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Is Tianjin Pharmaceutical Da Ren Tang Group (SHSE:600329) A Risky Investment?

Is Tianjin Pharmaceutical Da Ren Tang Group (SHSE:600329) A Risky Investment?

天津藥業達仁堂集團(SHSE: 600329)是風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  04/21 20:45

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Tianjin Pharmaceutical Da Ren Tang Group Corporation Limited (SHSE:600329) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

由伯克希爾·哈撒韋公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李露對此毫不掩飾,他說:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”當我們思考一家公司的風險有多大時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。我們可以看到,天津藥業達仁堂集團股份有限公司(SHSE: 600329)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務會帶來多大的風險?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但是如果企業無法償還貸款,那麼債務就任其擺佈。資本主義的組成部分是 “創造性破壞” 過程,在這種過程中,倒閉的企業被銀行家無情地清算。但是,更頻繁(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以支撐其資產負債表。但是,通過取代稀釋,債務可以成爲需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業的極好工具。當我們考慮公司使用債務時,我們首先將現金和債務放在一起考慮。

How Much Debt Does Tianjin Pharmaceutical Da Ren Tang Group Carry?

天津藥業達仁堂集團揹負了多少債務?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2023 Tianjin Pharmaceutical Da Ren Tang Group had CN¥332.8m of debt, an increase on CN¥262.9m, over one year. But it also has CN¥2.19b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥1.85b net cash.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示,截至2023年12月,天津製藥達仁堂集團在一年內有3.328億元人民幣的債務,比2.629億加元的債務有所增加。但它也有21.9億元的現金來抵消這一點,這意味着它的淨現金爲18.5億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600329 Debt to Equity History April 22nd 2024
SHSE: 600329 2024 年 4 月 22 日債務與股權比率的歷史記錄

How Strong Is Tianjin Pharmaceutical Da Ren Tang Group's Balance Sheet?

天津藥業達仁堂集團的資產負債表有多強?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Tianjin Pharmaceutical Da Ren Tang Group had liabilities of CN¥3.23b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥351.9m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥2.19b as well as receivables valued at CN¥2.69b due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥1.29b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,天津藥業大仁堂集團的負債爲32.3億元人民幣,此後到期的負債爲3.519億元人民幣。除這些債務外,它還有價值26.9億元人民幣的現金以及價值26.9億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。所以它實際上有1.29億元人民幣 更多 流動資產超過總負債。

This surplus suggests that Tianjin Pharmaceutical Da Ren Tang Group has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Succinctly put, Tianjin Pharmaceutical Da Ren Tang Group boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

這種盈餘表明天津藥業大仁堂集團的資產負債表比較保守,很可能可以毫不費力地消除債務。簡而言之,天津藥業大仁堂集團擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說,它沒有沉重的債務負擔!

And we also note warmly that Tianjin Pharmaceutical Da Ren Tang Group grew its EBIT by 19% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Tianjin Pharmaceutical Da Ren Tang Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

我們還熱烈地注意到,天津藥業達仁堂集團去年的息稅前利潤增長了19%,使其債務負擔更易於處理。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,未來的收益將決定天津製藥大仁堂集團未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Tianjin Pharmaceutical Da Ren Tang Group has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Tianjin Pharmaceutical Da Ren Tang Group generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 88% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

最後,公司只能用冷硬現金償還債務,不能用會計利潤償還債務。儘管天津製藥大仁堂集團的資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍值得一看其將息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解其建立(或侵蝕)現金餘額的速度有多快。在過去三年中,天津藥業達仁堂集團產生的自由現金流相當於其息稅前利潤的88%,超出了我們的預期。這使其在償還債務方面處於非常有利的地位。

Summing Up

總結

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Tianjin Pharmaceutical Da Ren Tang Group has CN¥1.85b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. The cherry on top was that in converted 88% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥548m. So is Tianjin Pharmaceutical Da Ren Tang Group's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 1 warning sign with Tianjin Pharmaceutical Da Ren Tang Group , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

儘管調查公司的債務始終是明智之舉,但在本案中,天津製藥大仁堂集團的淨現金爲18.5億元人民幣,資產負債表看起來不錯。最重要的是,它將息稅前利潤的88%轉換爲自由現金流,帶來了5.48億元人民幣的收入。那麼天津藥業大仁堂集團的債務有風險嗎?在我們看來,情況並非如此。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。我們已經向天津藥業達仁堂集團確定了一個警告信號,了解它們應該是您投資過程的一部分。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

畢竟,如果你對一家資產負債表堅如磐石的快速成長型公司更感興趣,那麼請立即查看我們的淨現金增長股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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