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Should Weakness in Jiangsu Tianmu Lake Tourism Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:603136) Stock Be Seen As A Sign That Market Will Correct The Share Price Given Decent Financials?

Should Weakness in Jiangsu Tianmu Lake Tourism Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:603136) Stock Be Seen As A Sign That Market Will Correct The Share Price Given Decent Financials?

江蘇天目湖旅遊股份有限公司的弱點應該是, Ltd(SHSE: 603136)的股票被視爲鑑於財務狀況良好,市場將修正股價的標誌?
Simply Wall St ·  04/18 20:08

With its stock down 11% over the past week, it is easy to disregard Jiangsu Tianmu Lake TourismLtd (SHSE:603136). But if you pay close attention, you might find that its key financial indicators look quite decent, which could mean that the stock could potentially rise in the long-term given how markets usually reward more resilient long-term fundamentals. In this article, we decided to focus on Jiangsu Tianmu Lake TourismLtd's ROE.

江蘇天目湖旅遊有限公司(上海證券交易所股票代碼:603136)的股票在過去一週下跌了11%,很容易被忽視。但是,如果你密切關注,你可能會發現其關鍵財務指標看起來相當不錯,考慮到市場通常會獎勵更具彈性的長期基本面,這可能意味着該股有可能在長期內上漲。在這篇文章中,我們決定重點關注江蘇天目湖旅遊有限公司的投資回報率。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

股本回報率或投資回報率是對公司增值和管理投資者資金的有效性的考驗。換句話說,它揭示了公司成功地將股東投資轉化爲利潤。

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE 是如何計算的?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股本回報率可以使用以下公式計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營業務)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Jiangsu Tianmu Lake TourismLtd is:

因此,根據上述公式,江蘇天目湖旅遊有限公司的投資回報率爲:

11% = CN¥157m ÷ CN¥1.4b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

11% = 1.57億元人民幣 ÷ 14億元人民幣(基於截至2023年9月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.11 in profit.

“回報” 是過去十二個月的稅後收入。這意味着,每獲得價值1元人民幣的股東權益,該公司就會產生0.11元人民幣的利潤。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

爲什麼投資回報率對收益增長很重要?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

我們已經確定,投資回報率是衡量公司未來收益的有效盈利指標。根據公司選擇將多少利潤進行再投資或 “保留”,我們便能夠評估公司未來創造利潤的能力。假設其他條件都一樣,與功能不相同的公司相比,具有更高股本回報率和更高利潤保留率的公司通常具有更高的增長率。

Jiangsu Tianmu Lake TourismLtd's Earnings Growth And 11% ROE

江蘇天目湖旅遊有限公司的收益增長和11%的投資回報率

At first glance, Jiangsu Tianmu Lake TourismLtd seems to have a decent ROE. On comparing with the average industry ROE of 8.0% the company's ROE looks pretty remarkable. Needless to say, we are quite surprised to see that Jiangsu Tianmu Lake TourismLtd's net income shrunk at a rate of 12% over the past five years. Therefore, there might be some other aspects that could explain this. For example, it could be that the company has a high payout ratio or the business has allocated capital poorly, for instance.

乍一看,江蘇天目湖旅遊有限公司的投資回報率似乎不錯。與8.0%的行業平均投資回報率相比,該公司的投資回報率看起來相當可觀。毋庸置疑,我們驚訝地看到,江蘇天目湖旅遊有限公司的淨收入在過去五年中以12%的速度萎縮。因此,可能還有其他一些方面可以解釋這一點。例如,可能是該公司的派息率很高,或者企業的資本配置不當。

As a next step, we compared Jiangsu Tianmu Lake TourismLtd's performance with the industry and discovered the industry has shrunk at a rate of 26% in the same period meaning that the company has been shrinking its earnings at a rate lower than the industry. This does appease the negative sentiment around the company to a certain extent.

下一步,我們將江蘇天目湖旅遊有限公司的業績與該行業進行了比較,發現該行業同期萎縮了26%,這意味着該公司的收益萎縮率一直低於該行業。這確實在一定程度上緩解了公司周圍的負面情緒。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:603136 Past Earnings Growth April 19th 2024
SHSE: 603136 過去的收益增長 2024 年 4 月 19 日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Jiangsu Tianmu Lake TourismLtd is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

收益增長是股票估值的重要因素。無論如何,投資者應設法確定預期的收益增長或下降是否已計入其中。然後,這可以幫助他們確定股票是面向光明還是暗淡的未來。衡量預期收益增長的一個很好的指標是市盈率,它根據收益前景決定了市場願意爲股票支付的價格。因此,您可能需要檢查相對於其行業,江蘇天目湖旅遊有限公司的市盈率是高還是低。

Is Jiangsu Tianmu Lake TourismLtd Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

江蘇天目湖旅遊有限公司是否在有效利用其利潤?

While the company did payout a portion of its dividend in the past, it currently doesn't pay a regular dividend. This implies that potentially all of its profits are being reinvested in the business.

儘管該公司過去確實派發了部分股息,但目前不支付定期股息。這意味着其所有利潤可能都被再投資於該業務。

Conclusion

結論

Overall, we feel that Jiangsu Tianmu Lake TourismLtd certainly does have some positive factors to consider. However, given the high ROE and high profit retention, we would expect the company to be delivering strong earnings growth, but that isn't the case here. This suggests that there might be some external threat to the business, that's hampering its growth. With that said, we studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that while the company has shrunk its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to grow in the future. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

總的來說,我們認爲江蘇天目湖旅遊有限公司確實有一些積極的因素需要考慮。但是,鑑於高投資回報率和高利潤保留率,我們預計該公司將實現強勁的收益增長,但情況並非如此。這表明該業務可能面臨一些外部威脅,這阻礙了其增長。話雖如此,我們研究了分析師的最新預測,發現儘管該公司過去曾縮減收益,但分析師預計其未來收益將增長。要詳細了解分析師對公司的最新預測,請查看該公司的分析師預測的可視化。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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