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Is InfotmicLtd (SZSE:000670) A Risky Investment?

Is InfotmicLtd (SZSE:000670) A Risky Investment?

InfotmicLtd(深圳證券交易所股票代碼:000670)是一項風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  04/18 22:45

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Infotmic Co.,Ltd (SZSE:000670) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

大衛·伊本說得好,他說:“波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久損失。”因此,很明顯,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。重要的是,Infotmic Co., Ltd(深圳證券交易所股票代碼:000670)確實有債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務會帶來什麼風險?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

債務可以幫助企業,直到企業難以償還債務,無論是新資本還是自由現金流。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法向債權人付款,它可能會破產。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司爲了控制債務,必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東。當然,許多公司使用債務爲增長提供資金,而不會產生任何負面影響。當我們檢查債務水平時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。

How Much Debt Does InfotmicLtd Carry?

InfotmicLTD 揹負了多少債務?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2023, InfotmicLtd had CN¥472.2m of debt, up from CN¥234.5m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has CN¥16.6m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥455.5m.

如下所示,截至2023年12月底,InfotmicLtd的債務爲4.722億元人民幣,高於去年同期的2.345億加元。點擊圖片查看更多細節。另一方面,它擁有1660萬元的現金,淨負債約爲4.555億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:000670 Debt to Equity History April 19th 2024
SZSE: 000670 2024 年 4 月 19 日債務與股本比率的歷史記錄

A Look At InfotmicLtd's Liabilities

看看 InfotmicLTD 的負債

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that InfotmicLtd had liabilities of CN¥1.59b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥77.2m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥16.6m and CN¥1.08b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥564.3m.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,InfotmicLtd的負債爲15.9億元人民幣,12個月內到期的負債爲7,720萬元人民幣。另一方面,它有一年內到期的現金爲1,660萬元人民幣,還有價值10.8億元人民幣的應收賬款。因此,其負債超過其現金和(短期)應收賬款總額5.643億元人民幣。

Since publicly traded InfotmicLtd shares are worth a total of CN¥3.97b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

由於上市的InfotmicLtd股票總價值爲39.7億元人民幣,因此這種負債水平似乎不太可能構成重大威脅。但是,有足夠的負債,我們肯定會建議股東今後繼續監督資產負債表。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

爲了擴大公司相對於收益的負債規模,我們計算其淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),將其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)除以利息支出(利息保障)。這樣,我們既考慮債務的絕對數量,也考慮爲債務支付的利率。

Weak interest cover of 1.2 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 9.3 hit our confidence in InfotmicLtd like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. Worse, InfotmicLtd's EBIT was down 49% over the last year. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is InfotmicLtd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

1.2倍的薄弱利息覆蓋率和令人不安的高淨負債與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的比率9.3打擊了我們對InfotmicLTD的信心,就像是一二的衝擊。這裏的債務負擔是沉重的。更糟糕的是,InfotmicLtd的息稅前利潤比去年下降了49%。如果收益長期保持這樣的水平,那麼償還債務的可能性很小。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,影響未來資產負債表狀況的是InfotmicLTD的收益。因此,如果你想進一步了解其收益,可能值得看看這張長期收益趨勢圖。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, InfotmicLtd burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

最後,企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤根本無法減少債務。因此,我們總是檢查息稅前利潤中有多少轉化爲自由現金流。在過去的三年中,InfotmicLTD消耗了大量現金。儘管投資者無疑預計這種情況將在適當的時候逆轉,但這顯然意味着其使用債務的風險更大。

Our View

我們的觀點

On the face of it, InfotmicLtd's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least its level of total liabilities is not so bad. We're quite clear that we consider InfotmicLtd to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 1 warning sign with InfotmicLtd , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

從表面上看,InfotmicLTD將息稅前利潤轉換爲自由現金流使我們對該股持初步看法,其息稅前利潤增長率並不比一年中最繁忙的夜晚那家空蕩蕩的餐廳更具吸引力。但至少它的總負債水平還不錯。我們很清楚,由於其資產負債表狀況良好,我們認爲InfotmicLTD的風險確實相當大。出於這個原因,我們對該股非常謹慎,我們認爲股東應密切關注其流動性。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。我們已經向InfotmicLTD確定了1個警告信號,了解它們應該是您投資過程的一部分。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有興趣投資能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增加利潤的企業,請查看這份資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業的免費清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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