target 16% to CN¥152, suggesting the revised estimates are not indicative of a weaker long-term future for the business. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Zhejiang Cfmoto PowerLtd at CN¥175 per share, while the most bearish prices it at CN¥126. These price targets show that analysts do have some differing views on the business, but the estimates do not vary enough to suggest to us that some are betting on wild success or utter failure.

儘管分析師已經修改了明年的收益預期,但他們也將共識目標股價上調了16%,至152元人民幣,這表明修訂後的估計並不表示該業務的長期前景疲軟。共識目標股價只是個別分析師目標的平均值,因此——可以很方便地看到基礎估計值的範圍有多廣。目前,最看漲的分析師估值浙江Cfmoto PowerLtd爲每股175元人民幣,而最看跌的分析師估值爲126元人民幣。這些目標股價表明,分析師對該業務的看法確實有所不同,但這些估計的差異不足以向我們表明,有些人押注取得巨大成功或徹底失敗。

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Zhejiang Cfmoto PowerLtd's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2024 expected to display 23% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 34% over the past five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 16% annually. Even after the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Zhejiang Cfmoto PowerLtd is also expected to grow faster than the wider industry.

現在從大局來看,我們理解這些預測的方法之一是看看它們與過去的表現和行業增長估計相比如何。很明顯,預計浙江Cfmoto PowerLtd的收入增長將大幅放緩,預計到2024年底的收入按年計算將增長23%。相比之下,過去五年的歷史增長率爲34%。相比之下,該行業中其他有分析師報道的公司的收入預計將以每年16%的速度增長。即使在預測增長放緩之後,似乎很明顯,浙江Cfmoto PowerLtd的增長速度也將超過整個行業。

The Bottom Line

底線

The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Zhejiang Cfmoto PowerLtd. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was also a nice increase in the price target, with the analysts clearly feeling that the intrinsic value of the business is improving.

最大的擔憂是,分析師下調了每股收益預期,這表明浙江Cfmoto PowerLtd可能會面臨業務不利因素。幸運的是,他們還再次確認了收入數字,表明收入符合預期。此外,我們的數據表明,收入的增長速度預計將快於整個行業。目標股價也大幅提高,分析師顯然認爲該業務的內在價值正在提高。

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Zhejiang Cfmoto PowerLtd. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Zhejiang Cfmoto PowerLtd going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

考慮到這一點,我們不會很快就浙江Cfmoto PowerLtd得出結論。長期盈利能力比明年的利潤重要得多。在Simply Wall St,我們有分析師對浙江Cfmoto PowerLtd到2026年的全方位估計,你可以在我們的平台上免費查看。

Plus, you should also learn about the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Zhejiang Cfmoto PowerLtd .

另外,你還應該了解一下我們在浙江Cfmoto PowerLtd發現的1個警告標誌。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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