Earnings Growth Outpaced the 1.3% CAGR Delivered to Shaanxi Provincial Natural GasLtd (SZSE:002267) Shareholders Over the Last Five Years
Earnings Growth Outpaced the 1.3% CAGR Delivered to Shaanxi Provincial Natural GasLtd (SZSE:002267) Shareholders Over the Last Five Years
Shaanxi Provincial Natural Gas Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002267) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 11% in the last month. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last five years have been less than pleasing. After all, the share price is down 12% in that time, significantly under-performing the market.
陝西省天然氣有限公司, Ltd(深圳證券交易所:002267)股東應該很高興看到上個月股價上漲了11%。但這並不能改變這樣一個事實,即過去五年的回報並不令人滿意。畢竟,當時股價下跌了12%,表現大大低於市場。
The recent uptick of 6.1% could be a positive sign of things to come, so let's take a look at historical fundamentals.
最近上漲6.1%可能是即將發生的事情的積極信號,因此讓我們來看看歷史基本面。
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
用本傑明·格雷厄姆的話來說:從短期來看,市場是一臺投票機器,但從長遠來看,它是一臺稱重機。研究市場情緒如何隨着時間的推移而變化的一種方法是研究公司股價與其每股收益(EPS)之間的相互作用。
While the share price declined over five years, Shaanxi Provincial Natural GasLtd actually managed to increase EPS by an average of 9.4% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Or possibly, the market was previously very optimistic, so the stock has disappointed, despite improving EPS.
儘管股價在五年內下跌,但陝西省天然氣有限公司實際上設法做到了 增加 每股收益平均每年增長9.4%。考慮到股價的反應,人們可能會懷疑每股收益並不能很好地指導該期間的業務表現(可能是由於一次性虧損或收益)。或者,市場此前可能非常樂觀,因此儘管每股收益有所改善,但該股還是令人失望。
It's strange to see such muted share price performance despite sustained growth. Perhaps a clue lies in other metrics.
儘管持續增長,但看到股價表現如此低迷真是太奇怪了。也許線索在於其他指標。
We note that the dividend has remained healthy, so that wouldn't really explain the share price drop. However, revenue has declined at a compound annual rate of 5.3% per year. With dividends up, but revenue down, some investors might be concluding that the company is no longer growing.
我們注意到,股息一直保持良好,因此這並不能真正解釋股價下跌的原因。但是,收入以每年5.3%的複合年增長率下降。隨着股息的增加但收入的下降,一些投資者可能會得出結論,該公司不再增長。
The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下圖描述了收入和收入隨時間推移而發生的變化(點擊圖片即可顯示確切的數值)。
Take a more thorough look at Shaanxi Provincial Natural GasLtd's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.
通過這份免費的資產負債表報告,更全面地了解陝西省天然氣有限公司的財務狀況。
What About Dividends?
分紅呢?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Shaanxi Provincial Natural GasLtd, it has a TSR of 6.9% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的股東總回報率和股價回報率。基於股息再投資的假設,股東總回報率納入了任何分拆或貼現資本籌集的價值以及任何股息。可以說,股東總回報率更全面地描述了股票產生的回報。以陝西省天然氣有限公司爲例,其過去5年的股東回報率爲6.9%。這超過了我們之前提到的其股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧是沒有好處的!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
While it's never nice to take a loss, Shaanxi Provincial Natural GasLtd shareholders can take comfort that , including dividends,their trailing twelve month loss of 3.0% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 14%. Of course, the long term returns are far more important and the good news is that over five years, the stock has returned 1.3% for each year. In the best case scenario the last year is just a temporary blip on the journey to a brighter future. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Shaanxi Provincial Natural GasLtd better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Shaanxi Provincial Natural GasLtd that you should be aware of.
儘管虧損從來都不是一件好事,但陝西省天然氣有限公司的股東可以放心,包括股息在內,他們過去十二個月的3.0%虧損沒有市場損失約14%的那麼嚴重。當然,長期回報要重要得多,好消息是,在過去的五年中,該股每年的回報率爲1.3%。在最好的情況下,去年只是通往更光明未來之旅中的一個暫時階段。長期跟蹤股價表現總是很有意思的。但是,要更好地了解陝西省天然氣有限公司,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。例如,我們已經確定了陝西省天然氣有限公司的一個警告標誌,你應該注意這一點。
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
當然,通過尋找其他地方,你可能會找到一筆不錯的投資。因此,請看一下我們預計收益將增加的這份免費公司名單。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。