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Is Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) (SZSE:000029) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

Is Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) (SZSE:000029) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

深圳經濟特區房地產與地產(集團)(SZSE:000029)是否以風險方式使用債務?
Simply Wall St ·  04/21 21:42

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000029) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

霍華德·馬克斯說得好,他說的不是擔心股價的波動,而是 “永久損失的可能性是我擔心的風險... 也是我認識的每位實際投資者所擔心的風險。”因此,很明顯,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。我們可以看到,深圳經濟特區房地產置業(集團)有限公司(深圳證券交易所:000029)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但真正的問題是這筆債務是否使公司面臨風險。

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務會帶來什麼風險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但是如果企業無法償還貸款,那麼債務就任其擺佈。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。但是,更常見(但仍然令人痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股本,從而永久稀釋股東。當然,債務可以成爲企業的重要工具,尤其是資本密集型企業。當我們考慮公司使用債務時,我們首先將現金和債務放在一起考慮。

What Is Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group)'s Net Debt?

深圳經濟特區房地產與地產(集團)的淨負債是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2023 Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) had debt of CN¥217.0m, up from CN¥111.5m in one year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥1.75b in cash, leading to a CN¥1.53b net cash position.

您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖片顯示,截至2023年12月,深圳經濟特區房地產與地產(集團)的債務爲2.17億元人民幣,高於一年的1.115億元人民幣。但另一方面,它也有17.5億元人民幣的現金,淨現金狀況爲15.3億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:000029 Debt to Equity History April 22nd 2024
SZSE:000029 2024 年 4 月 22 日債務與股本比率的歷史記錄

How Healthy Is Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group)'s Balance Sheet?

深圳經濟特區房地產與地產(集團)的資產負債表有多健康?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) had liabilities of CN¥2.53b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥182.4m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥1.75b in cash and CN¥124.6m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥834.3m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,深圳經濟特區房地產與地產(集團)在12個月內到期的負債爲25.3億元人民幣,之後到期的負債爲1.824億元人民幣。與此相抵消的是,它有17.5億元人民幣的現金和1.246億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債總額爲8.343億元人民幣,超過了現金和短期應收賬款的總和。

Of course, Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) has a market capitalization of CN¥9.27b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group)'s earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

當然,深圳經濟特區房地產與地產(集團)的市值爲927億元人民幣,因此這些負債可能是可以控制的。話雖如此,很明顯,我們應該繼續監控其資產負債表,以免情況惡化。儘管負債值得關注,但深圳經濟特區房地產與地產(集團)擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說,它沒有沉重的債務負擔!資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,影響未來資產負債表狀況的是深圳經濟特區房地產與地產(集團)的收益。因此,如果你想進一步了解其收益,可能值得看看這張長期收益趨勢圖。

In the last year Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 16%, to CN¥531m. That's not what we would hope to see.

去年,深圳經濟特區房地產與地產(集團)在利息和稅前出現虧損,實際收入減少了16%,至5.31億元人民幣。這不是我們希望看到的。

So How Risky Is Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group)?

那麼,深圳經濟特區房地產與地產(集團)的風險有多大?

While Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually generated positive free cash flow CN¥1.0b. So taking that on face value, and considering the net cash situation, we don't think that the stock is too risky in the near term. Until we see some positive EBIT, we're a bit cautious of the stock, not least because of the rather modest revenue growth. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) you should know about.

儘管深圳經濟特區房地產與地產(集團)在息稅前收益(EBIT)水平上出現虧損,但它實際上創造了正的自由現金流10億元人民幣。因此,從面值來看,考慮到淨現金狀況,我們認爲該股在短期內風險不大。在我們看到息稅前利潤爲正數之前,我們對該股持謹慎態度,尤其是因爲收入增長相當溫和。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。這些風險可能很難發現。每家公司都有它們,我們已經發現了一個你應該知道的深圳經濟特區房地產和地產(集團)的警告標誌。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

畢竟,如果你對一家資產負債表堅如磐石的快速成長型公司更感興趣,那麼請立即查看我們的淨現金增長股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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