TL Natural Gas Holdings Limited (HKG:8536) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 32% after a shaky period beforehand. The last 30 days were the cherry on top of the stock's 515% gain in the last year, which is nothing short of spectacular.
Since its price has surged higher, given close to half the companies operating in Hong Kong's Specialty Retail industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.4x, you may consider TL Natural Gas Holdings as a stock to potentially avoid with its 1.6x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
What Does TL Natural Gas Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?
TL Natural Gas Holdings has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this respectable revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for TL Natural Gas Holdings, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Is TL Natural Gas Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like TL Natural Gas Holdings' to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 15%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 53% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 15% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is pretty similar based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
With this information, we find it interesting that TL Natural Gas Holdings is trading at a high P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends would weigh down the share price eventually.
What Does TL Natural Gas Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?
TL Natural Gas Holdings' P/S is on the rise since its shares have risen strongly. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We didn't expect to see TL Natural Gas Holdings trade at such a high P/S considering its last three-year revenue growth has only been on par with the rest of the industry. Right now we are uncomfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for TL Natural Gas Holdings (2 can't be ignored) you should be aware of.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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TL Natural Gas Holdings Limited(HKG: 8536)的股價表現非常令人印象深刻,在經歷了動盪時期之後上漲了32%。在過去的30天裏,該股去年上漲了515%,簡直太驚人了。
由於TL Natural Gas Holdings的價格飆升,鑑於近一半在香港專業零售行業運營的公司的市銷率(或 “市銷率”)低於0.4倍,您可以將TL Natural Gas Holdings作爲可能避開的股票,其市銷率爲1.6倍。但是,僅按面值計算市銷率是不明智的,因爲可以解釋其爲何如此之高。
TL Natural Gas Holdings的市銷率對股東意味着什麼?
TL Natural Gas Holdings最近表現不錯,收入一直在穩步增長。一種可能性是市銷率很高,因爲投資者認爲這種可觀的收入增長足以在不久的將來跑贏整個行業。如果不是,那麼現有股東可能會對股價的可行性有些緊張。
儘管沒有分析師對TL Natural Gas Holdings的估計,但請看一下這個免費的數據豐富的可視化圖表,看看該公司如何積累收益、收入和現金流。
TL Natural Gas Holdings的收入增長趨勢如何?
人們固有的假設是,如果像TL Natural Gas Holdings這樣的市銷率被認爲是合理的,公司的表現應該優於該行業。
有了這些信息,我們發現有趣的是,與行業相比,TL Natural Gas Holdings的市銷率很高。顯然,該公司的許多投資者比最近所表示的更加看漲,並且不願意立即放棄股票。但是,由於近期收入趨勢的延續最終將壓低股價,因此很難實現額外的收益。
TL Natural Gas Holdings的市銷率對投資者意味着什麼?
自股價強勁上漲以來,TL Natural Gas Holdings的市銷率一直在上升。我們可以說,市銷比率的力量主要不是作爲一種估值工具,而是用來衡量當前的投資者情緒和未來預期。
考慮到TL Natural Gas Holdings過去三年的收入增長僅與該行業其他公司持平,我們沒想到TL Natural Gas Holdings會以如此高的市銷率進行交易。目前,我們對高市銷率感到不舒服,因爲這種收入表現不太可能長期支撐這種積極情緒。如果最近的中期收入趨勢持續下去,將使股東的投資面臨風險,潛在投資者面臨支付不必要的溢價的危險。