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Shanghai Material Trading's (SHSE:600822) Strong Earnings Are Of Good Quality

Shanghai Material Trading's (SHSE:600822) Strong Earnings Are Of Good Quality

上海物資交易所(SHSE: 600822)的強勁收益質量良好
Simply Wall St ·  04/22 19:06

Investors were disappointed with Shanghai Material Trading Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600822) earnings, despite the strong profit numbers. We think that the market might be paying attention to some underlying factors that they find to be concerning.

儘管利潤數字強勁,但投資者對物貿b股(SHSE:600822)的收益感到失望。我們認爲市場可能關注了一些他們擔憂的潛在因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:600822 Earnings and Revenue History April 22nd 2024
SHSE:600822的業績和營業收入歷史記錄於2024年4月22日

A Closer Look At Shanghai Material Trading's Earnings

對物貿b股收益的更深入了解

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

衡量公司將其利潤轉化爲自由現金流(FCF)的一個重要財務比率是應計比率。 應計比率將FCF從給定時期的利潤中減去,並將結果除以公司在該期間的平均運營資產。 您可以將非自由現金流獲利比率視爲從現金流中提取的應計比率。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

因此,負應計比率對公司有益,而正應計比率則不利。 儘管應計比率高於零並無大礙,但我們認爲當公司的應計比率相對較高時,值得注意。這是因爲一些學術研究表明,高應計比率往往會導致利潤率降低或利潤增長減緩。

For the year to December 2023, Shanghai Material Trading had an accrual ratio of -0.35. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥272m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of CN¥140.0m. Notably, Shanghai Material Trading had negative free cash flow last year, so the CN¥272m it produced this year was a welcome improvement. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

截至2023年12月,物貿b股的應計比率爲-0.35。這表明其自由現金流相當大地超過了其法定利潤。實際上,它在去年實現了2.72億元的自由現金流,比其法定利潤的1.4億元要多得多。值得注意的是,物貿b股去年的自由現金流爲負,因此今年產生的2.72億元是一個令人欣喜的進展。然而,這還不是所有需要考慮的。我們可以看到,非常規項目對其法定利潤,因此對應計比率產生了影響。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shanghai Material Trading.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表強度。單擊此處跳轉到我們對物貿b股資產負債表的分析。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

除了稀釋之外,還應該注意的是,萬集科技在過去12個月中因不尋常項目獲得了價值人民幣3.5萬元的利潤。雖然我們希望看到利潤增加,但當這些不尋常項目對利潤做出重大貢獻時,我們會更加謹慎。我們對全球大部分上市公司的數據進行了分析,發現不尋常項目往往是一次性的。這正如我們所期望的那樣,因爲這些提升被描述爲"不尋常"。相對於其利潤而言,萬集科技在2021年12月前的不尋常項目貢獻大。因此,我們可以推斷出,這些不尋常項目正在使其財務利潤顯著增強。

Surprisingly, given Shanghai Material Trading's accrual ratio implied strong cash conversion, its paper profit was actually boosted by CN¥14m in unusual items. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. Shanghai Material Trading had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to December 2023. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

令人驚訝的是,儘管物貿b股的應計比率暗示了強大的現金轉換能力,但其紙面利潤實際上還因爲非常規項目的貢獻而增加了1,400萬元人民幣。雖然擁有更高的利潤總是不錯的,但有時來自非常規項目的大量貢獻會抑制我們的熱情。當我們對數千家上市公司的數據進行分析時,我們發現同一年中非常規項目的增加經常不會在下一年重複出現。因爲這些提高被描述爲“非常規”。相對於2023年12月的利潤,物貿b股的非常規貢獻相當顯著。其他條件不變的情況下,這可能會導致法定利潤成爲底層盈利能力的差劣指標。

Our Take On Shanghai Material Trading's Profit Performance

我們對物貿b股的利潤表現的看法

Shanghai Material Trading's profits got a boost from unusual items, which indicates they might not be sustained and yet its accrual ratio still indicated solid cash conversion, which is promising. Based on these factors, it's hard to tell if Shanghai Material Trading's profits are a reasonable reflection of its underlying profitability. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Shanghai Material Trading you should know about.

物貿b股的利潤獲得了來自非常規項目的推動,這表明它們可能不會持續,但其應計比率仍指示出了堅實的現金轉換能力,這是一種很有前途的跡象。基於這些因素,很難確定物貿b股的利潤是否合理反映了其基本利潤能力。考慮到這一點,除非我們全面了解風險,否則我們不會考慮投資。每個公司都有風險,我們已經發現了物貿b股的1個警示標誌,您應該了解。

Our examination of Shanghai Material Trading has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

我們對物貿b股的研究重點放在了某些可以使其收益看起來比實際收益更好的因素上。但是,還有許多其他方法可以了解公司的情況。例如,許多人將高股東淨收益視爲良好業務經濟的指標,而其他人則喜歡“跟着錢走”,尋找內部人員正在購買的股票。雖然這可能需要您進行一些研究,但您可能會發現此處收藏高股東淨收益的公司列表或此處內部人員正在購買的股票列表很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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