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Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About GUOMAI Culture & Media Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301052)?

Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About GUOMAI Culture & Media Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301052)?

股票下跌和財務狀況良好:市場對國邁文化傳媒有限公司(深交所股票代碼:301052)的看法錯誤嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  04/19 19:16

With its stock down 20% over the past month, it is easy to disregard GUOMAI Culture & Media (SZSE:301052). However, the company's fundamentals look pretty decent, and long-term financials are usually aligned with future market price movements. In this article, we decided to focus on GUOMAI Culture & Media's ROE.

由於過去一個月股票下跌了20%,因此容易忽視國脈文化傳媒(SZSE:301052)。然而,該公司的基本面看起來相當不錯,長期財務狀況通常與未來市場價格走勢保持一致。在本文中,我們決定關注國脈文化傳媒的roe。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

ROE或股東權益報酬率是一種有用的工具,用於評估一家公司能否有效地利用來自股東的投資產生回報。換句話說,它揭示了公司將股東的投資變成利潤的成功程度。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

怎樣計算ROE?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股東權益報酬率可以使用以下公式計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(從持續經營中獲得)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for GUOMAI Culture & Media is:

因此,根據上述公式,國脈文化傳媒的roe爲:

8.0% = CN¥54m ÷ CN¥671m (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

8.0% = CN¥54m ÷ CN¥671m(基於截至2023年12月的過去12個月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.08 in profit.

'回報'是每年的利潤。一個概念是,對於每個股東的1元人民幣,該公司賺取0.08元人民幣的利潤。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

ROE與盈利增長有什麼關係?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到ROE衡量公司如何高效地生成利潤。現在我們需要評估公司以後的增長潛力,即公司重新投資或“保留”的利潤。其他條件相同的情況下,同時具有較高的股權回報率和較高的利潤保留的公司通常是相對於不具備相同特點的公司而言增長率更高的公司。

GUOMAI Culture & Media's Earnings Growth And 8.0% ROE

國脈文化傳媒的盈利增長和8.0%的roe

When you first look at it, GUOMAI Culture & Media's ROE doesn't look that attractive. However, the fact that the its ROE is quite higher to the industry average of 6.1% doesn't go unnoticed by us. Still, GUOMAI Culture & Media has seen a flat net income growth over the past five years. Bear in mind, the company does have a slightly low ROE. It is just that the industry ROE is lower. Therefore, the low to flat growth in earnings could also be the result of this.

當你第一次看到它時,國脈文化傳媒的roe似乎並不那麼有吸引力。然而,它的roe相當高於6.1%的行業平均水平,這一點我們不會忽視。儘管如此,國脈文化傳媒在過去五年中的淨利潤增長趨於平緩。請記住,該公司的roe略低。只是行業roe更低。因此,收益低至持平也可能是這個原因導致的。

We then compared GUOMAI Culture & Media's net income growth with the industry and found that the company's growth figure is lower than the average industry growth rate of 2.3% in the same 5-year period, which is a bit concerning.

然後,我們將國脈文化傳媒的淨利潤增長與行業進行了比較,發現該公司的增長率低於同一5年期內平均行業增長率的2.3%,這有點令人擔憂。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:301052 Past Earnings Growth April 19th 2024
SZSE:301052過去的盈利增長2024年4月19日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about GUOMAI Culture & Media's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

企業價值的依據,在很大程度上取決於其盈利增長。投資者應嘗試確定預期的盈利增長或下降(無論哪種情況),是否被定價。通過這樣做,他們將了解股票是前往清晰的藍色水域,還是等待沼澤的水域。如果你想知道國脈文化傳媒的估值情況,請查看它的市盈率與行業的對比情況。

Is GUOMAI Culture & Media Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

國脈文化傳媒是否有效利用其利潤?

GUOMAI Culture & Media's low three-year median payout ratio of 13%, (meaning the company retains87% of profits) should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings and consequently, should see higher growth than it has reported.

國脈文化傳媒三年內的中位數低的13%支付比率(意味着公司保留87%的利潤),應意味着公司保留了大部分收益,因此應該看到比報告更高的增長。

In addition, GUOMAI Culture & Media only recently started paying a dividend so the management must have decided the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

此外,國脈文化傳媒僅最近開始支付股息,因此管理層必須已經決定股東更喜歡股息而不是盈利增長。

Conclusion

結論

Overall, we feel that GUOMAI Culture & Media certainly does have some positive factors to consider. However, while the company does have a decent ROE and a high profit retention, its earnings growth number is quite disappointing. This suggests that there might be some external threat to the business, that's hampering growth. That being so, the latest analyst forecasts show that the company will continue to see an expansion in its earnings. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

總的來說,我們認爲國脈文化傳媒肯定有一些積極因素需要考慮。但是,儘管該公司有不錯的roe和高利潤保留,但其收益增長數據仍然相當令人失望。這表明可能存在一些外部威脅,這會妨礙增長。既然如此,最新的分析師預測顯示該公司將繼續擴大盈利規模。要了解有關該公司最新分析師預測的更多信息,請查看分析師對該公司的預測的可視化。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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