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Some May Be Optimistic About JoyoungLtd's (SZSE:002242) Earnings

Some May Be Optimistic About JoyoungLtd's (SZSE:002242) Earnings

有些人可能對JoyoungLTD(深圳證券交易所:002242)的收益持樂觀態度
Simply Wall St ·  04/24 18:32

The market for Joyoung Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:002242) shares didn't move much after it posted weak earnings recently. We think that the softer headline numbers might be getting counterbalanced by some positive underlying factors.

九陽公司的市場, Ltd(深圳證券交易所:002242)在最近公佈疲軟的收益後,其股價沒有太大波動。我們認爲,較疲軟的標題數字可能會被一些積極的潛在因素所抵消。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:002242 Earnings and Revenue History April 24th 2024
SZSE: 002242 2024 年 4 月 24 日的收益和收入歷史記錄

A Closer Look At JoyoungLtd's Earnings

仔細看看JoyoungLtd的收益

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

正如金融迷已經知道的那樣,現金流的應計比率是評估公司自由現金流(FCF)與利潤匹配程度的關鍵指標。應計比率從給定時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後將結果除以該時間內公司的平均運營資產。這個比率告訴我們,一家公司的利潤中有多少沒有自由現金流的支持。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

這意味着負應計比率是一件好事,因爲它表明該公司帶來的自由現金流比其利潤所暗示的要多。雖然正應計比率表明非現金利潤達到一定水平不是問題,但高應計比率可以說是一件壞事,因爲它表明紙面利潤與現金流不匹配。這是因爲一些學術研究表明,高應計率往往會導致利潤下降或利潤增長減弱。

For the year to March 2024, JoyoungLtd had an accrual ratio of -0.33. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥727m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of CN¥397.6m. JoyoungLtd's free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see.

在截至2024年3月的一年中,JoyoungLtd的應計比率爲-0.33。這意味着它的現金轉化率非常好,而且其去年的收益實際上大大低估了其自由現金流。實際上,它去年的自由現金流爲7.27億元人民幣,遠遠超過其3.976億元的法定利潤。JoyoungLtd的自由現金流比去年有所改善,總體而言,這是值得期待的。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

這可能會讓你想知道分析師對未來盈利能力的預測。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看根據他們的估計描繪未來盈利能力的交互式圖表。

Our Take On JoyoungLtd's Profit Performance

我們對JoyoungLtd盈利表現的看法

Happily for shareholders, JoyoungLtd produced plenty of free cash flow to back up its statutory profit numbers. Because of this, we think JoyoungLtd's underlying earnings potential is as good as, or possibly even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! Unfortunately, though, its earnings per share actually fell back over the last year. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 1 warning sign with JoyoungLtd, and understanding this should be part of your investment process.

令股東高興的是,JoyoungLtd產生了充足的自由現金流來支持其法定利潤數字。正因爲如此,我們認爲JoyoungLtd的基礎盈利潛力與法定利潤看上去一樣好,甚至可能更好!但不幸的是,其每股收益實際上在去年有所回落。歸根結底,如果你想正確地了解公司,必須考慮的不僅僅是上述因素。因此,如果你想更深入地研究這隻股票,那麼考慮它面臨的任何風險至關重要。在投資風險方面,我們已經向JoyoungLtd確定了1個警告信號,了解這應該是您投資過程的一部分。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of JoyoungLtd's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

這份報告只研究了揭示JoyoungLtd利潤性質的單一因素。但是,還有很多其他方法可以讓你對公司的看法。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟的標誌,而另一些人則喜歡 “關注資金”,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。因此,你可能希望看到這份免費收藏的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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