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Shanghai Karon Eco-Valve Manufacturing Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:301151) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

Shanghai Karon Eco-Valve Manufacturing Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:301151) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

上海卡隆生態閥門製造有限公司's (SZSE: 301151) 股票正在上漲但財務狀況看起來模棱兩可:勢頭會持續嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  04/23 19:00

Most readers would already be aware that Shanghai Karon Eco-Valve Manufacturing's (SZSE:301151) stock increased significantly by 20% over the past week. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Shanghai Karon Eco-Valve Manufacturing's ROE today.

大多數讀者已經意識到,上海卡隆生態閥門製造有限公司(深圳證券交易所代碼:301151)的股票在過去一週大幅增長了20%。但是該公司的關鍵財務指標似乎各不相同,這使我們質疑該公司目前的股價勢頭是否可以維持。特別是,我們今天將關注上海卡隆生態閥門製造公司的投資回報率。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

股本回報率或投資回報率是股東需要考慮的重要因素,因爲它可以告訴他們資本再投資的有效性。換句話說,它是衡量公司股東提供的資本回報率的盈利比率。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股本回報率?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

ROE 可以通過以下公式計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營業務)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shanghai Karon Eco-Valve Manufacturing is:

因此,根據上述公式,上海卡隆生態閥門製造公司的投資回報率爲:

4.0% = CN¥81m ÷ CN¥2.0b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

4.0% = 8.1億元人民幣 ÷ 2.0億元人民幣(基於截至2023年9月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.04 in profit.

“回報” 是過去十二個月的稅後收入。另一種思考方式是,公司每擁有價值1元人民幣的股權,就能獲得0.04元的利潤。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

投資回報率與收益增長之間有什麼關係?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到,投資回報率衡量的是公司創造利潤的效率。然後,我們能夠評估公司的收益增長潛力,具體取決於公司對這些利潤進行再投資或 “保留” 了多少及其有效性。假設其他條件都一樣,與功能不相同的公司相比,具有更高股本回報率和更高利潤保留率的公司通常具有更高的增長率。

Shanghai Karon Eco-Valve Manufacturing's Earnings Growth And 4.0% ROE

上海卡隆生態閥門製造業的收益增長和4.0%的投資回報率

It is hard to argue that Shanghai Karon Eco-Valve Manufacturing's ROE is much good in and of itself. Even when compared to the industry average of 7.4%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. Therefore, it might not be wrong to say that the five year net income decline of 5.5% seen by Shanghai Karon Eco-Valve Manufacturing was possibly a result of it having a lower ROE. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company's earnings prospects. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.

很難說上海卡隆生態閥門製造公司的投資回報率本身就非常好。即使與7.4%的行業平均水平相比,投資回報率的數字也相當令人失望。因此,說上海卡倫生態閥門製造公司五年淨收入下降5.5%可能是其投資回報率降低的結果,這可能沒有錯。我們認爲,可能還有其他方面對公司的盈利前景產生負面影響。例如,該公司的派息率非常高,或者面臨競爭壓力。

So, as a next step, we compared Shanghai Karon Eco-Valve Manufacturing's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 11% over the last few years.

因此,下一步,我們將上海卡隆生態閥門製造公司的表現與行業的表現進行了比較,失望地發現,儘管該公司一直在縮減收益,但該行業在過去幾年中一直以11%的速度增長。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:301151 Past Earnings Growth April 23rd 2024
SZSE: 301151 過去的收益增長 2024 年 4 月 23 日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Shanghai Karon Eco-Valve Manufacturing is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

爲公司附加價值的基礎在很大程度上與其收益增長息息相關。對於投資者來說,重要的是要知道市場是否對公司的預期收益增長(或下降)進行了定價。這樣做將幫助他們確定股票的未來是樂觀還是不祥的。衡量預期收益增長的一個很好的指標是市盈率,它根據收益前景決定了市場願意爲股票支付的價格。因此,您可能需要檢查一下相對於其行業,上海卡隆生態閥門製造公司的市盈率是高還是低。

Is Shanghai Karon Eco-Valve Manufacturing Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

上海卡隆生態閥門製造公司是否在有效利用其利潤?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 35% (where it is retaining 65% of its profits), Shanghai Karon Eco-Valve Manufacturing has seen a decline in earnings as we saw above. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

儘管上海卡倫生態閥門製造公司的三年派息率中位數爲35%(保留了65%的利潤),但如上所示,上海卡倫生態閥門製造公司的收益卻有所下降。看來可能還有其他一些原因可以解釋這方面的不足。例如,業務可能會下滑。

Only recently, Shanghai Karon Eco-Valve Manufacturing stated paying a dividend. This likely means that the management might have concluded that its shareholders have a strong preference for dividends.

就在最近,上海卡隆生態閥門製造公司宣佈派發股息。這可能意味着管理層可能已經得出結論,其股東強烈偏愛分紅。

Conclusion

結論

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Shanghai Karon Eco-Valve Manufacturing can be open to many interpretations. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. To know the 3 risks we have identified for Shanghai Karon Eco-Valve Manufacturing visit our risks dashboard for free.

總的來說,我們認爲上海卡隆生態閥門製造所表現出的表現可以有多種解釋。儘管鑑於投資回報率低,它似乎保留了大部分利潤,但投資者畢竟可能無法從所有這些再投資中受益。低收入增長表明我們的理論是正確的。總而言之,我們將謹慎對待這家公司,其中一種方法是研究該業務的風險狀況。要了解我們爲上海卡隆生態閥門製造業確定的三種風險,請免費訪問我們的風險儀表板。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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