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HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments (HKG:2638) Shareholders Have Endured a 25% Loss From Investing in the Stock Five Years Ago

HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments (HKG:2638) Shareholders Have Endured a 25% Loss From Investing in the Stock Five Years Ago

港燈電力投資和港燈電力投資(HKG: 2638)的股東因五年前投資該股而遭受了25%的虧損
Simply Wall St ·  04/20 21:45

For many, the main point of investing is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But even the best stock picker will only win with some selections. So we wouldn't blame long term HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments Limited (HKG:2638) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 41% over a half decade.

對於許多人來說,投資的主要目的是產生比整個市場更高的回報。但是,即使是最好的選股者也只能通過以下方式獲勝 一些 選擇。因此,我們不會責怪港燈電力投資和港燈電力投資有限公司(HKG: 2638)的長期股東對他們的持股決定表示懷疑,該股在五年內下跌了41%。

Since shareholders are down over the longer term, lets look at the underlying fundamentals over the that time and see if they've been consistent with returns.

由於從長遠來看,股東會下跌,讓我們來看看那段時間的潛在基本面,看看它們與回報是否一致。

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

引用巴菲特的話說:“船隻將在世界各地航行,但Flat Earth Society將蓬勃發展。市場上的價格和價值之間將繼續存在巨大差異...”評估公司情緒變化的一種有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。

During the unfortunate half decade during which the share price slipped, HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 0.7% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Or possibly, the market was previously very optimistic, so the stock has disappointed, despite improving EPS.

在股價下滑的不幸五年中,港燈電力投資和港燈電力投資的每股收益(EPS)實際上每年增長0.7%。鑑於股價的反應,人們可能會懷疑每股收益並不能很好地指導該期間的業務表現(可能是由於一次性的虧損或收益)。或者,市場此前可能非常樂觀,因此儘管每股收益有所改善,但該股還是令人失望。

By glancing at these numbers, we'd posit that the the market had expectations of much higher growth, five years ago. Looking to other metrics might better explain the share price change.

通過瀏覽這些數字,我們可以假設五年前,市場對更高的增長抱有預期。看看其他指標可能會更好地解釋股價的變化。

The most recent dividend was actually lower than it was in the past, so that may have sent the share price lower.

最近的股息實際上低於過去,因此這可能使股價走低。

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下圖描述了收入和收入隨時間推移而發生的變化(點擊圖片即可顯示確切的數值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:2638 Earnings and Revenue Growth April 21st 2024
SEHK: 2638 2024年4月21日收益和收入增長

You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

您可以在這張免費的交互式圖片中看到其資產負債表如何隨着時間的推移而增強(或減弱)。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments' TSR for the last 5 years was -25%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的股東總回報率和股價回報率。儘管股價回報率僅反映股價的變化,但股東總回報率包括股息的價值(假設已進行再投資)以及任何折扣融資或分拆的收益。可以說,股東總回報率更全面地描述了股票產生的回報。碰巧的是,港燈電力投資和港燈電力投資在過去5年的股東總回報率爲-25%,超過了前面提到的股價回報率。因此,該公司支付的股息提高了 股東回報。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

While it's never nice to take a loss, HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments shareholders can take comfort that , including dividends,their trailing twelve month loss of 1.5% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 10%. What is more upsetting is the 5% per annum loss investors have suffered over the last half decade. This sort of share price action isn't particularly encouraging, but at least the losses are slowing. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Even so, be aware that HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is a bit concerning...

儘管虧損從來都不是一件好事,但港燈電力投資和港燈電力投資的股東可以放心,包括股息在內,他們過去十二個月的1.5%的虧損沒有市場損失約10%那麼嚴重。更令人沮喪的是,在過去的五年中,投資者每年遭受5%的損失。這種股價走勢並不特別令人鼓舞,但至少虧損正在放緩。我發現將長期股價視爲業務績效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正獲得見解,我們還需要考慮其他信息。即便如此,請注意,港燈電力投資和港燈電力投資在我們的投資分析中顯示出兩個警告信號,其中一個有點令人擔憂...

But note: HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

但請注意:港燈電力投資和港燈電力投資可能不是最值得買入的股票。因此,來看看這份過去盈利增長(以及進一步增長預測)的有趣公司的免費清單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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