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We Think Fujian Torch Electron Technology (SHSE:603678) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Fujian Torch Electron Technology (SHSE:603678) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我們認爲福建火炬電子科技(SHSE: 603678)可以繼續償還債務
Simply Wall St ·  04/18 21:44

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Fujian Torch Electron Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603678) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

有人說,波動性,而不是債務,是投資者思考風險的最佳方式,但禾倫·巴菲特曾說過一句名言:“波動性遠非風險的代名詞。”因此,當你評估公司的風險時,看來聰明的貨幣知道債務(通常涉及破產)是一個非常重要的因素。重要的是,福建火炬電子科技股份有限公司(SHSE: 603678)確實有債務。但真正的問題是這筆債務是否使公司面臨風險。

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時危險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

當企業無法輕易履行這些義務時,無論是通過自由現金流還是以誘人的價格籌集資金,債務和其他負債就會面臨風險。資本主義的重要部分是 “創造性破壞” 的過程,在這個過程中,倒閉的企業被銀行家無情地清算。但是,更常見(但仍然令人痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股權資本,從而永久稀釋股東。當然,債務可能是企業的重要工具,尤其是資本密集型企業。當我們考慮公司對債務的使用時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務。

What Is Fujian Torch Electron Technology's Net Debt?

福建火炬電子科技的淨負債是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2023 Fujian Torch Electron Technology had debt of CN¥1.45b, up from CN¥1.34b in one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥1.15b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥300.2m.

您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖片顯示,截至2023年12月,福建火炬電子科技的債務爲14.5億元人民幣,高於一年內的13.4億元人民幣。另一方面,它擁有11.5億元的現金,淨負債約爲3.002億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:603678 Debt to Equity History April 19th 2024
SHSE: 603678 2024 年 4 月 19 日債務與股本的比率記錄

A Look At Fujian Torch Electron Technology's Liabilities

看看福建火炬電子科技的負債

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Fujian Torch Electron Technology had liabilities of CN¥1.25b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.00b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.15b and CN¥2.13b worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CN¥1.03b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,福建火炬電子科技的負債爲12.5億元人民幣,一年後到期的負債爲10億元人民幣。另一方面,它有一年內到期的現金爲11.5億元人民幣,還有價值21.3億元人民幣的應收賬款。所以它實際上有1.03億元人民幣 更多 流動資產超過總負債。

This short term liquidity is a sign that Fujian Torch Electron Technology could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched.

這種短期的流動性表明,福建火炬電子科技可能會輕鬆償還債務,因爲其資產負債表遠未捉襟見肘。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

我們通過以下方法來衡量公司的債務負擔與其盈利能力:將其淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),並計算其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)支付利息支出(利息保障)的難易程度。這種方法的優勢在於,我們既考慮了債務的絕對數量(包括淨負債與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤),也考慮了與該債務相關的實際利息支出(及其利息覆蓋率)。

Fujian Torch Electron Technology has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.52. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 10.7 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. It is just as well that Fujian Torch Electron Technology's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 61% over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Fujian Torch Electron Technology's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

福建火炬電子科技的淨負債與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的比率很低,僅爲0.52。而且其息稅前利潤很容易彌補其利息支出,是其規模的10.7倍。因此,我們對它超保守的債務使用相當放鬆。福建火炬電子科技的負荷也不是太重,因爲其息稅前利潤比去年下降了61%。收益下降(如果這種趨勢持續下去)最終也可能使即使是微不足道的債務也相當危險。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,未來收益將決定福建火炬電子科技未來保持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, Fujian Torch Electron Technology's free cash flow amounted to 30% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

最後,儘管稅務人員可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸款人只接受冷硬現金。因此,合乎邏輯的步驟是研究息稅前利潤與實際自由現金流相匹配的比例。在過去三年中,福建火炬電子科技的自由現金流佔其息稅前利潤的30%,低於我們的預期。在償還債務方面,這並不好。

Our View

我們的觀點

Fujian Torch Electron Technology's EBIT growth rate was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. In particular, we are dazzled with its interest cover. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Fujian Torch Electron Technology's use of debt. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Fujian Torch Electron Technology .

儘管我們考慮的其他因素要好得多,但福建火炬電子科技的息稅前利潤增長率在這項分析中確實是負面的。特別是,它的興趣封面令我們眼花繚亂。當我們考慮上述所有因素時,我們確實對福建火炬電子科技的債務使用感到有些謹慎。儘管我們意識到債務可以提高股本回報率,但我們建議股東密切關注其債務水平,以免債務增加。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。爲此,你應該注意我們在福建火炬電子科技發現的兩個警告信號。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

畢竟,如果你對一家資產負債表堅如磐石的快速成長型公司更感興趣,那麼請立即查看我們的淨現金增長股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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