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Shandong Sinoglory Health Food's (SHSE:603182) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Only Soft Earnings

Shandong Sinoglory Health Food's (SHSE:603182) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Only Soft Earnings

山東國榮健康食品(SHSE: 603182)的股東需要擔心的不僅僅是疲軟的收益
Simply Wall St ·  04/22 19:44

A lackluster earnings announcement from Shandong Sinoglory Health Food Co., Ltd (SHSE:603182) last week didn't sink the stock price. We think that investors are worried about some weaknesses underlying the earnings.

山東國榮健康食品有限公司(SHSE: 603182)上週公佈的業績乏善可陳,但並未使股價下跌。我們認爲,投資者擔心收益背後的一些弱點。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:603182 Earnings and Revenue History April 22nd 2024
SHSE: 603182 2024 年 4 月 22 日的收益和收入歷史記錄

A Closer Look At Shandong Sinoglory Health Food's Earnings

仔細看看山東華光健康食品的收益

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

在高金融領域,用於衡量公司將申報的利潤轉化爲自由現金流(FCF)的效果的關鍵比率是應計比率(來自現金流)。應計比率從給定時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後將結果除以公司在該時期內的平均運營資產。你可以將現金流的應計比率視爲 “非FCF利潤率”。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,當公司的應計比率爲負時,這實際上被認爲是一件好事,但如果其應計比率爲正,則是一件壞事。這並不意味着我們應該擔心應計比率爲正,但值得注意的是,應計比率相當高的地方。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年發表的一篇論文,“應計額較高的公司將來的利潤往往會降低”。

For the year to December 2023, Shandong Sinoglory Health Food had an accrual ratio of 0.35. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, raising questions about how useful that profit figure really is. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥110.1m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥117m in the last year. We saw that FCF was CN¥64m a year ago though, so Shandong Sinoglory Health Food has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past.

截至2023年12月的一年中,山東華榮健康食品的應計比率爲0.35。因此,我們知道它的自由現金流大大低於其法定利潤,這引發了人們對該利潤數字到底有多有用的質疑。儘管該公司報告的利潤爲1.101億元人民幣,但從自由現金流來看,它實際上在去年消耗了1.17億元人民幣。但是,我們看到一年前的FCF爲6400萬元人民幣,因此山東華光健康食品過去至少能夠產生正的FCF。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shandong Sinoglory Health Food.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對山東華榮健康食品的資產負債表分析。

Our Take On Shandong Sinoglory Health Food's Profit Performance

我們對山東國榮健康食品盈利表現的看法

As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that Shandong Sinoglory Health Food didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. For this reason, we think that Shandong Sinoglory Health Food's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. But at least holders can take some solace from the 12% per annum growth in EPS for the last three. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Shandong Sinoglory Health Food at this point in time. Our analysis shows 2 warning signs for Shandong Sinoglory Health Food (1 is a bit unpleasant!) and we strongly recommend you look at them before investing.

正如我們已經明確表示的那樣,我們有點擔心山東中光健康食品沒有用自由現金流來支持去年的利潤。出於這個原因,我們認爲山東中光健康食品的法定利潤可能不利於其潛在盈利能力,並可能給投資者留下過於積極的印象。但是,至少持有人可以從過去三年的每股收益每年增長12%中得到一些安慰。本文的目標是評估我們在多大程度上可以依靠法定收益來反映公司的潛力,但還有很多需要考慮的地方。因此,儘管收益質量很重要,但考慮山東華光健康食品目前面臨的風險同樣重要。我們的分析顯示,山東華光健康食品有兩個警告信號(一個有點不愉快!)我們強烈建議您在投資之前先看看它們。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Shandong Sinoglory Health Food's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

本報告僅研究了揭示山東華光健康食品利潤性質的單一因素。但是,如果你能夠將注意力集中在細節上,總會有更多的事情需要發現。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟的標誌,而另一些人則喜歡 “關注資金”,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。因此,你可能希望看到這份免費收藏的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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