Dashang's (SHSE:600694) Conservative Accounting Might Explain Soft Earnings
Dashang's (SHSE:600694) Conservative Accounting Might Explain Soft Earnings
Dashang Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600694) earnings announcement last week didn't impress shareholders. Despite the soft profit numbers, our analysis has optimistic about the overall quality of the income statement.
大商有限公司”s(上海證券交易所代碼:600694)上週公佈的業績並沒有給股東留下深刻的印象。儘管利潤數據疲軟,但我們的分析對損益表的整體質量持樂觀態度。
Zooming In On Dashang's Earnings
放大達尚的收益
Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
許多投資者尚未聽說過現金流的應計比率,但它實際上是衡量公司在給定時期內自由現金流(FCF)在多大程度上支持利潤的有用指標。應計比率從給定時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後將結果除以該時間內公司的平均運營資產。你可以將現金流的應計比率視爲 “非FCF利潤率”。
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
因此,負應計比率對公司來說是正數,而正應計比率是負數。雖然應計比率高於零並不令人擔憂,但我們確實認爲,當公司的應計比率相對較高時,值得注意。值得注意的是,有一些學術證據表明,總的來說,高應計率對短期利潤來說是個壞兆頭。
Dashang has an accrual ratio of -0.27 for the year to December 2023. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. To wit, it produced free cash flow of CN¥1.6b during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of CN¥505.1m. Dashang shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months.
截至2023年12月的一年中,大商的應計比率爲-0.27。這表明其自由現金流大大超過了其法定利潤。換句話說,它在此期間產生了16億元人民幣的自由現金流,使其報告的5.051億元利潤相形見絀。毫無疑問,大商股東對過去十二個月自由現金流的改善感到高興。
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
這可能會讓你想知道分析師對未來盈利能力的預測。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看根據他們的估計描繪未來盈利能力的交互式圖表。
Our Take On Dashang's Profit Performance
我們對大商盈利表現的看法
Happily for shareholders, Dashang produced plenty of free cash flow to back up its statutory profit numbers. Because of this, we think Dashang's underlying earnings potential is as good as, or possibly even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! And we are pleased to note that EPS is at least heading in the right direction over the last three years. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. For example - Dashang has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
令股東高興的是,大商創造了充足的自由現金流來支持其法定利潤數字。正因爲如此,我們認爲大商的潛在盈利潛力與法定利潤看上去一樣好,甚至可能更好!我們高興地注意到,在過去三年中,每股收益至少朝着正確的方向發展。歸根結底,如果你想正確地了解公司,必須考慮的不僅僅是上述因素。考慮到這一點,除非我們對風險有透徹的了解,否則我們不會考慮投資股票。例如-Dashang 有 1 個警告標誌,我們認爲你應該注意。
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Dashang's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.
這份報告只研究了揭示大尚利潤性質的單一因素。但是,如果你能夠將注意力集中在細節上,總會有更多的事情需要發現。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟的標誌,而另一些人則喜歡 “關注資金”,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。因此,你可能希望看到這份免費收藏的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。